How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs America-MG+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Vitoria-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Sport Recife vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
93-114YesYes100No472,549*
9229-5-499.9%Yes1000No1,365*
9129-4-5100.0Yes1000No2,556*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No4,459*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,913*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No13,875*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No24,223*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No40,759*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No68,787*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No112,024*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No179,696*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No284,174*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No441,213*
8024-8-699.5Yes10000No671,602*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No1,007,347*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,487,295*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No2,159,370*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No3,082,366*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No4,336,470*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No6,003,103*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No8,187,154*
7222-6-1088.3100.0%8811000No10,991,962*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No14,530,400*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No18,930,715*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No24,306,550*
6820-8-1061.5100.0613260000No30,736,206*
6720-7-1151.499.95138101000No38,312,128*
6619-9-1040.799.841421520000No47,053,890*
6519-8-1130.099.3304322510000No56,961,808*
6419-7-1220.298.12040291020000No67,979,306*
6318-9-1112.195.212333416410000No79,927,211*
6218-8-126.389.162435249200000No92,649,615*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No105,869,201*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No119,238,912*
5917-8-130.241.503122630198200000No132,398,688*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No144,885,560*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No156,284,242*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No166,180,003*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No174,201,396*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0%179,962,318*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0183,210,314*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0183,851,577*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0181,794,461*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3177,118,559*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7170,041,392*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.0160,814,704*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.2149,813,301*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213025112038.0137,478,656*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.0124,223,584*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.8110,529,843*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253524688.796,821,412*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.283,463,891*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.270,802,217*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.459,121,231*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.848,547,243*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.039,194,980*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.031,113,030*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.024,272,771*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.018,608,415*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.014,012,137*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.010,347,996*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes7,514,854*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes5,345,302*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes3,732,080*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,554,351*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,707,461*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,121,415*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes717,758*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes451,576*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes275,575*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes165,601*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes96,043*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes54,273*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes30,063*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes16,125*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes8,364*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes4,131*
163-7-28NoNo100Yes2,062*
152-9-27NoNo0100Yes1,001*
0-14NoNo100Yes472,000*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,789,440,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship