How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Macaé 4 Botafogo 2 +0.3
+0.1
Bahia 1 Luverdense 0 -0.2
-0.5
-0.1
Santa Cruz 1 Sampaio Corrêa 0 +0.2
+0.4
+0.2
ABC 3 Náutico 3 +0.2
+0.3
Boa Esporte 3 Bragantino 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Atlético-GO 1 Paraná 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Mogi Mirim 0 CRB 1 -0.1
-0.3
Oeste 2 Ceará 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Paysandu vs Atlético-GO-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Luverdense vs Ceará-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória vs Bahia+3.2-0.9-2.5
+8.3-2.1-6.7
-2.7+0.5+2.4
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Boa Esporte vs Vitória-2.2-0.9+3.0
-6.2-2.2+7.9
+2.5+0.4-2.8
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Ceará vs Botafogo+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Botafogo vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.4*+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Náutico+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1
América-MG vs Mogi Mirim-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Náutico vs Oeste-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Bahia vs Paysandu-0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Sampaio Corrêa vs Luverdense-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Macaé vs América-MG-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.4-0.2
ABC vs Macaé+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Santa Cruz-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciúma vs Bragantino+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Santa Cruz vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
CRB vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlético-GO vs ABC+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Paraná vs Criciúma-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Oeste vs Paraná-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitória finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
86-103YesYes100No37,190*
8522-4-3100.0%Yes1000No2,170*
8421-3-599.9Yes1000No4,121*
8321-4-499.9Yes1000No7,393*
8220-3-699.8Yes1000No13,328*
8120-4-599.8Yes1000No21,940*
8020-5-499.7Yes1000No37,477*
7919-4-699.5Yes991No61,530*
7819-5-599.2Yes9910No97,956*
7718-4-798.6Yes9910No152,810*
7618-5-697.9Yes9820No234,468*
7518-6-596.9Yes9730No349,308*
7417-5-795.2Yes9550No514,249*
7317-6-692.9Yes93700No734,820*
7217-7-589.7100.0%9010000No1,033,198*
7116-6-785.3100.08514100No1,420,182*
7016-7-679.7100.08019100No1,915,834*
6915-6-872.6100.07325300No2,533,768*
6815-7-763.8100.064315000No3,277,601*
6715-8-653.9100.054378100No4,157,068*
6614-7-843.099.94341142000No5,182,436*
6514-8-732.199.53243204000No6,324,540*
6414-9-621.998.622412781000No7,572,903*
6313-8-813.496.31335331530000No8,885,834*
6213-9-77.291.2726352271000No10,228,297*
6112-8-93.281.531732291441000No11,557,465*
6012-9-81.266.319243223920000No12,802,011*
5912-10-70.346.7041528291761000No13,906,634*
5811-9-90.126.901719302613410000No14,807,832*
5711-10-80.011.900292230231030000No15,475,706*
5611-11-70.03.7000312252920820000No15,850,962*
5510-10-90.00.8000141426281872000No15,911,949*
5410-11-8No0.1000151527281761000No15,669,132*
5310-12-7No0.000016162727166100000.0%15,111,998*
529-11-9No0.00001617282615510000.014,276,168*
519-12-8No0.000001718282614510000.013,226,619*
509-13-7NoNo0000271928251341000.111,983,078*
498-12-9NoNo00002820292412300000.510,639,257*
488-13-8NoNo00003102229231030002.89,242,627*
478-14-7NoNo000131224302182009.87,861,141*
467-13-9NoNo000141527291761023.86,532,851*
457-14-8NoNo00016193027133043.45,308,610*
447-15-7NoNo0002102432238163.74,214,864*
436-14-9NoNo0001415303215380.03,268,713*
426-15-8NoNo00018243625690.52,471,070*
416-16-7NoNo000031534341296.11,822,411*
405-15-9NoNo001928412098.61,309,441*
395-16-8NoNo000421443099.6917,397*
385-17-7NoNo00214424199.9624,615*
374-16-9NoNo00193853100.0413,329*
364-17-8NoNo0053263100.0264,833*
354-18-7NoNo0032672100.0165,262*
343-17-9NoNo012079Yes99,436*
333-18-8NoNo011485Yes58,373*
323-19-7NoNo001090Yes32,544*
312-18-9NoNo0793Yes17,476*
302-19-8NoNo0496Yes9,136*
292-20-7NoNo397Yes4,377*
282-21-6NoNo298Yes2,082*
271-20-8NoNo0199Yes955*
261-21-7NoNo1100Yes400*
251-22-6NoNo100Yes145*
241-23-5NoNo298Yes63*
20-23NoNo100Yes29*
160-29-0NoNo0100Yes34,908
Total:7.3%30.1%788777766655443322116.5%280,696,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship