How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Santo Andre+3.9-2.1-7.0
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Ituano vs Red Bull+2.3+0.7-3.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Linense-2.1+1.3+2.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Mirassol vs Ponte Preta-0.4+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Corinthians+4.3-0.2-4.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Red Bull vs Sao Bento-2.8+0.9+2.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santo Andre vs Botafogo+2.1+0.8-2.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ferroviaria vs Mirassol+0.2+0.1-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
24-26In100No2,269,277*
233-0-1In991No1,954,950
222-2-099.9%9550No1,209,117
212-1-199.99370No3,040,401
202-0-299.081181No1,886,198
1-3-097.872252No419,223
191-2-196.5663030No1,567,866
181-1-293.0543970No1,924,577
0-4-088.04246120No53,975
171-0-381.83349180No777,395
0-3-175.22550250No268,230
160-2-265.91848331No490,020
150-1-351.31042463No391,780
140-0-430.43276460.0%118,399
Total:94.7%7718500.0%16,371,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 2/21100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Caetano 1 Sao Bento 0 -0.2
Corinthians 2 Palmeiras 0 +0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Ferroviaria 0 -0.1
Ituano 2 Sao Paulo 1 -0.1
Bragantino 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Santos vs Santo Andre-0.7+0.5+1.2
Botafogo vs Linense+0.1-0.1-0.1
Mirassol vs Ponte Preta-0.1-0.0+0.1
Ituano vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/4100.0*Lottery seed
Santos vs Corinthians-1.1+0.2+1.0
Palmeiras vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.0-0.1
Santo Andre vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Bragantino-0.0-0.1+0.1
Red Bull vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
264-0-06139
243-1-03367
233-0-1137215
222-2-05613320
212-1-113754800
202-0-20125528500
1-3-0115032710
191-2-122843225000
181-1-2083037205100
0-4-006253724710
171-0-30062235269100
0-3-10417323013300
160-2-2002122832196100
150-1-3001621332710200
140-0-40019263522600
Total:830251495322110000