How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG 1 Vitoria 3 +0.4
-14.4
+1.1
Atletico-GO 1 Cruzeiro 2 -0.5
+0.0
Coritiba 2 Botafogo 3 -1.0
+0.1
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1 -0.5
+0.0
Santos 1 Atletico-PR 0 -0.1
Bahia 1 Gremio 0 +1.8
-0.1
Chapecoense 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs VitoriaNoNo+0.0
-0.6-0.2+1.1
+7.5+0.8-13.4
-0.7-0.1+1.3
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Flamengo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+1.8-0.2-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG-0.5-0.1+0.7
Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama+0.6-0.3-0.4
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.6+0.1+1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense-0.1-0.2+0.3
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife+0.7-0.6-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Atletico-GO+0.7-0.6-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.1-0.7+0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Sport Recife+0.0NoNo
+0.7-0.3-0.6
-12.4+2.8+11.0
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6*+0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5*-0.0+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Cruzeiro+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.4
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.6*-0.0+1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Avai vs Vasco da Gama+0.9-0.3-0.7
Ponte Preta vs Santos+1.8-0.1-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo-0.3-0.5+0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Corinthians vs Coritiba-0.7+0.1+2.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
6813-0-01.9%Yes2732320No2,882
6612-1-0NoYes553691No115
6512-0-1NoYes34501421No179
6411-2-0NoYes19442980No502
6311-1-1No99.8%1034371620No1,780
6211-0-2No99.5423392761No2,943*
6110-2-1No97.611334351520No7,027
6010-1-2No92.705233926710No15,260*
599-3-1No82.40212333515200No25,433*
589-2-2No66.3005223827700No51,037*
579-1-3No45.40111323616200No86,972*
568-3-2No25.7004213928710No135,172*
558-2-3No11.600110323816300No225,257*
548-1-4No3.80042039288100No329,303*
537-3-3No0.90193037184000No465,919*
527-2-4No0.1003173530122000No664,030*
516-4-3No0.00172334259200No483,226
7-1-5No0.00172535238100No374,175*
506-3-4No0.0002112833196100No1,083,926*
496-2-5NoNo0041631291541000.0%913,751
5-5-3NoNo0031429311851000.0435,296*
485-4-4NoNo00151830281441000.0945,279
6-1-6NoNo00161931271230000.0602,600*
475-3-5NoNo00172131251130000.31,337,479
4-6-3NoNo00161931271330000.4400,075*
465-2-6NoNo00021024322282001.71,184,118
4-5-4NoNo00017213125112002.6717,338*
454-4-5NoNo00021025322281009.01,225,505
5-1-7NoNo00031126322171007.8708,886*
444-3-6NoNo00031329321850022.71,576,928*
3-6-4NoNo0021026332271028.8343,683*
434-2-7NoNo0015183330122043.81,091,858
3-5-5NoNo0004153132163050.5749,129*
423-4-6NoNo00162136278171.31,053,149
4-1-8NoNo00172336267068.9588,681*
413-3-7NoNo00211313717286.61,060,018
2-6-5NoNo00110293819288.7360,193*
403-2-8NoNo0005214029595.0697,659
2-5-6NoNo0003184033696.4479,514*
392-4-7NoNo0011034431298.8903,258*
382-3-8NoNo00424502299.8665,705*
372-2-9NoNo001145034100.0467,788*
361-4-8NoNo0074547100.0297,636*
351-3-9NoNo0033661100.0178,972*
341-2-10NoNo012772Yes100,388*
330-4-9NoNo001881Yes49,326*
320-3-10NoNo01189Yes21,372*
310-2-11NoNo793Yes8,521
300-1-12NoNo0496Yes2,511
290-0-13NoNo199Yes3,206
Total:0.0%0.9%00000113457889101011109433.4%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship