How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 -0.1
-0.7
+1.8
-0.3
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.7
+0.0
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.2
-0.5
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.5
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.1
+0.6
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.1
*-0.1
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.2
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.1
-0.2
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.1
+0.7
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 *+0.1
-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Sao Bento 1 *+0.1
Botafogo-SP 2 Londrina 1 *+0.1
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2-0.1+0.2
-1.5-0.7+1.9
+7.6+2.3-9.1
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.2-0.1-0.1
+1.9-0.7-1.5
-9.4+2.2+8.0
+1.1-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Bragantino+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Bragantino vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Guarani vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.3+0.7
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Parana vs Criciuma-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.3+0.6
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
America-MG vs Guarani+0.2-0.5+0.1
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.2-0.5+0.1
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.2-0.4+0.1
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.1-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
75-81YesYes100No689*
7418-2-194.1%Yes946No17
7318-1-2YesYes100No33*
7217-3-191.4Yes919No70*
7117-2-291.2Yes919No136*
7017-1-383.8Yes84151No229*
6916-3-278.0Yes78202No499*
6816-2-370.4Yes70272No923*
6715-4-260.499.9%6034600No1,640*
6615-3-348.299.94842910No2,883*
6515-2-437.099.837451620No4,617*
6414-4-325.799.4264424510No7,446*
6314-3-416.897.91739321120No11,751*
6213-5-38.594.48313619510No17,907*
6113-4-43.786.4419352811200No26,431*
6013-3-51.272.41102833206100No37,560*
5912-5-40.353.104173128144100No52,811*
5812-4-50.031.201822322410200No70,642*
5712-3-60.013.8002112531218200No93,851*
5611-5-5No4.3004142729186100No118,722*
5511-4-6No0.90015162828165100No149,967*
5411-3-7No0.10016172927155100No182,217*
5310-5-6No0.000017182926144100No216,129*
5210-4-7No0.000017192926134100No250,623*
519-6-6NoNo00282030251230000.0%283,811*
509-5-7NoNo00282130241130000.0310,090*
499-4-8NoNo00029223023102000.3333,560*
488-6-7NoNo00031124302282001.9348,781*
478-5-8NoNo00031326301961007.7354,918*
468-4-9NoNo00151629291641020.8350,833*
457-6-8NoNo0017203227122040.7339,719*
447-5-9NoNo0002102533227162.4319,813*
437-4-10NoNo001416313214279.8293,975*
426-6-9NoNo0018243625690.8262,293*
416-5-10NoNo00031535351296.5226,418*
406-4-11NoNo001828422198.9191,073*
395-6-10NoNo00420443299.7155,828*
385-5-11NoNo00213424499.9123,381*
375-4-12NoNo00173656100.095,059*
364-6-11NoNo0042967100.070,897*
354-5-12NoNo022276Yes51,249*
344-4-13NoNo011584Yes35,969*
333-6-12NoNo001089Yes23,912*
323-5-13NoNo0793Yes15,287*
313-4-14NoNo0496Yes9,621*
302-6-13NoNo397Yes5,576*
292-5-14NoNo298Yes3,182*
282-4-15NoNo199Yes1,755*
272-3-16NoNo0100Yes907*
18-26NoNo100Yes1,420*
Total:0.2%3.1%0111223345567789999835.2%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship