"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

American Football Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Pittsburgh +12.5, Cincinnati -9.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
ClevelandKansas City13-0-01.0008472.4%+0.16.6%-0.0191511910865443221104.8-0.026at ChicagoCleveland Browns
NY JetsNew Orleans13-0-01.0005570.9+1.26.4+0.119139614975443221105.0+0.109at Tampa BayNew York Jets
New England13-0-01.0003265.4+1.45.8+0.116129613976544322115.6+0.123at IndianapolisNew England Patriots
HoustonWBuffalo 31-173-1-0.7504963.7+10.35.6+1.1121312118886554322105.6+1.0912Houston Texans
PittsburghWCincinnati 38-373-1-0.7501757.6+12.54.8+1.191097121087655432216.3+1.2222at DenverPittsburgh Steelers
Kansas Cityat Cleveland12-1-0.6674151.1+1.44.1+0.07911135677766543326.9+0.1215at NY GiantsKansas City Chiefs
Indianapolisat Seattle12-1-0.667-1550.5-1.34.2-0.18910107777666544327.0-0.0419New EnglandIndianapolis Colts
DenverBaltimore11-2-0.333-4132.9+1.42.5+0.0357104567778777658.8+0.1716PittsburghDenver Broncos
OaklandNY Giants11-2-0.333831.5+1.42.4+0.1257103556778887769.1+0.1818at LA ChargersOakland Raiders
LA ChargersLPhiladelphia 12-211-3-0.250-1822.0-6.81.6-0.613454577888888869.9-0.7130OaklandLos Angeles Chargers
MiamiLAtlanta 14-191-3-0.250-3718.1-6.51.3-0.5122256788899998810.3-0.7017BuffaloMiami Dolphins
CincinnatiLPittsburgh 37-381-3-0.250-2114.6-9.01.0-0.71111466778891010101010.9-1.0021at DetroitCincinnati Bengals
Baltimoreat Denver10-3-0.000-7514.1+0.31.0-0.0111245767788910111211.0+0.1527at Green BayBaltimore Ravens
JacksonvilleTennessee10-3-0.000-2814.0-0.71.0-0.11124245667891011121411.3+0.0832LA RamsJacksonville Jaguars
Tennesseeat Jacksonville10-3-0.000-4512.8-0.50.9-0.00124234567891011131511.5+0.1220San FranciscoTennessee Titans
BuffaloLHouston 17-310-4-0.000-888.4-5.20.6-0.40111234567891012141812.0-0.8624at MiamiBuffalo Bills

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 4/3
Pittsburgh 38 Cincinnati 37
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland-0.7
Pittsburgh+11.6
+1.1
Cincinnati-9.4
-0.7
Baltimore-0.3
Houston 31 Buffalo 17
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+9.6
+1.0
Pittsburgh*-0.1
Indianapolis-1.9
-0.2
Jacksonville-0.8
-0.1
Tennessee-1.0
-0.1
Buffalo-5.6
-0.4
Philadelphia 21 LA Chargers 12
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland+0.4
NY Jets+0.3
New England+0.5
Houston+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.4
Kansas City+1.3
+0.1
Indianapolis+0.2
Denver+1.1
+0.1
Oakland+1.0
+0.1
LA Chargers-7.1
-0.6
Miami+0.4
Cincinnati+0.2
Baltimore+0.2
Jacksonville+0.2
Buffalo+0.2
Atlanta 19 Miami 14
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland+0.4
NY Jets+0.9
+0.1
New England+1.0
Houston+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.5
Kansas City+0.5
Indianapolis+0.3
Denver+0.4
Oakland+0.3
LA Chargers+0.5
Miami-6.6
-0.5
Cincinnati+0.5
Baltimore+0.3
Jacksonville+0.2
Buffalo+0.4
Cleveland vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland81.4*68.963.4
7.8*6.05.5
Pittsburgh56.7*58.158.5
4.7*4.74.9
Kansas City40.6*52.361.5
3.0*5.55.2
Denver34.4*33.631.4
2.6*3.02.4
Oakland32.8*27.730.2
2.5*1.92.4
LA Chargers22.9*21.921.2
1.7*3.01.6
Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City49.6*55.852.6
4.0*4.04.2
Denver41.6*27.224.3
3.2*2.31.7
Oakland30.4*30.932.5
2.4*1.42.5
LA Chargers21.3*21.422.7
1.6*1.41.7
Baltimore8.5*9.819.8
0.6*1.21.5
Seattle vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston65.5*63.562.0
5.8*6.55.4
Indianapolis42.6*53.958.4
3.4*5.54.9
Jacksonville14.8*15.113.1
1.1*0.30.9
Tennessee13.6*11.812.0
1.0*2.00.8
NY Jets vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Jets78.0*71.063.8
7.3*8.35.6
New England64.1*68.466.7
5.6*7.46.1
Miami17.3*14.818.8
1.2*1.11.4
Oakland vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City49.5*51.052.6
4.0*1.94.2
Denver31.6*31.734.2
2.4*2.32.6
Oakland38.5*32.924.5
3.1*1.41.8
LA Chargers21.0*21.923.0
1.6*1.61.7
Jacksonville vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Jacksonville20.2*13.87.8
1.5*0.50.5
Tennessee6.9*12.618.6
0.5*0.51.3
Thursday, 4/5
Denver vs PittsburghIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland73.6*73.571.2
6.8*6.66.5
Pittsburgh46.8*61.268.4
3.7*4.35.9
Kansas City49.9*54.052.3
Denver42.1*30.423.7
3.3*2.71.7
Oakland30.5*30.832.4
Cincinnati15.2*15.414.0
1.1*0.71.0
Indianapolis vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England55.7*66.575.1
4.7*5.77.0
Houston62.5*65.864.9
5.4*5.75.7
Indianapolis60.9*48.340.1
5.2*3.93.1
Jacksonville13.3*12.814.6
1.0*0.21.0
LA Chargers vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City51.544.250.6
Oakland21.3*30.841.7
1.6*2.23.3
LA Chargers31.2*22.212.9
2.4*2.60.9
NY Giants vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City42.6*55.859.5
3.3*3.64.9
Denver34.7*31.531.1
2.6*1.92.4
Oakland33.2*28.829.8
2.5*2.82.3
LA Chargers23.3*21.720.8
1.7*1.91.5
Chicago vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland65.3*73.279.5
5.7*7.37.5
Pittsburgh59.1*55.956.1
5.0*5.04.6
Cincinnati15.4*16.613.8
1.1*1.11.0
Baltimore14.8*13.813.4
1.1*No1.0
Tampa Bay vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Jets63.8*68.778.0
5.6*5.57.3
New England66.7*66.464.1
6.0*4.45.7
Miami18.9*19.017.2
1.4*2.01.3
Miami vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami25.5*16.810.6
1.9*0.90.7
Buffalo3.9*5.012.9
0.3*0.20.9
Detroit vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland73.2*71.571.6
Pittsburgh58.4*57.056.9
Cincinnati9.3*16.819.9
0.62.51.4
Green Bay vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh58.4*61.056.8
4.9*4.64.7
Baltimore9.5*10.518.7
0.7*0.91.4
Jacksonville vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston62.7*66.464.7
Indianapolis49.7*53.151.3
Jacksonville18.5*12.39.5
1.3*0.20.7
Tennessee vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston62.9*62.464.6
Indianapolis49.6*55.151.5
Tennessee17.1*10.48.5
1.2*0.20.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeClevelandNY JetsNew EnglandHoustonPittsburghKansas CityIndianapolisDenverOaklandLA ChargersMiamiCincinnatiBaltimoreJacksonvilleTennesseeBuffalo
Cleveland33.73.93.93.84.84.03.42.92.72.11.61.21.21.21.10.8
NY Jets31.83.94.54.63.73.84.12.82.71.91.31.21.11.51.40.7
New England27.83.94.54.43.73.63.92.72.51.81.11.11.11.41.30.5
Houston24.93.84.64.44.03.44.12.42.31.82.01.51.41.11.10.9
Pittsburgh19.64.83.73.74.04.33.53.02.92.01.40.80.81.21.10.7
Kansas City15.74.03.83.63.44.33.02.32.11.61.61.51.41.10.90.7
Indianapolis16.53.44.13.94.13.53.02.12.11.61.51.31.10.90.70.7
Denver7.32.92.82.72.43.02.32.11.30.91.11.01.00.70.70.6
Oakland7.02.72.72.52.32.92.12.11.30.91.11.00.90.70.60.6
LA Chargers4.12.11.91.81.82.01.61.60.90.90.70.60.60.50.50.4
Miami2.81.61.31.12.01.41.61.51.11.10.70.40.30.50.50.1
Cincinnati1.91.21.21.11.50.81.51.31.01.00.60.40.10.30.40.2
Baltimore2.21.21.11.11.40.81.41.11.00.90.60.30.10.40.30.2
Jacksonville2.21.21.51.41.11.21.10.90.70.70.50.50.30.40.20.2
Tennessee1.71.11.41.31.11.10.90.70.70.60.50.50.40.30.20.2
Buffalo0.90.80.70.50.90.70.70.70.60.60.40.10.20.20.20.2