How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória 1 América-MG 1 -1.5
-2.4
+0.1
-0.2
ABC 0 Bahia 3 -0.4
-0.7
-0.1
Atlético-GO 3 Sampaio Corrêa 1 +0.3
+0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Botafogo 0 Luverdense 0 +0.3
+0.3
Náutico 1 Macaé 1 +0.3
+0.4
Paysandu 1 Mogi Mirim 1 +0.2
+0.4
Boa Esporte 1 Criciúma 1 *+0.1
*+0.2
Paraná 0 CRB 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Ceará vs Vitória-3.7-1.6+4.9
-7.9-2.7+10.0
+1.0*+0.0-1.0
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.3+0.4-0.6
Bahia vs Boa Esporte-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.8+0.3+0.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1
CRB vs Náutico+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.5+0.4-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
América-MG vs Paraná-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.7+0.4+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Luverdense vs Paysandu+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Ceará-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Macaé vs Atlético-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Bragantino-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.3+0.5*-0.1
Criciúma vs Oeste*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.4-0.3
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Vitória-3.7-1.6+4.9
-8.1-2.7+10.1
+1.0*+0.0-1.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Botafogo vs ABC-0.9+0.3+0.6
-0.8+0.3+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ceará vs América-MG+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.7+0.3-1.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Criciúma vs Paysandu+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.4+0.4-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Bahia vs Náutico-0.1+0.5-0.2
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Sampaio Corrêa vs CRB-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.6+0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Atlético-GO-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Macaé+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Paraná-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Mogi Mirim-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
*-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitória finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
80-94YesYes100No991*
7916-3-399.8%Yes1000No531*
7815-2-599.9Yes1000No981*
7715-3-499.6Yes1000No1,659*
7615-4-399.2Yes991No2,693*
7514-3-598.8Yes991No4,321*
7414-4-498.0Yes9820No6,687*
7313-3-696.8Yes9730No9,937*
7213-4-594.5Yes9550No14,766*
7113-5-491.2Yes9190No20,806*
7012-4-687.1Yes871200No29,254*
6912-5-581.2Yes811810No39,482*
6812-6-473.4100.0%7324200No51,978*
6711-5-663.8100.064315000No66,745*
6611-6-553.0100.05337910No82,550*
6511-7-440.699.8414215200No101,147*
6410-6-628.799.42943225100No120,500*
6310-7-518.597.9183930102000No139,115*
629-6-710.194.4103135185100No157,112*
619-7-64.686.7521342711200No173,304*
609-8-51.772.72112832197100No185,272*
598-7-70.552.905173028144100No193,019*
588-8-60.131.3018213124113000No197,434*
578-9-50.015.1003122530208200No98,009
7-7-80.013.2002112430229200No98,598*
567-8-70.04.40014132629197100No190,235*
557-9-6No0.90015152728176100No178,345*
547-10-5No0.100151627281651000No164,753*
536-9-7No0.00016172827155100No145,966*
526-10-6NoNo0016182827144100No127,696*
516-11-5NoNo00171829261441000.0%107,439*
505-10-7NoNo0017192926134100.187,614*
495-11-6NoNo0028202925123000.469,451*
485-12-5NoNo0029223024102002.853,304*
474-11-7NoNo00031124302282010.139,879*
464-12-6NoNo0131327301961025.828,595*
454-13-5NoNo015173029143046.620,235*
443-12-7NoNo00292233249167.313,406*
433-13-6NoNo0313303317383.78,702*
423-14-5NoNo016213629893.05,427*
412-13-7NoNo0031234371497.03,163*
402-14-6NoNo1626422699.51,764*
392-15-5NoNo3164338Yes961*
381-14-7NoNo1104148Yes501*
371-15-6NoNo153857Yes237*
361-16-5NoNo22375Yes99*
351-17-4NoNo2278Yes46*
340-16-6NoNo2080Yes20*
330-17-5NoNo892Yes12*
28-32NoNo100Yes379*
Total:12.2%43.5%121110998765543322110001.7%3,045,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship