How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.2
+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO+3.5-1.3-3.1
+10.4-2.6-9.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife-2.9-1.2+3.5
-9.2-2.4+10.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.2+0.8
CRB vs Bragantino+1.1+0.6-1.2
-0.5+0.4+0.2
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.7+0.5+0.9
-0.7+0.5+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.2+0.5-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.9
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.4-0.8
Guarani vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.4+0.5+0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.5+0.3+0.5
Parana vs Criciuma-0.5+0.3+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Bragantino+5.0-0.9-3.8
+10.7-1.9-8.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.1-0.6
Oeste vs Sport Recife-3.1-1.6+2.8
-9.5-4.1+8.0
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-0.8-0.3+0.6
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-1.0+0.7+1.4
-0.4+0.3+0.5
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+0.6+0.4-0.8
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.6+0.5+0.4
+0.1+0.6-0.6
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.2+0.1+0.3
-1.0+0.7+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.0+0.7+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.6-0.8
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.8
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.7
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.8
CRB vs Parana-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.5+0.2
Londrina vs CRB*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.6-0.3
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.5+0.3+0.5
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.5+0.2-0.5
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
84-92YesYes100No3,437*
8317-3-199.5%Yes991No1,380*
8217-2-299.3Yes991No2,843*
8116-4-198.5Yes991No4,933*
8016-3-297.4Yes9730No8,980*
7916-2-396.1Yes9640No15,454*
7815-4-294.0Yes9460No24,530*
7715-3-391.2Yes9190No40,042*
7615-2-487.1Yes87130No61,268*
7514-4-382.2Yes821710No89,843*
7414-3-475.5Yes762310No130,311*
7313-5-367.9Yes682930No181,481*
7213-4-458.9100.0%5936500No247,125*
7113-3-549.0100.049428000No325,096*
7012-5-438.7100.0394713100No415,182*
6912-4-528.999.9294820200No516,145*
6812-3-620.099.62047285000No627,475*
6711-5-512.598.913413510100No737,079*
6611-4-67.096.973340173000No845,694*
6510-6-53.592.632341257100No945,506*
6410-5-61.484.51143633132000No1,025,719*
6310-4-70.571.5072737226100No1,086,631*
629-6-60.154.703173430133000No1,124,745*
619-5-70.036.501926342171000No1,128,562*
609-4-80.020.4004163230144000No1,105,930*
598-6-70.09.400182333249200No1,053,097*
588-5-8No3.4003132831185100No981,647*
578-4-9No0.90016193127123000No887,550*
567-6-8No0.2002102432228100No782,963*
557-5-9No0.00004142931175100No668,916*
547-4-10No0.0001619322712200No558,539*
536-6-9NoNo002102533227100No451,398*
526-5-10NoNo0003143031164000No355,487*
516-4-11NoNo00162033271120000.0%272,051*
505-6-10NoNo0021026332171000.0202,015*
495-5-11NoNo0004153030154000.0145,199*
485-4-12NoNo017213326102000.2101,303*
474-6-11NoNo0021126322071001.168,425*
464-5-12NoNo0004163029154004.444,676*
454-4-13NoNo0182232251020012.227,855*
443-6-12NoNo0031227321951025.216,949*
433-5-13NoNo016183229122043.39,623*
423-4-14NoNo02102633225061.55,289*
412-6-13NoNo00417333213178.62,866*
402-5-14NoNo029263622588.81,556*
392-4-15NoNo04173734895.9691*
381-6-14NoNo12832401797.4306*
371-5-15NoNo5314024Yes137*
361-4-16NoNo105040Yes50*
351-3-17NoNo55342Yes19*
341-2-18NoNo2971Yes7*
330-4-17NoNo100Yes1
290-0-21NoNo0694Yes2,154
Total:8.0%47.0%81214131110875432110000000.1%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship