How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.3-0.1-0.2
+1.7-0.6-1.3
-8.9+2.2+7.5
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Parana vs Bragantino+0.3-0.2-0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
CRB vs Guarani-0.1-0.3+0.3
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.2-0.2*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
76-94YesYes100No678*
7522-5-397.0%Yes973No66*
7422-4-496.0Yes964No126*
7321-6-389.5Yes90101No191*
7221-5-487.7Yes8812No317*
7121-4-583.5Yes84160No559*
7020-6-477.0Yes772210No891*
6920-5-573.3Yes732330No1,376*
6820-4-664.6100.0%6531400No2,196*
6719-6-552.599.95237910No3,403*
6619-5-643.3100.043411320No5,103*
6519-4-732.399.7324419500No7,227*
6418-6-621.498.7214227910No10,519*
6318-5-713.696.214363314300No14,635*
6217-7-67.391.472636227100No20,202*
6117-6-73.281.63173229143100No27,168*
6017-5-81.267.0192532229200No36,216*
5916-7-70.347.4041529291751000No46,700*
5816-6-80.127.2017193026134100No59,276*
5716-5-90.011.800210233023103000No74,667*
5615-7-80.03.5000312242920920000No91,220*
5515-6-9No0.700141325281972000No110,079*
5414-8-8No0.100141426281872000No130,515*
5314-7-9No0.000151527271761000No150,907*
5214-6-10NoNo0015162727176100No173,271*
5113-8-9NoNo001616272716610000.0%193,774*
5013-7-10NoNo001617272716510000.1212,940*
4913-6-11NoNo000171828261551000.9229,995*
4812-8-10NoNo00027192926134104.3244,992*
4712-7-11NoNo000292130241130013.6254,528*
4612-6-12NoNo00031124302181030.5260,527*
4511-8-11NoNo0014152830175051.5261,688*
4411-7-12NoNo001720322711271.1259,872*
4311-6-13NoNo000312273420485.4250,309*
4210-8-12NoNo0016193530993.5238,480*
4110-7-13NoNo0021231381797.6223,499*
4010-6-14NoNo001624432799.2202,709*
399-8-13NoNo000316433899.8183,099*
389-7-14NoNo00110394999.9160,835*
379-6-15NoNo0063360100.0138,914*
368-8-14NoNo0032770100.0116,940*
358-7-15NoNo0022078100.097,647*
348-6-16NoNo011584Yes78,779*
337-8-15NoNo001089Yes62,563*
327-7-16NoNo0793Yes48,619*
317-6-17NoNo0595Yes36,709*
306-8-16NoNo0397Yes27,096*
296-7-17NoNo298Yes19,881*
286-6-18NoNo199Yes14,066*
275-8-17NoNo199Yes9,759*
265-7-18NoNo0100Yes6,447*
255-6-19NoNo0100Yes4,453*
244-8-18NoNo0100Yes2,666*
234-7-19NoNo100Yes1,689*
224-6-20NoNo0100Yes1,001*
4-21NoNo100Yes1,936*
Total:0.4%3.4%0111222334455678910121748.1%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship