How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -17.2
+0.8
-0.2
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.8
+0.0
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 +0.2
-0.4
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Novorizontino vs Santos-7.7+2.5+26.9
+1.1-1.3-2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.5
Santos vs Bragantino+27.3+3.0-7.2
-2.5-1.3+1.1
+0.5+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Palmeiras-14.9-1.4+6.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Novorizontino vs Guarani+5.3-2.2-15.3
-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Mirassol vs Botafogo-4.1+3.4+8.1
-0.4+0.1+1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta-1.2+0.0+0.3
+1.2+0.0-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira-0.0-0.4+0.5
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+2.0+0.0-0.6
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.1+0.1+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Corinthians+26.1+1.3-8.9
-2.5-1.3+1.3
+0.5+0.0-0.2
Santo Andre vs Guarani+10.3+2.2-12.9
+0.3-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol+4.5+0.6-5.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Mirassol+3.0-0.5-5.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ituano-1.2+0.0+0.2
+1.2+0.0-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.3+0.2-0.7
+0.5-0.7-0.2
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.4+0.3+2.3
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira-0.5+0.1+2.1
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+1.0+0.1-0.3
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.3*-0.0+0.5
Ituano vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
245-0-0In1000No566,627
224-1-0100.0%9730No2,333,734
214-0-199.99370No5,645,231
203-2-099.685150No6,105,562
193-1-199.379201No29,362,454
183-0-297.667312No35,213,713
2-3-096.761353No7,782,539
172-2-192.7484470No55,610,955
162-1-288.23850120No132,146,111
1-4-086.33452140No4,777,649
152-0-377.52453220No104,322,203
1-3-172.41953280No45,006,552
141-2-259.011484100.0%158,206,513
0-5-057.710474200.01,115,705
131-1-347.76415200.0246,056,850
0-4-143.35385610.012,878,558
121-0-431.32296720.1142,713,156
0-3-224.81237320.259,103,228
110-2-313.80138151.8134,484,247
100-1-48.2088488.9151,505,154
90-0-52.803811627.967,671,115
Total:48.5%15334922.5%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.9
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 -0.2
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.0
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Novorizontino vs Santos+0.7-0.2-2.4
Santos vs Bragantino-2.4-0.2+0.6
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.8+0.1-0.3
Novorizontino vs Guarani-0.3+0.1+0.9
Mirassol vs Botafogo+0.3-0.3-0.5
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Santos vs Corinthians-2.3-0.1+0.8
Santo Andre vs Guarani-0.5-0.2+0.7
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol-0.3-0.1+0.4
Palmeiras vs Mirassol-0.3+0.0+0.5
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+0.1-0.0-0.0
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.0-0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1-0.0
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
245-0-084842100
224-1-005741822000
214-0-10149432500000
203-2-0315311040000
193-1-11663011900000
183-0-24620121801100
2-3-0610132211210
172-2-1480735213300
162-1-2380440604620
1-4-0340341704720
152-0-3240240120312600
1-3-119137150415900
141-2-21102820011422300
0-5-01002622011524200
131-1-3601626001033900
0-4-15012260010351210
121-0-4206220063921200
0-3-2104200033135600
110-2-301120120461820
100-1-4008007393790
90-0-5003012048262
Total:001150217140161815920