How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Olimpia vs Police United+4.3-1.9-3.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Olimpia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffs123Count
93-00085.3%851510,907,635
72-00146.5465427,381,412
62-01012.31283594,869,252
51-0023.3391621,299,034
41-011No4951143,206,077
31-020No1288237,975,891
0-003No40604,988,192
20-012No59548,287,319
0-1No100310,388,788*
Total:3.8%42472899,303,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Olimpia vs Police United-3.2+0.8+2.7
Central vs Sporting Kansas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Alianza vs New York Red Bu+0.1-0.0-0.1
Monterrey vs Árabe Unido-0.0+0.0+0.1
UNAM vs Honduras Progreso-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD123456789101112131415161718192021222324
93-00017162424168310000
72-00100013918242314620000
62-01000001391622211693100000
51-00200001513232720920000
41-011000141018242113620000
31-0200000012817242316720
0-0030003132528209200
20-012000028202925123
10-021002719312912
00-03000002113255
Total:000000112233334567899101212