How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/5100.0*Average seed
Mexico vs Trinidad and T+0.0-0.1-0.3
Costa Rica vs Honduras-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsQualified123456Count
22-24InYes1007,058,275,343*
211-0-1InYes79211,064,671,857
200-2-0InYes7525567,803,114
190-1-1InYes4951377,910,636
180-0-2InYes257538,900,186
Total:InYes9469,107,561,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs