How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.1-0.1
-8.5+1.8+6.4
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Parana vs Bragantino+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.8-0.1-0.5
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.9-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.7-0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4*-0.1+0.7
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.2-0.1+0.4
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.3-0.1+0.4
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.4-0.2-0.3
CRB vs Guarani-0.1-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
75-94YesYes100No1,839*
7422-4-455.6%Yes5644No9*
7322-3-553.8Yes5446No13*
7221-5-465.5Yes66313No29*
7121-4-554.5Yes55388No66*
7020-6-446.9Yes4741121No113*
6920-5-546.0Yes4637152No213*
6820-4-631.799.1%32451941No350*
6719-6-518.499.218442981No635*
6619-5-612.797.81339351220No1,036*
6519-4-77.693.98303818600No1,717*
6418-6-63.888.242237261020No2,740*
6318-5-72.078.4214303216510No4,266*
6217-7-60.565.518243424920No6,601*
6117-6-70.248.50315303116410No10,107*
6017-5-80.131.201822322510200No14,652*
5916-7-70.016.7003132830186100No21,525*
5816-6-80.07.4001619312613300No30,480*
5716-5-9No2.6002102431228200No43,003*
5615-7-8No0.60014152829175100No59,386*
5515-6-9No0.10017193027134100No80,084*
5415-5-10No0.000029233023102000No105,816*
5314-7-9No0.00003132630197100No138,197*
5214-6-10No0.000015162928165100No176,623*
5113-8-9NoNo00172030251230000.0%222,807*
5013-7-10NoNo00021023302292000.0275,307*
4913-6-11NoNo00141326301971000.1333,048*
4812-8-10NoNo000161729281541000.7396,400*
4712-7-11NoNo00282130251120002.8462,483*
4612-6-12NoNo00031226312071008.3532,505*
4511-8-11NoNo00151730291540019.0599,830*
4411-7-12NoNo0002923322492034.8662,842*
4311-6-13NoNo0004142931174053.2719,521*
4210-8-12NoNo000172134269170.0767,931*
4110-7-13NoNo000313303417383.1802,014*
4010-6-14NoNo0017233726691.7822,581*
399-8-13NoNo00031635341196.3830,366*
389-7-14NoNo001930411898.6817,648*
379-6-15NoNo000523442799.5791,081*
368-8-14NoNo000216443799.8750,333*
358-7-15NoNo001114148100.0697,914*
348-6-16NoNo00063558100.0635,378*
337-8-15NoNo0042967100.0563,766*
327-7-16NoNo0022375100.0491,655*
317-6-17NoNo011782Yes419,160*
306-8-16NoNo001387Yes349,573*
296-7-17NoNo00991Yes284,181*
286-6-18NoNo00694Yes225,549*
275-8-17NoNo00496Yes174,863*
265-7-18NoNo0397Yes132,700*
255-6-19NoNo0298Yes97,278*
244-8-18NoNo0199Yes69,651*
234-7-19NoNo199Yes47,950*
224-6-20NoNo0100Yes32,547*
213-8-19NoNo0100Yes21,001*
203-7-20NoNo0100Yes13,475*
193-6-21NoNo0100Yes8,233*
183-5-22NoNo0100Yes4,941*
172-7-21NoNo0100Yes2,671*
4-16NoNo100Yes4,677*
Total:0.0%0.2%00000011112345681013182768.8%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship