How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 -0.1
-3.1
+0.3
-0.4
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.0
+0.1
+0.0
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.1
-0.1
Bahia 1 CRB 1 +0.4
+0.0
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 +0.4
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -1.0
-0.1
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.7
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 +0.5
CRB 1 Brusque 1 +0.2
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 +0.2
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.2
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.2
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.1
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.1
Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife-0.1-0.0+0.1
-4.4-1.7+5.5
+0.9+0.1-0.9
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Sport Recife vs Guarani+0.1-0.0-0.1
+4.1-2.6-4.8
-0.9+0.2+1.4
+0.7-0.4-0.9
Cruzeiro vs Bahia+0.6+0.0-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.5+0.4+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.9+0.4-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Chapecoense vs Gremio+1.1+0.5-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.9+0.6+1.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Novorizontino+0.0+0.2-0.2
Criciuma vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Brusque+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8419-0-093.4%Yes9370No42,206
8218-1-085.6Yes8614No97
8118-0-185.4Yes85141No123
8017-2-077.9Yes7822No485
7917-1-169.0Yes69310No1,486
7816-3-059.1Yes59401No2,770*
7716-2-151.8Yes52471No7,830
7616-1-243.0Yes435430No15,921*
7515-3-135.2Yes356050No30,962*
7415-2-227.6Yes286480No65,453*
7315-1-320.2100.0%20671310No116,099*
7214-3-214.0100.014661910No208,721*
7114-2-39.299.99622630No367,100*
7013-4-25.799.865533600No593,952*
6913-3-33.299.4346401010No953,900*
6813-2-41.698.52374515200No1,472,001*
6712-4-30.896.71274623300No2,166,871*
6612-3-40.393.40184431600No3,142,334*
6511-5-30.188.0012393811100No4,376,341*
6411-4-40.079.907314218200No5,885,423*
6311-3-50.068.9032243274000No7,747,716*
6210-5-40.055.4011440368100No9,824,761*
6110-4-50.040.8018324215200No12,099,812*
6010-3-60.027.00042344245000No14,543,984*
599-5-50.015.6002144033101000No16,879,077*
589-4-6No7.700731381840000No19,065,017*
579-3-7No3.100321382891000No20,975,934*
568-5-6No1.00011131341841000No22,332,130*
558-4-7No0.30005213527102000No23,148,037*
548-3-8No0.00021128332061000No23,341,837*
537-5-7No0.000041731291430000No22,800,745*
527-4-8No0.00018233224102000No21,655,715*
516-6-7No0.000031227312071000No19,973,830*
506-5-8NoNo001416292916410000.0%17,837,099*
496-4-9NoNo000172031261230000.015,480,481*
485-6-8NoNo00029233223920000.013,016,555*
475-5-9NoNo00031226312071000.110,590,183*
465-4-10NoNo000141529301641000.68,341,166*
454-6-9NoNo00016193127123002.96,355,152*
444-5-10NoNo0002924332381009.64,671,860*
434-4-11NoNo00031329321850022.93,311,383*
423-6-10NoNo0015193329112042.12,260,905*
413-5-11NoNo000292635225062.61,482,444*
403-4-12NoNo000416343312179.8933,275*
392-6-11NoNo0018273922390.8562,505*
382-5-12NoNo003184033696.5322,157*
372-4-13NoNo011034431298.9175,359*
362-3-14NoNo000426502099.790,379*
351-5-13NoNo02175130100.043,835*
341-4-14NoNo01104841100.019,574*
331-3-15NoNo054153Yes8,080*
320-5-14NoNo023464Yes3,143*
310-4-15NoNo12475Yes1,021*
300-3-16NoNo1882Yes331*
290-2-17NoNo1288Yes77
280-1-18NoNo1189Yes9
270-0-19NoNo0595Yes42,197
Total:0.1%12.4%0147121312119865432110001.6%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship