How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife-2.6-1.3+2.6
-7.4-3.2+7.1
+0.8+0.1-0.6
-0.8-0.3+0.7
Parana vs Bragantino+0.7+0.4-0.8
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.7+0.4+0.7
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.6+0.5+0.4
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.4+0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.4
CRB vs Guarani-0.2+0.2+0.2
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-105YesYes100No2,242*
8823-4-399.2%Yes991No364*
8723-3-499.8Yes1000No594*
8622-5-399.8Yes1000No1,122*
8522-4-499.6Yes10000No1,802*
8422-3-598.9Yes991No3,232*
8321-5-498.5Yes991No4,886*
8221-4-597.4Yes973No7,686*
8120-6-496.7Yes9730No11,793*
8020-5-595.5Yes9540No17,558*
7920-4-693.3Yes9370No25,429*
7819-6-590.9Yes91900No36,710*
7719-5-687.5Yes88120No51,850*
7618-7-583.2Yes831610No70,882*
7518-6-678.3Yes782010No95,142*
7418-5-771.8Yes722620No124,895*
7317-7-664.8100.0%6531400No161,049*
7217-6-756.4100.05637600No204,721*
7117-5-847.5100.0484210100No254,925*
7016-7-738.499.9384515200No310,862*
6916-6-829.699.7304621400No370,088*
6816-5-921.399.2214427710No435,562*
6715-7-814.498.114393311200No501,113*
6615-6-98.895.793237184000No566,163*
6514-8-84.991.252437258100No629,498*
6414-7-92.483.32163431143000No686,177*
6314-6-101.071.6192734216100No733,179*
6213-8-90.356.405193328123000No771,834*
6113-7-100.139.5021127322071000No794,502*
6013-6-110.023.9015183128133000No803,633*
5912-8-100.012.10021025312282000No799,534*
5812-7-110.04.900141629291651000No779,770*
5712-6-12No1.50018213125113000No748,402*
5611-8-11No0.30003122530207200No702,645*
5511-7-12No0.100151629281651000No650,308*
5411-6-13No0.00017203025123000No588,633*
5310-8-12NoNo0021024302292000No524,006*
5210-7-13NoNo001414272918610000.0%454,923*
519-9-12NoNo000161829271441000.0388,538*
509-8-13NoNo000292130241130000.0325,648*
499-7-14NoNo00031225302081000.1267,343*
488-9-13NoNo000151628291651000.8215,419*
478-8-14NoNo00027203126123003.0169,636*
468-7-15NoNo0003112531218109.0130,683*
457-9-14NoNo00151629291640020.099,056*
447-8-15NoNo0002822322592035.873,456*
437-7-16NoNo0003132932174053.553,043*
426-9-15NoNo00172134269170.737,875*
416-8-16NoNo00314303417383.225,778*
406-7-17NoNo0017243725691.817,435*
395-9-16NoNo0031636341096.211,478*
385-8-17NoNo0011031401898.47,331*
375-7-18NoNo1524442699.44,582*
365-6-19NoNo0317443699.72,824*
354-8-18NoNo0111434599.91,637*
344-7-19NoNo163954Yes938*
334-6-20NoNo43166Yes549*
323-8-19NoNo22177Yes289*
313-7-20NoNo22078Yes135*
302-9-19NoNo793Yes72*
292-8-20NoNo1783Yes42*
282-7-21NoNo694Yes16*
25-27NoNo100Yes9*
150-0-30NoNo0100Yes1,834
Total:8.2%40.5%8111111109876543321110001.3%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship