How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória vs Sampaio Corrêa+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Mogi Mirim vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Paysandu vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Paraná vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Macaé vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
América-MG vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Vitória-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Luverdense vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Macaé-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macaé vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitória finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No8,202*
8426-6-699.6%Yes1000No921*
8325-8-599.8Yes1000No1,480*
8225-7-699.7Yes1000No2,375*
8125-6-799.9Yes1000No3,843*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No6,072*
7924-7-799.5Yes991No9,292*
7823-9-699.3Yes991No14,020*
7723-8-799.1Yes991No20,933*
7623-7-898.5Yes9820No30,620*
7522-9-797.6Yes9820No43,722*
7422-8-896.2Yes9640No62,256*
7322-7-994.6Yes9550No86,905*
7221-9-892.0Yes92800No119,437*
7121-8-988.5Yes891100No161,202*
7020-10-883.7Yes841510No213,877*
6920-9-977.9100.0%7820200No280,831*
6820-8-1070.4100.070263000No362,332*
6719-10-961.5100.06232600No461,415*
6619-9-1051.399.9513810100No577,149*
6519-8-1140.499.84042153000No710,792*
6418-10-1029.599.32943225100No862,370*
6318-9-1119.798.0203929102000No1,034,066*
6217-11-1011.694.81232341741000No1,219,358*
6117-10-115.988.16233425102000No1,414,656*
6017-9-122.576.221429301751000No1,618,059*
5916-11-110.858.8172131251231000No1,823,435*
5816-10-120.238.10211243021920000No2,027,455*
5716-9-130.019.501415262818720000No2,215,989*
5615-11-120.07.3001617272615510000No2,386,765*
5515-10-130.01.8000271828251451000No2,538,406*
5415-9-14No0.30002819282413410000No2,652,763*
5314-11-13No0.0000029202824134100000.0%2,731,271*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.02,774,907*
5114-9-15No0.000002920282412410000.02,770,269*
5013-11-14NoNo00002920282412410000.12,727,137*
4913-10-15NoNo0000392128231231000.62,639,945*
4812-12-14NoNo00003102229231130003.22,518,648*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.22,369,349*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.82,187,745*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.71,987,853*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.31,777,334*
4311-10-17NoNo0000313283319483.51,567,232*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.71,356,311*
4110-11-17NoNo00031231371697.21,156,165*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.0964,657*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.7794,214*
389-11-18NoNo000111394999.9641,276*
379-10-19NoNo00163360100.0509,298*
368-12-18NoNo0032670100.0398,268*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.0303,351*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes228,582*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes168,123*
327-11-20NoNo00793Yes121,677*
317-10-21NoNo00595Yes85,565*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes59,110*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes40,701*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes26,849*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes17,300*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes10,800*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes6,804*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes4,056*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes2,467*
0-22NoNo100Yes9,898*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%55,928,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship