How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino 2 Vitória 1 -6.6
-9.4
+0.1
-0.7
Botafogo 4 Atlético-GO 0 -1.3
-1.2
-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa 3 Mogi Mirim 1 -1.1
-1.2
-0.1
CRB 2 Botafogo 1 +1.1
+0.7
+0.0
América-MG 1 Luverdense 2 +0.9
+0.7
+0.0
Bahia 3 CRB 2 -0.9
-0.9
Náutico 1 Boa Esporte 0 -0.7
-1.0
-0.1
Criciúma 1 Náutico 0 +0.6
+0.4
Paysandu 2 Bragantino 0 -0.5
-0.3
Ceará 0 Paysandu 0 +0.5
+0.2
+0.0
Macaé 1 Sampaio Corrêa 1 +0.5
+0.4
+0.0
Santa Cruz 2 América-MG 1 +0.4
*+0.1
Paraná 3 Santa Cruz 2 +0.4
+0.6
+0.0
Mogi Mirim 1 Bahia 1 +0.4
+0.5
+0.0
Boa Esporte 1 Paraná 2 -0.2
Luverdense 1 ABC 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória vs Botafogo+7.7-1.9-6.2
+12.7-2.8-10.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Criciúma vs Vitória-5.1-2.1+6.7
-10.0-2.8+12.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Botafogo vs Paraná-1.3+0.5+0.9
-1.0+0.5+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bahia vs Macaé-1.0+0.3+0.7
-1.1+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Paraná vs Bahia+0.7+0.3-0.9
+0.7+0.5-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Boa Esporte-0.9+0.3+0.6
-1.3+0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Náutico vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.3+0.6-0.8
-0.1+0.7-0.4
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.8+0.6+0.3
-0.4+0.7-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu+0.2+0.5-0.6
*-0.0+0.7-0.5
Ceará vs Náutico+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.9+0.4-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs ABC-0.5+0.2+0.3
-1.1+0.3+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
ABC vs Santa Cruz+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.3-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
América-MG vs Bragantino-0.2+0.3-0.1
-0.3+0.7-0.2
Atlético-GO vs Criciúma+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CRB vs Ceará-0.3+0.1+0.2
Oeste vs CRB+0.1+0.2-0.2
Macaé vs Luverdense-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Atlético-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Oeste+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitória finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-86YesYes100No8,220*
8114-1-199.9%Yes1000No952
8013-0-399.9Yes1000No1,963*
7913-1-2100.0Yes1000No5,256
7813-2-199.9Yes1000No10,287*
7712-1-399.8Yes1000No20,402*
7612-2-299.7Yes1000No40,141*
7511-1-499.4Yes991No69,646*
7411-2-399.0Yes9910No122,778*
7311-3-298.0Yes9820No203,543*
7210-2-496.4Yes9640No317,902*
7110-3-394.0Yes94600No491,468*
7010-4-289.9Yes901000No717,334*
699-3-484.3100.0%8415100No1,009,825*
689-4-376.3100.07622200No1,386,652*
678-3-565.9100.06630400No1,816,819*
668-4-453.4100.053379100No2,305,972*
658-5-339.999.84042152000No2,837,195*
647-4-526.799.22743246100No3,357,224*
637-5-415.497.3153732132000No3,843,200*
627-6-38.092.7828362161000No2,292,799
6-4-66.991.5726362371000No1,970,692*
616-5-52.880.43163230154100No2,807,915
7-7-23.181.93173230144000No1,739,212*
606-6-40.862.617223225102000No4,697,251*
596-7-30.241.7031227311971000No2,294,053
5-5-60.137.6021025312182000No2,394,701*
585-6-50.018.3004142830186100No2,806,725
6-8-20.019.9014152929165100No1,693,927*
575-7-40.06.30015172928154100No4,180,332*
564-6-60.01.100016183027144100No1,784,337
5-8-30.01.600017203025123000No1,955,381*
554-7-5No0.200028213125113000No3,212,445*
544-8-4No0.0000029233123102000No2,660,769*
533-7-6No0.00002102431228200No2,115,075*
523-8-5NoNo000312263120710000.0%1,609,961*
513-9-4NoNo00041428301751000.01,169,583*
502-8-6NoNo00151730291540000.0812,507*
492-9-5NoNo00016203227122000.2535,787*
482-10-4NoNo0002924332381001.4335,096*
472-11-3NoNo0003122832195105.8196,822*
461-10-5NoNo0151732301330016.1108,996*
451-11-4NoNo001823352481032.955,947*
441-12-3NoNo003133034163053.426,558*
430-11-5NoNo0162136278172.211,129*
420-12-4NoNo0212313517386.84,199*
410-13-3NoNo16233828693.81,507*
400-14-2NoNo21238361197.8370
390-15-1NoNo1724402798.567
380-16-0NoNo0217463499.97,718
Total:15.1%51.6%15141211108765432110000000.1%62,048,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship