Real Estelí Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to FC Dallas 1-2, playoff odds down 16.9 to 16.4%

0 points 0-0 1 0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Suchitepéquez vs Real Estelí	-12.9-2.0+13.7		-0.4-0.0+0.4

Chances based on how well the Real Estelí finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	Count

9		3	-	0	0		0		96.7	%	97	3		19,514,381
7		2	-	0	0		1		65.0		65	35		25,150,963
6		2	-	0	1		0		17.1		17	79	4	58,457,059
5		1	-	0	0		2		7.0		7	87	6	10,828,840
4		1	-	0	1		1		No			41	59	50,292,529
3		1	-	0	2		0		No			10	90	58,425,895
		0	-	0	0		3		No			25	75	1,552,128
2		0	-	0	1		2		No			3	97	10,822,861
0	-1								No				100	44,676,720	*

Total:									16.4	%	16	33	51	279,721,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Suchitepéquez vs Real Estelí	+3.5+0.9-3.9
Saprissa vs Dragón	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Olimpia vs Police United	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Central vs Sporting Kansas	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Herediano vs UANL	+0.0-0.1-0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L		D	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

9	3	-	0	0		0		7	19	26	23	15	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
7	2	-	0	0		1		0	0	1	4	10	17	23	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
6	2	-	0	1		0			0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	17	20	18	13	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
5	1	-	0	0		2								0	0	0	1	3	10	19	25	22	13	5	1	0	0	0	0
4	1	-	0	1		1										0	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
3	1	-	0	2		0												0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1
	0	-	0	0		3															0	0	1	7	18	27	26	15	6	1	0
2	0	-	0	1		2															0	0	0	0	0	3	10	22	31	25	9
1	0	-	0	2		1																		0	0	0	2	10	25	37	26
0	0	-	0	3		0																			0	0	0	1	5	25	69

Total:								0	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8