"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Sport Recife-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Palmeiras vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
93-114YesYes100No351,460*
9229-5-499.9%Yes1000No970*
9129-4-5YesYes100No1,717*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No3,115*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No5,647*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No10,059*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No17,237*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No29,136*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No48,765*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No79,521*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No128,637*
8225-7-699.8Yes10000No203,336*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No316,260*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No482,985*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No725,772*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No1,072,056*
7723-8-798.4Yes98200No1,556,522*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No2,230,641*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No3,147,403*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No4,361,504*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No5,954,199*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No8,006,130*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No10,605,003*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No13,839,926*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No17,797,844*
6820-8-1062.2Yes62326000No22,536,269*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%523791000No28,129,151*
6619-9-1041.4100.04141152000No34,602,301*
6519-8-1130.7100.031432151000No41,938,433*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No50,108,886*
6318-9-1112.5100.01334331641000No58,993,286*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No68,459,859*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No78,329,338*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No88,322,158*
5917-8-130.391.0031326291972000000No98,147,586*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No107,500,656*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No116,087,300*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No123,528,040*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No129,578,898*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%133,946,622*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0136,465,815*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0137,044,539*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0135,572,177*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3132,166,695*
4913-10-15No0.000001514252818710001.6126,932,796*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.8120,111,605*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7111,930,997*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.5102,725,996*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.592,838,579*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.482,616,029*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.572,381,213*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.162,403,206*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.252,933,624*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.444,172,347*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.836,264,237*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.029,273,098*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.023,229,507*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.018,122,118*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.013,883,318*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.010,446,454*
338-9-21NoNo0001090100.07,715,334*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes5,595,949*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,977,495*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes2,774,606*
297-8-23NoNo00298Yes1,894,589*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,267,284*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes830,318*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes531,266*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes332,882*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes203,393*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes121,362*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes70,581*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes39,985*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes21,734*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes11,859*
0-18NoNo100Yes362,465*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,818,450,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship