National Football Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Atlanta +7.9, Dallas -1.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
ArizonaLA Rams13-0-01.0004665.2%-0.55.9%-0.0151313145554544433215.6-0.071at MinnesotaArizona Cardinals
Minnesotaat Green Bay13-0-01.0005065.0-0.75.9-0.1171310711876544322115.5-0.072ArizonaMinnesota Vikings
Dallas13-0-01.0008162.7-1.65.6-0.2151212117665554433215.8-0.1410at PhiladelphiaDallas Cowboys
AtlantaWMiami 19-143-1-0.750351.6+7.94.4+0.899979887665543316.8+0.8013Atlanta Falcons
Tampa BayChicago12-1-0.6674442.8-1.53.6-0.277768887766655437.7-0.155NY JetsTampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Giantsat Oakland12-1-0.667-642.0-1.63.4-0.167887767776665547.9-0.148Kansas CityNew York Giants
Detroitat Carolina12-1-0.6673640.6-1.03.4-0.067767777776665538.0-0.1025CincinnatiDetroit Lions
CarolinaDetroit12-1-0.6672640.0-1.63.3-0.266658887776665538.0-0.1611WashingtonCarolina Panthers
Chicagoat Tampa Bay12-1-0.6672239.7-0.83.3-0.0665410887776665538.1-0.097ClevelandChicago Bears
PhiladelphiaWLA Chargers 21-122-2-0.500-1529.5+6.02.3+0.534556777788877759.2+0.7714DallasPhiladelphia Eagles
San Francisco11-2-0.333-2226.4-0.62.0-0.124574566777888889.7-0.0928at TennesseeSan Francisco 49ers
New Orleansat NY Jets11-2-0.333-3625.2-1.52.0-0.124455667777888889.7-0.164New Orleans Saints
LA Ramsat Arizona11-2-0.333-1224.2-0.51.8-0.1235645567788999810.0-0.0923at JacksonvilleLos Angeles Rams
SeattleIndianapolis11-2-0.333-1021.5-0.71.6-0.123345566678899101010.3-0.1026Seattle Seahawks
Green BayMinnesota10-3-0.000-3312.4-0.50.9-0.0112223555678911131911.7-0.1029BaltimoreGreen Bay Packers
Washington10-3-0.000-9211.2-0.60.8-0.1112223455678911142011.9-0.1031at CarolinaWashington Redskins

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 4/3
Atlanta 19 Miami 14
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.2
Minnesota-0.5
Dallas-0.3
Atlanta+8.3
+0.8
Tampa Bay-1.2
-0.1
NY Giants-0.5
Detroit-0.5
Carolina-1.4
-0.2
Chicago-0.5
Philadelphia-0.3
San Francisco-0.3
New Orleans-1.2
-0.1
LA Rams-0.4
Seattle-0.4
Green Bay-0.4
Washington-0.2
Philadelphia 21 LA Chargers 12
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota-0.4
Dallas-1.3
-0.1
Atlanta-0.4
NY Giants-1.1
Detroit-0.5
Carolina-0.4
Chicago-0.4
Philadelphia+6.5
+0.5
New Orleans-0.3
LA Rams-0.3
Seattle-0.3
Green Bay-0.2
Washington-0.4
Arizona vs LA RamsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona76.7*64.953.7
7.1*6.44.6
San Francisco25.6*27.827.2
1.9*1.72.1
LA Rams14.0*21.434.4
1.0*1.72.6
Seattle20.8*26.322.2
1.6*2.81.7
Tampa Bay vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tampa Bay53.0*46.432.6
4.6*2.92.6
Chicago29.1*39.650.4
2.3*2.94.2
Carolina vs DetroitHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit30.3*44.150.9
2.4*2.94.3
Carolina50.5*42.829.5
4.3*3.12.3
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota54.3*59.875.7
4.7*5.27.2
Detroit41.6*40.539.6
3.5*3.83.2
Chicago40.6*43.338.8
3.4*3.33.1
Green Bay18.5*9.06.3
1.4*0.20.4
NY Jets vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona65.458.865.0
Atlanta52.8*54.250.3
4.5*5.24.2
Tampa Bay43.8*44.941.8
3.7*2.23.5
Carolina41.0*38.839.0
3.4*2.23.2
New Orleans18.5*21.631.9
1.4*1.32.5
Oakland vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas64.3*60.661.0
5.8*3.55.4
NY Giants34.1*40.149.8
2.6*2.84.1
Philadelphia30.8*31.528.1
2.3*2.62.2
Seattle vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona63.9*62.566.4
5.7*4.56.0
San Francisco25.6*23.427.2
2.0*2.02.1
LA Rams23.5*23.724.9
Seattle27.5*25.715.4
2.1*2.81.1
Thursday, 4/5
Minnesota vs ArizonaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona56.2*68.274.1
4.7*7.67.0
Minnesota74.9*60.255.2
7.2*5.24.7
Detroit39.5*41.641.8
3.3*4.13.4
Chicago38.8*36.140.6
3.1*2.23.4
San Francisco27.5*25.825.3
2.1*2.21.9
LA Rams25.2*26.423.2
1.9*3.21.7
Seattle22.3*21.220.7
1.7*1.51.5
Green Bay11.9*14.913.0
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas51.0*62.774.4
4.3*5.66.9
NY Giants42.6*42.441.3
3.5*2.73.3
Philadelphia40.9*30.818.0
3.2*3.11.3
Carolina vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta50.5*48.852.6
4.3*3.64.5
Tampa Bay41.9*44.743.7
3.56.33.6
Carolina49.5*40.930.4
4.2*3.62.4
New Orleans24.4*25.626.1
1.9*3.12.0
Washington6.3*11.016.0
0.4*0.71.2
Chicago vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota63.8*68.566.2
5.8*6.36.1
Atlanta51.1*52.752.1
Tampa Bay42.2*43.043.4
Detroit39.4*39.741.9
3.2*3.73.5
Carolina39.4*42.340.5
Chicago47.7*35.931.8
4.0*3.52.5
Green Bay11.8*11.413.0
0.9*1.31.0
NY Giants vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas61.1*67.064.2
5.4*6.45.8
NY Giants49.9*41.634.0
4.1*3.02.7
Philadelphia28.0*33.330.9
2.2*1.92.4
Washington10.6*9.911.8
0.8*1.30.8
Tampa Bay vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta50.2*51.453.0
4.2*4.44.5
Tampa Bay50.7*42.835.0
4.3*5.72.8
Carolina38.8*40.041.2
3.2*3.83.4
New Orleans24.2*26.026.3
Detroit vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota63.7*63.466.4
5.8*6.76.1
Detroit48.3*40.732.9
4.1*3.52.6
Carolina39.4*40.140.6
Chicago38.5*39.740.9
3.1*5.03.4
Green Bay11.8*10.813.0
0.9*1.21.0
Tennessee vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona66.7*62.863.7
6.0*8.05.8
San Francisco19.8*28.533.0
1.5*2.02.6
LA Rams25.0*24.323.4
Seattle22.5*23.220.5
1.7*1.31.6
Jacksonville vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona66.6*66.863.7
6.0*5.65.7
San Francisco27.3*28.325.5
2.1*2.22.0
LA Rams18.0*22.630.4
1.3*0.72.3
Seattle22.2*23.120.8
1.7*1.61.6
Green Bay vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota64.2*66.265.8
Detroit40.0*45.241.3
Chicago39.1*36.840.3
3.2*2.23.3
Green Bay16.85.38.1
1.3*0.40.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeArizonaMinnesotaDallasAtlantaTampa BayNY GiantsDetroitCarolinaChicagoPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoNew OrleansLA RamsSeattleGreen BayWashington
Arizona28.13.93.03.32.92.83.12.93.42.32.01.91.91.71.20.9
Minnesota29.63.93.33.02.62.82.82.62.52.12.21.82.11.80.90.9
Dallas27.13.03.33.63.02.92.73.02.82.01.92.11.71.71.00.9
Atlanta18.43.33.03.62.43.02.42.42.42.21.81.61.71.50.90.9
Tampa Bay14.62.92.63.02.42.52.11.82.02.01.61.21.51.30.70.8
NY Giants12.62.82.82.93.02.52.12.52.21.51.61.71.41.30.80.5
Detroit13.03.12.82.72.42.12.12.01.61.61.71.41.61.40.60.7
Carolina12.62.92.63.02.41.82.52.01.91.81.51.01.41.20.70.7
Chicago12.13.42.52.82.42.02.21.61.91.61.81.41.61.30.50.7
Philadelphia6.92.32.12.02.22.01.51.61.81.61.11.31.21.00.60.3
San Francisco5.92.02.21.91.81.61.61.71.51.81.11.00.70.60.60.5
New Orleans6.01.91.82.11.61.21.71.41.01.41.31.00.90.90.50.5
LA Rams4.91.92.11.71.71.51.41.61.41.61.20.70.90.50.50.5
Seattle4.41.71.81.71.51.31.31.41.21.31.00.60.90.50.50.4
Green Bay2.21.20.91.00.90.70.80.60.70.50.60.60.50.50.50.2
Washington1.80.90.90.90.90.80.50.70.70.70.30.50.50.50.40.2