How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
UNAM vs Honduras Progreso-0.9+1.2+2.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the W Connection finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffs123Count
93-00086.7%871311,421,684
72-00144.9455529,513,299
62-0108.38857103,167,882
51-0023.0390722,950,416
41-011No5248154,288,659
31-020No1090255,429,533
0-003No31694,989,077
20-012No59546,637,749
0-1No100270,905,301*
Total:3.6%42670899,303,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
UNAM vs Honduras Progreso-0.1+0.2+0.1
Central vs Sporting Kansas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Olimpia vs Police United+0.1-0.1-0.1
Alianza vs New York Red Bu+0.1-0.0-0.1
Monterrey vs Árabe Unido-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD123456789101112131415161718192021222324
93-00015142324189310000
72-00100002817242315721000
62-010000000271421221710410000
51-00200014112127221130000
41-011000141018222114720000
31-020000002715232418920
0-00300021022282211310
20-012000028192926133
10-021001617303114
00-0300000293059
Total:0000001122333445678910101111