American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Pittsburgh +10.2, LA Chargers -7.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
ClevelandKansas City13-0-01.0008487.9%-0.612.0%-1.02420151010953211000003.5-0.176.624at ChicagoCleveland Browns
NY JetsNew Orleans13-0-01.0005587.4-0.09.9-0.62316105231163211000003.9-0.049.607at Tampa BayNew York Jets
HoustonWBuffalo 31-173-1-0.7504983.3+8.79.0+2.9141821214564321100003.9+0.8112.606Houston Texans
New England13-0-01.0003282.8+1.26.6-0.2191495241374321100004.3+0.083.568at IndianapolisNew England Patriots
Kansas Cityat Cleveland12-1-0.6674178.5+1.36.5-0.3101520234665422110004.4+0.0715.581at NY GiantsKansas City Chiefs
PittsburghWCincinnati 38-373-1-0.7501766.9+10.23.3+0.469861819128532110005.6+0.7222.537at DenverPittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolisat Seattle12-1-0.667-1537.3-2.70.9-0.2246961012121087543217.6-0.0419.466New EnglandIndianapolis Colts
OaklandNY Giants11-2-0.333831.5+0.41.2-0.1136103810111198654318.2+0.1618.518at LA ChargersOakland Raiders
DenverBaltimore11-2-0.333-4112.0+0.60.1-0.001241479101111111097410.5+0.2816.414PittsburghDenver Broncos
LA ChargersLPhiladelphia 12-211-3-0.250-189.3-7.90.2-0.300122479101111111097410.6-0.9230.454OaklandLos Angeles Chargers
CincinnatiLPittsburgh 37-381-3-0.250-216.6-4.60.1-0.1000024781011111111108611.0-0.4221.456at DetroitCincinnati Bengals
JacksonvilleTennessee10-3-0.000-285.4-1.00.1-0.0001212468101112121211911.7+0.1632.433LA RamsJacksonville Jaguars
MiamiLAtlanta 14-191-3-0.250-375.2-3.90.0-0.100001368911121211109711.3-0.5417.402BuffaloMiami Dolphins
Tennesseeat Jacksonville10-3-0.000-453.5-0.60.0-0.000010134689111314151412.4+0.2620.416San FranciscoTennessee Titans
Baltimoreat Denver10-3-0.000-752.0+0.00.000000134578101214171812.9+0.2927.381at Green BayBaltimore Ravens
BuffaloLHouston 17-310-4-0.000-880.5-1.10.0-0.00000001124571014203514.1-0.7024.336at MiamiBuffalo Bills

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 4/3
Pittsburgh 38 Cincinnati 37
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland-0.6
-0.2
NY Jets-0.3
Houston-0.3
New England-0.4
Kansas City-0.3
Pittsburgh+8.5
+0.5
Indianapolis-0.4
Oakland-0.4
Denver-0.2
LA Chargers-0.3
Cincinnati-4.8
Jacksonville-0.2
Miami-0.3
Philadelphia 21 LA Chargers 12
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland+0.2
NY Jets+0.3
Houston+0.2
New England+0.4
Kansas City+0.9
Pittsburgh+0.6
Indianapolis+0.3
Oakland+0.7
Denver+0.4
LA Chargers-4.8
Cincinnati+0.2
Jacksonville+0.2
Miami+0.2
Houston 31 Buffalo 17
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland-0.1
-0.1
NY Jets-0.1
-0.1
Houston+3.8
+0.5
New England-0.1
Kansas City-0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh-0.2
Indianapolis-1.3
LA Chargers-0.1
Cincinnati-0.1
Jacksonville-0.4
Miami-0.1
Tennessee-0.3
Buffalo-0.7
Atlanta 19 Miami 14
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland+0.2
NY Jets+0.3
Houston+0.1
New England+0.4
Kansas City+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.4
Indianapolis+0.2
Oakland+0.3
Denver+0.2
LA Chargers+0.2
Cincinnati+0.2
Miami-2.6
Cleveland vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland92.385.280.8
13.6*13.19.5
Kansas City72.982.787.5
5.2*6.98.6
Oakland32.6*30.529.6
1.2*0.81.1
Denver12.6*11.411.0
Seattle vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Jets88.0*87.986.6
Houston84.8*83.881.2
9.2*9.28.8
New England83.4*82.882.0
Pittsburgh67.7*66.165.8
Indianapolis31.0*38.745.8
0.7*0.51.2
Oakland vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City77.1*79.780.7
6.4*7.06.7
Pittsburgh66.1*65.768.1
Oakland36.827.923.1
1.4*1.20.8
Denver11.4*12.612.8
Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City77.8*80.379.6
Pittsburgh66.670.467.3
Denver15.48.26.7
0.2*0.10.1
Baltimore1.0*1.13.5
NY Jets vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Jets90.084.180.4
10.5*9.48.1
New England82.5*84.383.8
6.4*7.07.2
Indianapolis36.9*37.038.3
Jacksonville vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Jacksonville7.63.32.3
Tennessee1.7*3.26.0
0.00.20.1
Thursday, 4/5
Indianapolis vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland87.785.288.0
12.2*9.811.9
Houston81.6*83.384.7
New England74.3*84.489.9
5.4*5.37.7
Indianapolis48.9*38.627.7
1.3*1.30.6
Denver vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland88.8*87.787.2
12.4*13.111.7
Pittsburgh54.7*68.476.2
2.4*3.53.9
Indianapolis38.6*38.036.3
0.9*1.20.9
Denver18.5*10.37.0
0.2*0.10.1
LA Chargers vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City79.9*80.077.1
6.7*7.16.4
Pittsburgh67.6*66.066.2
Oakland21.9*32.940.8
0.8*1.21.6
LA Chargers14.5*8.14.3
0.2*0.10.1
NY Giants vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City71.8*78.384.3
5.5*6.17.4
Oakland33.8*30.829.5
1.3*1.41.1
Denver13.2*11.510.9
LA Chargers10.1*10.08.7
Tennessee3.54.83.4
Chicago vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland83.6*87.992.0
10.7*13.113.3
Pittsburgh67.8*65.966.0
3.5*3.13.0
Tampa Bay vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Jets83.8*88.492.1
8.8*9.711.2
Indianapolis37.9*37.436.6
0.9*0.80.9
Detroit vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh67.3*67.766.0
Cincinnati4.5*7.210.8
0.1*0.10.2
Miami vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami7.03.42.1
Jacksonville vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston82.7*85.883.9
Jacksonville7.5*4.03.1
Tennessee vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tennessee4.9*3.41.9
Green Bay vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore1.2*1.33.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeClevelandNY JetsHoustonNew EnglandKansas CityPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandDenverLA ChargersCincinnatiJacksonvilleMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreBuffalo
Cleveland44.05.45.25.85.99.13.73.41.41.20.80.60.70.40.30.1
NY Jets38.65.48.77.38.25.34.63.81.61.10.60.80.50.60.20.1
Houston31.95.28.79.14.08.85.83.01.41.21.30.81.10.50.40.1
New England32.85.87.39.18.75.54.63.91.61.10.60.80.40.60.20.0
Kansas City25.15.98.24.08.710.14.34.91.81.51.40.71.00.40.40.1
Pittsburgh15.39.15.38.85.510.14.04.11.61.20.40.70.40.40.10.0
Indianapolis5.83.74.65.84.64.34.01.90.70.60.40.30.30.10.10.0
Oakland4.23.43.83.03.94.94.11.90.50.30.40.30.30.20.10.0
Denver0.81.41.61.41.61.81.60.70.50.10.20.10.10.10.00.0
LA Chargers0.61.21.11.21.11.51.20.60.30.10.10.10.10.10.00.0
Cincinnati0.20.80.61.30.61.40.40.40.40.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Jacksonville0.30.60.80.80.80.70.70.30.30.10.10.10.00.00.00.0
Miami0.20.70.51.10.41.00.40.30.30.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Tennessee0.10.40.60.50.60.40.40.10.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Baltimore0.10.30.20.40.20.40.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.10.10.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0