How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +1.9
+5.9
-4.8
+1.1
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-2.5-0.8+3.5
-5.8-1.6+7.9
+2.4+0.4-3.0
-0.8-0.2+1.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians+2.9-1.1-2.6
+7.0-2.3-6.3
-2.9+0.7+2.8
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.1+0.2-0.3
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.2
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Santos vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai*+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-111YesYes100No2,616*
8525-6-499.8%Yes1000No660*
8424-5-699.9Yes1000No1,139*
8324-6-599.9Yes1000No1,786*
8223-5-799.7Yes1000No2,655*
8123-6-699.4Yes991No4,107*
8023-7-599.4Yes991No6,028*
7922-6-798.9Yes991No9,071*
7822-7-698.3Yes9820No13,221*
7722-8-597.1Yes9730No18,631*
7621-7-796.0Yes9640No25,833*
7521-8-694.1Yes9460No35,539*
7420-7-891.5Yes9280No47,993*
7320-8-788.1Yes881100No63,037*
7220-9-683.6Yes841610No81,984*
7119-8-878.0Yes782020No105,837*
7019-9-770.6100.0%71263000No132,298*
6919-10-662.3100.062325000No164,504*
6818-9-852.599.953379100No200,056*
6718-10-742.499.8424114200No242,115*
6617-9-931.899.53243204000No283,887*
6517-10-822.398.62241278100No330,857*
6417-11-714.196.4143632143000No378,998*
6316-10-97.991.7827352171000No427,470*
6216-11-83.883.04183328133000No472,247*
6116-12-71.569.521026322182000No516,298*
6015-11-90.551.505173028155100No554,765*
5915-12-80.132.10292230241130000No585,837*
5815-13-70.016.000312252920820000No611,282*
5714-12-90.05.900151527281761000No628,110*
5614-13-8No1.5001718282614510000No632,492*
5514-14-7No0.3000282028241341000No629,962*
5413-13-9No0.000029212923113100No615,042*
5313-14-8No0.0000310222922103000No590,250*
5212-13-10NoNo001311232921920000.0%558,812*
5112-14-9NoNo0001413242820820000.0520,181*
5012-15-8NoNo0001414262818710000.2477,689*
4911-14-10NoNo000151627271661001.1429,104*
4811-15-9NoNo000271828261441004.8380,700*
4711-16-8NoNo000292130241130013.9332,684*
4610-15-10NoNo00031225302071029.3284,784*
4510-16-9NoNo0015162929164049.1240,030*
4410-17-8NoNo000282232259168.1198,796*
439-16-10NoNo00313293317382.6160,914*
429-17-9NoNo0017223627791.7128,675*
419-18-8NoNo00031533351396.4101,397*
408-17-10NoNo01828412298.677,979*
398-18-9NoNo000421433299.558,924*
388-19-8NoNo0214414299.943,406*
377-18-10NoNo00193753100.031,436*
367-19-9NoNo0053262100.022,674*
357-20-8NoNo0032572100.015,637*
346-19-10NoNo012079Yes10,883*
336-20-9NoNo011485Yes7,147*
326-21-8NoNo01189Yes4,633*
315-20-10NoNo0892Yes3,026*
305-21-9NoNo0595Yes1,842*
295-22-8NoNo496Yes1,136*
285-23-7NoNo298Yes666*
274-22-9NoNo199Yes388*
264-23-8NoNo199Yes206*
254-24-7NoNo199Yes128*
6-24NoNo100Yes1,676*
Total:8.4%31.1%888776666555444332218.3%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship