How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-3.7-1.4+4.6
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Avai vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-3.7-1.4+4.6
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vitoria vs Corinthians+2.0-0.6-1.6
+4.6-1.4-3.7
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-114YesYes100No17,744*
8627-6-599.9%Yes1000No1,361*
8526-5-7100.0Yes1000No2,165*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,551*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No5,880*
8225-6-799.9Yes1000No9,321*
8125-7-699.8Yes1000No14,501*
8024-6-899.5Yes1000No22,153*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No33,002*
7824-8-698.9Yes9910No49,279*
7723-7-898.3Yes9820No71,303*
7623-8-797.6Yes9820No101,964*
7523-9-696.4Yes9640No143,773*
7422-8-894.5100.0%94500No198,909*
7322-9-792.0100.092800No271,168*
7221-8-988.5100.0891100No364,386*
7121-9-884.1100.08415100No483,986*
7021-10-778.199.97820200No630,860*
6920-9-970.899.871263000No809,042*
6820-10-862.099.562326000No1,024,925*
6720-11-752.198.9523791000No1,279,369*
6619-10-941.397.44141152000No1,575,552*
6519-11-830.694.431432151000No1,904,593*
6419-12-720.688.921402892000No2,276,419*
6318-11-912.579.61334331641000No2,679,070*
6218-12-86.666.0725352392000No3,112,651*
6117-11-102.949.0315313016510000No3,552,630*
6017-12-91.031.2182231241030000No4,008,623*
5917-13-80.316.10313262919720000No4,452,827*
5816-12-100.16.401517282715510000No4,878,058*
5716-13-90.01.8002820292513410000No5,267,138*
5616-14-80.00.30002921292311310000No5,606,308*
5515-13-100.00.0000031122282210300000No5,877,932*
5415-14-9No0.00001311232821930000No6,079,598*
5315-15-8No0.000014122328209200000.0%6,194,147*
5214-14-10NoNo00014122428209200000.06,216,228*
5114-15-9NoNo00014132428208200000.06,152,274*
5014-16-8NoNo0001413252819820000.35,991,044*
4913-15-10NoNo00001514262818710001.65,762,380*
4813-16-9NoNo000151627281761006.85,448,171*
4713-17-8NoNo0000171828271441018.75,076,114*
4612-16-10NoNo000029213024112037.44,665,439*
4512-17-9NoNo000013122631206158.34,214,232*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.33,750,061*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253523688.53,285,611*
4211-18-9NoNo00141734331295.12,835,179*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.22,408,453*
4010-18-10NoNo001522433099.42,007,896*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424199.81,647,451*
389-18-11NoNo00193753100.01,330,460*
379-19-10NoNo00053163100.01,055,717*
369-20-9NoNo00032572100.0824,492*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.0632,006*
348-20-10NoNo0011486100.0475,690*
338-21-9NoNo001090Yes350,647*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes254,572*
317-21-10NoNo0496Yes181,561*
307-22-9NoNo0397Yes126,059*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes87,283*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes58,130*
276-23-9NoNo199Yes37,800*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes24,281*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes15,198*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes9,316*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes5,555*
0-22NoNo100Yes22,992*
Total:5.0%15.0%5555555555555555555520.0%127,956,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship