How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
+5.5*+0.0-11.7
-0.5-0.0+1.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.3-0.1-0.2
-10.5+1.7+7.4
+0.9-0.2-0.6
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+1.4-0.1-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Figueirense vs CRB+0.9-0.1-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.7-0.2+1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Londrina+0.8-0.2-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.7-0.1-0.5
Parana vs Criciuma-0.7-0.3+1.3
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.5-0.1+0.8
America-MG vs Guarani+0.6-0.7-0.3
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.3-0.7+0.2
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.3-0.7+0.1
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.2-0.6+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.3-0.1-0.2
-10.6+1.4+7.0
+0.9-0.2-0.6
Vila Nova vs Vitoria-0.2-0.1+0.3
+9.0+1.7-11.0
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4*+0.0+0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.8-0.1+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.7-0.1+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Sport Recife+1.4-0.1-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.8-0.1+1.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+1.4-0.2-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.7-0.1-0.5
America-MG vs Operario-PR+1.1-0.3-0.8
CRB vs Parana-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.7-0.2+1.2
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Oeste-0.4-0.6+0.6
Sao Bento vs Figueirense+0.5-0.6-0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani+0.3-0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8121-0-099.6%Yes1000No2,154
7518-3-0YesYes100No2
7418-2-183.3Yes8317No6
7318-1-280.0Yes8020No5*
7217-3-171.4Yes7129No21*
7117-2-255.9Yes56386No34*
7017-1-359.0Yes59365No83*
6916-3-238.1Yes384517No160*
6816-2-333.499.7%33451930No368*
6715-4-222.099.522492360No651*
6615-3-315.698.6164132101No1,393*
6515-2-46.696.9733401730No2,462*
6414-4-33.192.23233927710No4,234*
6314-3-41.781.4214333315300No7,358*
6213-5-30.567.517243624810No12,174*
6113-4-40.148.10214313116400No19,678*
6013-3-50.029.901722332510200No31,316*
5912-5-4No14.70212283219610No47,155*
5812-4-50.05.8001518312814300No70,139*
5712-3-6No1.8002923312410200No101,580*
5611-5-5No0.40003132731196100No143,191*
5511-4-6No0.1001517302814400No196,591*
5411-3-7No0.0002822322510200No263,265*
5310-5-6No0.00003122632206100No342,257*
5210-4-7NoNo0014163130153000No433,193*
519-6-6NoNo00172233269200No538,061*
509-5-7NoNo00021127331961000.0%648,689*
499-4-8NoNo00141732301330000.0760,535*
488-6-7NoNo0001824342481000.1869,988*
478-5-8NoNo0031330321751000.6972,044*
468-4-9NoNo00162033271120002.31,055,572*
457-6-8NoNo0021027332161007.11,118,063*
447-5-9NoNo00041732301430016.71,150,475*
437-4-10NoNo001824342371031.51,155,518*
426-6-9NoNo003153232153049.81,123,740*
416-5-10NoNo00172436257167.71,066,474*
406-4-11NoNo00315333414282.0983,922*
395-6-10NoNo0018263923491.4879,475*
385-5-11NoNo003173833896.5763,800*
375-4-12NoNo0011033421598.8643,076*
364-6-11NoNo000525472399.7524,198*
354-5-12NoNo00217473499.9412,630*
344-4-13NoNo01104445100.0313,813*
333-6-12NoNo0063856100.0230,577*
323-5-13NoNo0033167100.0163,104*
313-4-14NoNo012376Yes109,622*
302-6-13NoNo011783Yes71,361*
292-5-14NoNo001188Yes44,511*
282-4-15NoNo0892Yes26,211*
272-3-16NoNo0595Yes14,624*
261-5-15NoNo397Yes7,787*
251-4-16NoNo199Yes3,883*
241-3-17NoNo199Yes1,719*
231-2-18NoNo199Yes707*
220-4-17NoNo0100Yes240*
18-21NoNo100Yes2,271*
Total:0.0%0.3%0000011223568101112121110639.5%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship