How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Tupi vs Goias+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Vila Nova vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Tupi-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Tupi vs Paysandu+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Joinville vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Tupi finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-114YesYes100No50,673*
8827-4-799.9%Yes1000No1,467*
8727-5-6YesYes100No2,563*
8627-6-5100.0Yes1000No4,330*
8526-5-799.9Yes1000No7,146*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No11,543*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No18,617*
8225-6-799.8Yes1000No29,502*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No45,782*
8024-6-899.6Yes1000No69,694*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No104,879*
7824-8-699.0Yes9910No154,208*
7723-7-898.3Yes9820No223,865*
7623-8-797.5Yes97300No319,735*
7523-9-696.2Yes96400No449,336*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No622,002*
7322-9-791.8Yes92800No847,620*
7222-10-688.3100.0%8811000No1,139,790*
7121-9-883.7100.08415100No1,508,506*
7021-10-777.7100.07820200No1,963,400*
6920-9-970.3100.07026300No2,518,070*
6820-10-861.4100.061326000No3,188,564*
6720-11-751.599.95138101000No3,972,000*
6619-10-940.799.84142152000No4,881,883*
6519-11-830.099.330432251000No5,907,081*
6419-12-720.298.1204029102000No7,050,327*
6318-11-912.195.21233341641000No8,285,914*
6218-12-86.389.16243524920000No9,605,450*
6118-13-72.778.13153030165100000No10,979,288*
6017-12-90.961.61722312411300000No12,355,980*
5917-13-80.241.503122630197200000No13,717,216*
5816-12-100.022.401516282716510000No15,026,126*
5716-13-90.09.0002719282513410000No16,202,215*
5616-14-80.02.50002921282312310000No17,231,100*
5515-13-100.00.4000031022282210310000No18,059,310*
5415-14-9No0.00001311232821103000000.0%18,653,052*
5315-15-8No0.0000013112328219300000.018,999,501*
5214-14-10No0.0000014122328219200000.019,058,731*
5114-15-9No0.0000014122428209200000.018,849,001*
5014-16-8NoNo00001413242820820000.318,365,385*
4913-15-10NoNo00001414252819720001.717,629,500*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151527281761007.016,676,742*
4713-17-8NoNo0000161828271441019.215,529,395*
4612-16-10NoNo000029213025112038.014,247,548*
4512-17-9NoNo00003122531217159.012,869,061*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.811,458,039*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253524688.710,042,001*
4211-18-9NoNo000141734331295.28,654,125*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.27,344,591*
4010-18-10NoNo0001521433099.46,123,356*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.85,031,963*
3810-20-8NoNo000193753100.04,064,131*
379-19-10NoNo000053163100.03,225,004*
369-20-9NoNo0032573100.02,516,697*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.01,928,902*
348-20-10NoNo0011386100.01,452,959*
338-21-9NoNo000990100.01,075,567*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes777,004*
317-21-10NoNo00496Yes553,832*
307-22-9NoNo00397Yes386,801*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes264,772*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes176,879*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes116,370*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes75,013*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes46,574*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes28,441*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes17,014*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes9,981*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes5,624*
204-26-8NoNo0100Yes3,178*
0-19NoNo100Yes52,244*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%392,864,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship