"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GHA vs CGO-0.1-0.1+0.5
-0.2+0.1+0.5
UGA vs EGY+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the CGO finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTDplayoffs1234Count
124-00-0060.8%613918,418,771
103-00-0112.212817164,234,178
93-01-000.816732321,481,707
82-00-020.1053470474,648,561
72-01-01No227621,723,155,070
62-02-00No480161,528,999,431
1-00-03No11854522,650,616
51-01-02No169302,710,601,559
41-02-01No30704,603,978,766
0-00-04No6535192,245,791
31-03-00No1002,563,119,038
0-01-03No15851,272,081,813
0-2No1007,663,068,059*
Total:0.1%05296623,758,683,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
GHA vs CGO+1.3-0.4-2.9
CPV vs RSA+0.2+0.0-0.1
UGA vs EGY+0.1+0.0-0.1
GAB vs CIV+0.1+0.0-0.1
NGA vs CMR-0.0+0.0+0.1
MAR vs MLI-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTD1234567891011121314151617181920
124-00-0005212592315100
103-00-010003883530707000
93-01-00000111129205275000
82-00-0200002132514291620000
72-01-01001714173420502000
62-02-000000431731236142000
1-00-0300110524351934000
51-01-02001031632181810200
41-02-0100191916301950
0-00-0400425361116710
31-03-0052340276
0-01-0300011362434183
20-02-0217294321
10-03-010083754
00-04-0001188
Total:000000011235687712151616