How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/20100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 0 Bahia 1 +0.2
Sport Recife 2 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vitoria vs Corinthians+0.1-0.0-0.0
-14.7+2.6+12.7
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Fluminense vs Atletico-MG+0.4*+0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-1.5-0.2+2.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-1.4-0.2+2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Ceara-1.0+0.3+2.4
+0.1-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/27100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo+0.1-0.0-0.0
-15.9-0.3+8.4
+1.3-0.1-0.7
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+2.2-0.1-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Fluminense-0.3*+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Sport Recife-1.0-0.2+2.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Botafogo-1.1*-0.0+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Parana+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional+2.8+0.2-1.3
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG+0.5-0.8*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Corinthians vs Bahia+0.4-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
599-0-0No56.5%09474030No6,618
578-1-0No26.4125571610No10,720
568-0-1No14.5014572630No20,035
557-2-0No7.407493760No33,107
547-1-1No2.903364514100No121,930
537-0-2No1.001224626500No110,981
6-3-0No0.91214626500No59,306
526-2-1No0.2011373713200No322,951
516-1-2No0.004244025610No586,677
5-4-0No0.003224026710No67,517
505-3-1No0.00110313718300No485,247
6-0-3No0.00110323717300No351,434
495-2-2NoNo03173631112000No1,314,643
4-5-0NoNo0215343313200No50,565
485-1-3NoNo0162337257100No1,570,900
4-4-1NoNo0052237268100No454,260
474-3-2NoNo001827362161000.0%1,624,464
5-0-4NoNo001827362161000.0701,274
3-6-0NoNo01621352692000.024,881
464-2-3NoNo0021230341851000.02,893,253
3-5-1NoNo0011028352061000.0268,610
454-1-4NoNo00031532311530000.32,565,493
3-4-2NoNo0031432321540000.41,201,984*
443-3-3NoNo0004183329133002.72,818,065
4-0-5NoNo004183329132002.6905,704
2-6-1NoNo003133032174004.898,391
433-2-4NoNo0016213427102011.43,730,602
2-5-2NoNo015193329112013.5522,447*
423-1-5NoNo00192635226029.02,622,847
2-4-3NoNo00192535236129.81,535,358
1-7-1NoNo01519352910140.920,229
412-3-4NoNo0002123135172054.82,692,389
3-0-6NoNo002133135162053.8763,410
1-6-2NoNo0019273822462.9126,527*
402-2-5NoNo00041837328077.72,814,912
1-5-3NoNo0031637349080.0444,800*
392-1-6NoNo0018294319091.21,635,523
1-4-4NoNo0018294319091.6975,813*
381-3-5NoNo002164536097.61,335,831
2-0-7NoNo002174634097.4403,615
0-6-3NoNo01134442098.552,977
371-2-6NoNo00073855099.61,154,421
0-5-4NoNo0063657099.7136,991
361-1-7NoNo0022671099.9566,732
0-4-5NoNo022572099.9235,751
350-3-6NoNo0014850100.0270,638
1-0-8NoNo0115840100.0121,086
340-2-7NoNo006931100.0197,832
330-1-8NoNo02962Yes83,934
320-0-9NoNo0954Yes20,885
Total:No0.0%0000134681011121312118032.3%41,134,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship