How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Vila Nova+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No194,251*
8928-5-5100.0%Yes1000No3,126*
8828-4-699.9Yes1000No5,657*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No9,778*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No16,650*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No27,945*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No45,479*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No72,430*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No115,224*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No177,867*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No271,809*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No407,811*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No601,595*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No873,425*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No1,245,178*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No1,751,287*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No2,428,009*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No3,304,752*
7222-6-1088.3100.0%8811000No4,436,435*
7121-8-983.7100.084151000No5,871,121*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No7,648,455*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No9,818,102*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No12,420,220*
6720-7-1151.499.95138101000No15,475,957*
6619-9-1040.799.841421520000No19,020,343*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No23,021,190*
6419-7-1220.298.1204028102000No27,467,939*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No32,298,593*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No37,433,325*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No42,783,521*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No48,183,881*
5917-8-130.241.503122630197200000No53,485,821*
5816-10-120.022.4015162827165100000No58,532,218*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No63,132,640*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No67,162,907*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No70,388,793*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0%72,710,285*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.074,027,752*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.074,284,346*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.073,442,510*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.371,551,650*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.768,687,622*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.064,974,604*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.260,529,676*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.055,542,363*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.050,183,985*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.844,667,078*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.739,123,555*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.233,722,904*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.228,608,311*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.423,885,506*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.819,616,782*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.015,842,176*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.012,571,674*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.09,806,080*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.07,516,263*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.05,659,188*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.04,183,625*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes3,036,765*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes2,159,354*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes1,506,526*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,030,150*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes690,256*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes453,763*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes290,409*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes183,153*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes111,089*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes66,659*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes38,874*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes21,919*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes12,167*
194-7-27NoNo100Yes6,372*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes3,415*
0-17NoNo100Yes193,620*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,531,076,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship