How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.1
+0.5
+0.3
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.1
+0.3
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.1
+0.2
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
+0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs CSA+0.7-0.4-0.7
+4.1-2.1-4.3
-2.5+0.7+3.1
+0.8-0.4-0.9
Vitoria vs Oeste+0.6-0.4-0.7
+3.9-2.3-4.4
-2.4+0.8+3.2
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CSA vs Juventude+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.3-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Avai vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.0+0.1*+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.1-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-98YesYes100No233,169*
8723-4-199.6%Yes1000No760*
8623-3-299.7Yes1000No1,664*
8523-2-399.7Yes1000No3,387*
8422-4-299.5Yes1000No6,740*
8322-3-399.2Yes991No13,489*
8221-5-298.7Yes9910No25,404*
8121-4-398.1Yes9820No46,670*
8021-3-497.1Yes9730No84,187*
7920-5-395.5Yes9640No146,050*
7820-4-493.4Yes9360No248,639*
7720-3-590.6Yes91900No410,532*
7619-5-486.8Yes871300No662,322*
7519-4-581.9Yes821710No1,044,074*
7418-6-476.0100.0%7622200No1,605,122*
7318-5-568.8100.06928300No2,414,307*
7218-4-660.4100.060346000No3,547,565*
7117-6-551.2100.051399100No5,100,620*
7017-5-641.699.9424314200No7,178,180*
6917-4-732.099.73244204000No9,883,244*
6816-6-623.199.32343267100No13,314,520*
6716-5-715.598.1163932112000No17,587,014*
6615-7-69.695.7103236184000No22,750,274*
6515-6-75.391.1524372581000No28,834,487*
6415-5-82.683.331634311430000No35,818,107*
6314-7-71.171.71927342161000No43,610,773*
6214-6-80.456.8051933281230000No52,052,204*
6114-5-90.140.2021127332061000No60,917,463*
6013-7-80.024.70151932281230000No69,893,204*
5913-6-90.012.80021126322171000No78,633,122*
5813-5-100.05.400151731291440000No86,756,152*
5712-7-90.01.80002923322392000No93,869,911*
5612-6-100.00.4000041428301751000No99,590,826*
5511-8-9No0.1000161931271230000No103,585,966*
5411-7-10No0.0000210253122820000No105,650,693*
5311-6-11No0.0000141528301751000No105,651,428*
5210-8-10No0.00001719312612300000.0%103,556,722*
5110-7-11No0.00000210243122920000.099,488,899*
5010-6-12NoNo0001414273018610000.093,676,894*
499-8-11NoNo0001618302714410000.086,425,368*
489-7-12NoNo0002922312410200000.378,114,124*
479-6-13NoNo0000312263019710001.469,131,907*
468-8-12NoNo000151729281541004.959,909,067*
458-7-13NoNo0000282231241020012.850,794,674*
448-6-14NoNo000031327311961026.342,150,529*
437-8-13NoNo00016183128133044.134,214,564*
427-7-14NoNo0002102533227162.627,144,158*
417-6-15NoNo0001517323113278.221,048,120*
406-8-14NoNo00029263622588.915,937,040*
396-7-15NoNo00014183632995.111,769,007*
386-6-16NoNo00021131391798.18,482,836*
375-8-15NoNo001624442699.45,958,994*
365-7-16NoNo000317443699.84,070,956*
355-6-17NoNo00111414899.92,712,684*
344-8-16NoNo00063558100.01,754,885*
334-7-17NoNo0032868100.01,100,334*
324-6-18NoNo0022277100.0670,216*
313-8-17NoNo0011683100.0393,888*
303-7-18NoNo001189Yes224,127*
293-6-19NoNo0792Yes122,846*
283-5-20NoNo0595Yes64,757*
272-7-19NoNo0397Yes33,259*
262-6-20NoNo0298Yes15,758*
252-5-21NoNo199Yes7,398*
241-7-20NoNo0100Yes3,279*
231-6-21NoNo0100Yes1,349*
221-5-22NoNo0100Yes531*
14-21NoNo100Yes232,881*
Total:1.5%13.9%134577888877654332116.5%1,870,384,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship