How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Tupi vs Goias+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Tupi-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Tupi vs Paysandu+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Joinville vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Tupi finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-114YesYes100No152,746*
8828-6-4100.0%Yes1000No4,499*
8727-5-6100.0Yes1000No7,602*
8627-6-5100.0Yes1000No12,927*
8526-5-799.9Yes1000No21,268*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No34,854*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No55,787*
8225-6-799.8Yes1000No87,922*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No136,716*
8024-6-899.6Yes10000No207,410*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No312,091*
7824-8-698.9Yes9910No461,610*
7723-7-898.3Yes9820No669,020*
7623-8-797.5Yes9730No957,318*
7523-9-696.2Yes9640No1,348,669*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No1,866,542*
7322-9-791.8Yes92800No2,548,576*
7222-10-688.4100.0%8811000No3,420,235*
7121-9-883.8100.08415100No4,531,991*
7021-10-777.8100.07820200No5,902,168*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No7,579,328*
6820-10-861.6100.062326000No9,588,200*
6720-11-751.699.95238101000No11,968,476*
6619-10-940.899.84142152000No14,693,920*
6519-11-830.199.330432251000No17,794,317*
6419-12-720.398.12040281020000No21,232,983*
6318-11-912.295.21233341641000No24,989,043*
6218-12-86.489.262435249200000No28,970,953*
6118-13-72.878.2315303016510000No33,099,403*
6017-12-91.061.71822312411300000No37,296,991*
5917-13-80.241.603122630197200000No41,402,575*
5816-12-100.022.501516282716510000No45,340,569*
5716-13-90.09.1002719282513410000No48,907,806*
5616-14-80.02.50002921282312310000No52,008,446*
5515-13-100.00.400003102228221031000000.0%54,516,079*
5415-14-9No0.00001311232821103000000.056,338,752*
5315-15-8No0.00000131123282193000000.057,335,350*
5214-14-10No0.0000014122328219200000.057,535,837*
5114-15-9No0.0000014122428209200000.056,896,778*
5014-16-8NoNo00001413242820820000.355,432,177*
4913-15-10NoNo00001414252819720001.753,215,585*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151527281761007.150,314,330*
4713-17-8NoNo00000161828271441019.346,868,471*
4612-16-10NoNo000028213025112038.143,006,802*
4512-17-9NoNo00003122531217159.238,848,483*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.934,567,202*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253524688.730,269,485*
4211-18-9NoNo000141634331295.226,075,806*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.222,129,145*
4010-18-10NoNo0001521433099.418,460,625*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.815,159,280*
3810-20-8NoNo00193753100.012,231,231*
379-19-10NoNo00053164100.09,709,150*
369-20-9NoNo00032573100.07,572,669*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.05,800,445*
348-20-10NoNo0011386100.04,363,633*
338-21-9NoNo00990Yes3,223,243*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes2,336,908*
317-21-10NoNo00496Yes1,663,378*
307-22-9NoNo0397Yes1,160,788*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes792,210*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes530,063*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes346,447*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes222,574*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes139,353*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes85,184*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes51,279*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes29,579*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes16,598*
204-26-8NoNo0100Yes9,274*
0-19NoNo100Yes157,326*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,185,024,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship