How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Confianca vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Confianca+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.6
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-114YesYes100No9,030*
8526-7-599.8%Yes1000No1,031*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No1,711*
8326-5-799.8Yes1000No2,814*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No4,420*
8125-6-799.6Yes1000No7,003*
8025-5-899.5Yes1000No10,772*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No16,001*
7824-6-898.9Yes991No23,594*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No34,104*
7623-7-897.3Yes9730No48,658*
7523-6-996.1Yes9640No68,480*
7422-8-894.4Yes9460No94,066*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No129,127*
7222-6-1088.3Yes881100No172,723*
7121-8-983.8Yes841510No228,934*
7021-7-1077.7100.0%7821200No298,655*
6920-9-970.2100.07026300No383,239*
6820-8-1061.5100.062326000No485,249*
6720-7-1151.499.9513810100No604,712*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No743,102*
6519-8-1130.099.33043225100No899,677*
6419-7-1220.298.1204029102000No1,072,912*
6318-9-1112.195.21233331641000No1,261,803*
6218-8-126.389.1624352492000No1,462,729*
6118-7-132.778.131530301651000No1,671,180*
6017-9-121.061.6172231241130000No1,883,276*
5917-8-130.241.4031226301972000No2,090,991*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No2,289,203*
5716-9-130.09.000271928251341000No2,466,391*
5616-8-140.02.5000292128231231000No2,624,012*
5515-10-13No0.40003102228221031000No2,748,224*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%2,840,651*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.02,888,823*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.02,901,846*
5114-9-15NoNo0001412242820920000.02,865,278*
5014-8-16NoNo00014132428208200000.32,793,826*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.82,684,106*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761007.02,539,076*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441019.22,363,548*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213025112038.02,168,520*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.01,957,816*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.81,743,631*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253524688.71,527,297*
4211-9-18NoNo00141634331295.21,316,559*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.21,118,157*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.4932,172*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.8764,929*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.0618,297*
379-10-19NoNo0053163100.0490,618*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.0383,794*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0292,816*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.0221,609*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes163,048*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes118,834*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes84,210*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes58,896*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes40,484*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes27,099*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes17,710*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes11,255*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes7,159*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes4,240*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes2,642*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes1,440*
0-21NoNo100Yes9,231*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%59,797,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship