How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória vs Sampaio Corrêa+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Paysandu vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
ABC vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Macaé vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
CRB vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
América-MG vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Vitória-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Botafogo vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Macaé-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Macaé vs Oeste-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitória finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No3,637*
8426-6-699.8%Yes1000No427*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No673*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No1,067*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No1,670*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No2,682*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No4,176*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No6,310*
7723-8-799.1Yes991No9,368*
7623-7-898.5Yes9910No13,769*
7522-9-797.7Yes9820No19,613*
7422-8-896.3Yes9640No28,045*
7322-7-994.8Yes9550No38,816*
7221-9-892.0Yes9280No53,647*
7121-8-988.5Yes881100No72,161*
7020-10-883.8Yes841510No95,923*
6920-9-977.9100.0%7820200No125,663*
6820-8-1070.4100.07026300No162,387*
6719-10-961.6100.06232600No206,624*
6619-9-1051.499.9513810100No258,515*
6519-8-1140.499.8404215300No318,842*
6418-10-1029.599.32943225100No386,519*
6318-9-1119.798.0203929102000No463,566*
6217-11-1011.694.8123234175100No547,174*
6117-10-115.988.16233425102000No633,347*
6017-9-122.576.221429301751000No726,320*
5916-11-110.858.9172131251231000No816,783*
5816-10-120.238.20211243021920000No908,372*
5716-9-130.019.501414262818720000No992,225*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No1,070,178*
5515-10-130.01.8000271928251451000No1,136,750*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No1,188,950*
5314-11-13No0.0000029202824134100000.0%1,224,212*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.01,244,029*
5114-9-15No0.000002920282412410000.01,241,827*
5013-11-14NoNo0002920282412410000.11,221,875*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.61,182,734*
4812-12-14NoNo00003102229231130003.21,128,919*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.21,061,671*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.8980,758*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.7891,993*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.3796,183*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.5701,997*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.8608,231*
4110-11-17NoNo00031231371697.2518,691*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.0431,951*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.7355,242*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.9287,383*
379-10-19NoNo00163360100.0228,503*
368-12-18NoNo0032670100.0178,252*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.0135,989*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes102,460*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes75,037*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes54,671*
317-10-21NoNo00495Yes38,254*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes26,395*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes18,163*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes12,079*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes7,789*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes4,738*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes3,070*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes1,841*
0-23NoNo100Yes5,504*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%25,064,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship