How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba 2 Botafogo 3 -0.3
-0.7
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Cruzeiro 2 -0.3
-0.4
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1 -0.1
-0.3
+0.1
Flamengo 1 Avai 1 +0.1
+0.0
Bahia 1 Gremio 0 +0.1
+1.1
-0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Vitoria 3 +0.8
Santos 1 Atletico-PR 0 -0.1
+0.0
Chapecoense 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.0No
+1.8-0.7-1.4
-8.8+1.8+7.7
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife-1.3-0.7+1.7
+8.5+1.4-9.4
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians-0.3*-0.0+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Flamengo+0.3+0.1-0.3
+1.3-0.2-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.6-0.1+1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4*+0.0+0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Santos-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Avai vs Atletico-GO+0.5-0.4-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.1-0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Sport Recife-1.3-0.7+1.8
+8.2+1.3-9.4
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Corinthians vs Coritiba-0.5+0.1+1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.5*-0.0+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3*+0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Cruzeiro+0.1+0.1-0.2
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5*-0.0+0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Santos+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+1.4-0.1-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Avai vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo-0.2-0.4+0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7114-0-016.2%Yes167590No2,877
6913-1-07.0Yes77023No71
6813-0-13.0Yes366283No132
6712-2-00.3Yes04742101No350
6612-1-10.6Yes132452030No1,270
6511-3-00.2Yes021452761No2,206*
6411-2-1No100.0%1237351420No5,383
6311-1-2No99.5526392351No11,160*
6210-3-1No98.121536331220No19,151*
6110-2-2No94.718273822500No38,287*
6010-1-3No86.9031636321220No64,862*
599-3-2No73.6018273822500No103,766*
589-2-3No56.100317363211100No173,441*
578-4-2No36.500182839213000No254,889*
568-3-3No19.8003173833910No367,404*
558-2-4No8.60018294118300No528,145*
547-4-3No2.80031740309100No693,324*
537-3-4No0.70173038194000No897,384*
527-2-5No0.100317363011200No716,480
6-5-3No0.100216353213300No416,974*
516-4-4No0.000062435248100No857,312
7-1-6No0.00172536237100No474,925*
506-3-5No0.0002122933196100No1,539,570*
496-2-6NoNo0041731291440000.0%975,559
5-5-4NoNo0031530301651000.0742,262*
485-4-5NoNo00161931271330000.01,200,027
6-1-7NoNo00162031271230000.0610,981*
475-3-6NoNo00182231241020000.31,349,752
4-6-4NoNo00172031261230000.4517,396*
465-2-7NoNo00021025312281001.6971,953
4-5-5NoNo0028223124102002.4875,469*
454-4-6NoNo00021125312171008.61,731,765*
444-3-7NoNo00031428311850022.81,112,726
3-6-5NoNo0031227322061026.5467,544*
434-2-8NoNo0015183229132044.1697,726
3-5-6NoNo0004153132163050.1678,774*
423-4-7NoNo00162135278171.11,137,082*
413-3-8NoNo00210293819287.7905,502*
403-2-9NoNo004183932696.0686,529*
392-4-8NoNo001933441399.0488,426*
382-3-9NoNo00322512499.8332,998*
372-2-10NoNo01135036100.0212,821*
361-4-9NoNo0064350100.0126,146*
351-3-10NoNo033463Yes70,032*
341-2-11NoNo012574Yes35,739*
330-4-10NoNo01783Yes16,089*
320-3-11NoNo01189Yes6,480*
310-2-12NoNo694Yes2,348
300-1-13NoNo397Yes524
290-0-14NoNo199Yes2,947
Total:0.0%2.4%0000113578999998765220.6%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship