How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -0.8 +2.3 -0.1 Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.4 +0.1 -0.0 Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.1 Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.3 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta +3.2-0.1-0.7 -23.3-0.9+5.5 +0.1-0.0-0.0 Novorizontino vs Santos +0.2-0.1-0.6 -0.2+0.2+0.3 Santos vs Bragantino -0.6-0.1+0.2 +0.3+0.2-0.1 Guarani vs Palmeiras -0.5-0.1+0.2 +0.3+0.1-0.2 Novorizontino vs Guarani +0.2-0.1-0.5 -0.1+0.2+0.3 Mirassol vs Botafogo -0.2+0.1+0.4 -1.4+0.4+3.8 Inter de Limeira vs Ituano +3.7+0.1-1.1 Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira +0.5-1.8+0.8 Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre -0.5+0.5+1.5 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Sao Caetano vs Ituano +3.2-0.1-0.7 -23.4-0.9+5.5 +0.1-0.0-0.0 Botafogo vs Sao Caetano -0.8-0.5+1.9 +11.5+3.2-23.8 -0.0-0.0+0.1 Santo Andre vs Guarani +0.4+0.0-0.5 +1.1-0.0-1.2 Santos vs Corinthians -0.6-0.1+0.2 +0.3+0.2-0.2 Ponte Preta vs Mirassol +0.2+0.0-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Palmeiras vs Mirassol +0.1-0.0-0.2 -0.1+0.1+0.1 Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre -0.9+0.2+1.5 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira -0.8+0.6+4.3 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira -1.0+0.2+3.8 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino +2.7+0.7-1.1 Ituano vs Sao Paulo +0.1+0.0-0.1

## What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Caetano finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed Serie TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 A2 Count 17 5 - 0 - 0 93.9 % 56 38 6 0 No 485,676 15 4 - 1 - 0 71.3 23 48 25 4 No 1,920,638 14 4 - 0 - 1 53.5 12 42 37 9 No 4,750,304 13 3 - 2 - 0 33.9 5 29 46 20 0.0 % 5,340,786 12 3 - 1 - 1 17.0 1 16 45 38 0.1 26,132,233 11 3 - 0 - 2 6.6 0 6 36 58 1.8 31,902,193 2 - 3 - 0 4.5 0 4 32 63 2.7 7,131,551 10 2 - 2 - 1 1.9 0 2 22 76 13.5 51,760,267 9 2 - 1 - 2 0.3 0 0 9 91 40.3 124,790,265 1 - 4 - 0 0.0 0 2 98 48.3 4,558,189 8 2 - 0 - 3 0.0 0 1 99 71.8 99,895,449 1 - 3 - 1 Out 100 76.4 43,504,577 2 -7 Out 100 98.9 1,000,435,728 * Total: 1.0 % 0 1 4 95 82.3 % 1,402,607,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Lottery seed Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.1 Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 +0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta -0.9-0.0+0.2 Inter de Limeira vs Ituano +0.1+0.0-0.0 Mirassol vs Botafogo -0.0+0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Lottery seed Botafogo vs Sao Caetano +0.4+0.1-0.8 Sao Caetano vs Ituano -0.9-0.0+0.2 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira -0.0+0.0+0.2 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira -0.0+0.0+0.1 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino +0.1+0.0-0.0

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 5 - 0 - 0 56 0 25 12 0 2 4 1 0 15 4 - 1 - 0 23 8 34 6 1 11 14 3 0 0 14 4 - 0 - 1 12 2 30 10 0 7 23 14 2 0 13 3 - 2 - 0 5 0 16 13 0 3 20 30 12 1 0 12 3 - 1 - 1 1 0 5 10 0 0 10 36 31 5 0 0 11 3 - 0 - 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 2 20 47 22 2 0 2 - 3 - 0 0 1 4 0 1 15 47 29 3 0 10 2 - 2 - 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 34 46 13 1 9 2 - 1 - 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 47 34 6 1 - 4 - 0 0 0 6 46 40 8 8 2 - 0 - 3 0 0 2 26 52 20 1 - 3 - 1 0 1 23 52 25 7 1 - 2 - 2 0 6 43 50 0 - 5 - 0 0 1 38 60 6 1 - 1 - 3 0 1 25 74 0 - 4 - 1 0 21 79 5 1 - 0 - 4 11 89 0 - 3 - 2 5 95 2 -4 100 Total: 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 4 10 20 62