How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Alianza vs New York Red Bu+1.7+0.8-1.9
-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Antigua finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffs123Count
93-00077.7%782210,908,545
72-00143.0435727,382,186
62-0107.37821194,871,772
51-0021.2190921,296,162
41-011No4852143,217,113
31-020No1189237,954,988
0-003No39614,988,728
20-012No59548,291,985
0-1No100310,392,121*
Total:3.1%32473899,303,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Alianza vs New York Red Bu+0.1+0.2-0.1
Central vs Sporting Kansas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Olimpia vs Police United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Monterrey vs Árabe Unido-0.0+0.0+0.1
UNAM vs Honduras Progreso-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD123456789101112131415161718192021222324
93-000151322251910410000
72-00100002715232417931000
62-010000002613202219125100000
51-00200013102027231230000
41-01100013816222216831000
31-0200000127142123191030
0-0030002819272414510
20-012000027172828153
10-021001414293518
00-0300000162568
Total:000000111223334456789101215