How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -7.3 +1.8 -0.1 Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.4 Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.4 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre -5.9+3.7+22.7 +2.7-2.5-9.0 -0.1+0.1+0.3 Mirassol vs Botafogo +5.9-0.1-17.9 -0.8+0.3+2.2 +0.1-0.0-0.2 Inter de Limeira vs Ituano -9.4+0.0+2.7 +4.0+0.4-1.3 -0.2-0.0+0.1 Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira +3.2+0.6-8.5 +0.1-0.8+0.6 +0.1+0.0-0.2 Novorizontino vs Guarani -0.1+0.1+0.2 Santos vs Bragantino +0.3+0.1-0.1 Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta +3.2+0.1-0.8 Novorizontino vs Santos -0.1+0.1+0.3 Guarani vs Palmeiras +0.2+0.0-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Santo Andre vs Guarani +16.6-5.1-15.1 -8.6+1.3+8.8 +0.3-0.1-0.2 Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre -10.1-0.2+20.2 +4.9-1.1-8.8 -0.2+0.0+0.3 Botafogo vs Sao Caetano -9.5+6.6+11.4 +0.6-1.2+0.1 -0.1+0.1+0.2 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira +1.9-1.2-11.1 -0.9+0.8+4.4 +0.0-0.0-0.2 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira +2.5-0.3-9.9 -1.2+0.5+4.0 +0.1-0.0-0.2 Sao Caetano vs Ituano +3.3+0.1-0.8 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino +2.5+0.2-0.9 Santos vs Corinthians +0.3+0.1-0.2

## What If

Chances based on how well the Santo Andre finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed Serie TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 A2 Count 24 6 - 0 - 0 In 79 21 No 568,411 22 5 - 1 - 0 In 53 47 No 2,169,470 21 5 - 0 - 1 100.0 % 31 69 0 No 4,750,844 20 4 - 2 - 0 100.0 17 83 0 0 No 5,370,695 19 4 - 1 - 1 99.8 10 90 0 0 No 23,218,089 18 4 - 0 - 2 99.4 3 97 1 0 No 24,899,407 3 - 3 - 0 99.2 99 1 0 No 6,900,219 17 3 - 2 - 1 98.8 99 1 0 No 44,131,635 16 3 - 1 - 2 96.7 97 3 0 No 93,349,892 2 - 4 - 0 95.5 95 4 0 No 4,862,378 15 3 - 0 - 3 93.2 93 7 0 No 65,374,460 2 - 3 - 1 91.3 91 9 0 No 40,911,935 14 2 - 2 - 2 87.3 87 12 0 0.0 % 128,262,917 1 - 5 - 0 84.9 85 15 0 No 1,784,367 13 2 - 1 - 3 76.4 76 22 1 0.0 177,538,664 1 - 4 - 1 71.0 71 27 2 0.0 18,553,809 12 2 - 0 - 4 63.7 64 33 3 0.1 91,574,227 1 - 3 - 2 57.9 58 38 4 0.2 76,664,689 0 - 6 - 0 56.4 56 39 5 0.3 266,825 11 1 - 2 - 3 47.0 47 45 8 1.4 157,347,935 0 - 5 - 1 41.9 42 48 10 2.2 3,298,406 10 1 - 1 - 4 29.8 30 52 18 6.4 160,521,748 0 - 4 - 2 23.0 23 55 22 11.5 16,839,896 9 1 - 0 - 5 16.5 17 53 31 20.5 65,080,144 0 - 3 - 3 12.2 12 53 35 32.8 45,592,612 8 0 - 2 - 4 6.8 7 45 49 54.3 68,941,922 7 0 - 1 - 5 2.1 2 30 67 75.7 55,269,142 6 0 - 0 - 6 0.3 0 18 82 91.3 18,563,118 Total: 58.4 % 0 58 29 13 9.9 % 1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Lottery seed Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 +0.6 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre +0.5-0.3-1.8 Mirassol vs Botafogo -0.3-0.0+0.9 Inter de Limeira vs Ituano +0.5+0.0-0.2 Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira -0.1-0.1+0.4 Santos vs Bragantino +0.1+0.0-0.0 Novorizontino vs Santos -0.0+0.0+0.1 Novorizontino vs Guarani -0.0+0.0+0.1 Guarani vs Palmeiras +0.1+0.0-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Lottery seed Santo Andre vs Guarani -1.4+0.4+1.2 Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre +0.8+0.0-1.6 Botafogo vs Sao Caetano +0.5-0.4-0.6 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira -0.1+0.1+0.6 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira -0.1+0.0+0.5 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino +0.1+0.0-0.0 Santos vs Corinthians +0.1+0.0-0.0

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 24 6 - 0 - 0 4 33 43 0 16 4 0 22 5 - 1 - 0 0 3 49 0 15 30 2 21 5 - 0 - 1 0 0 30 1 10 52 7 0 0 0 0 20 4 - 2 - 0 15 1 3 58 22 0 0 0 0 19 4 - 1 - 1 9 1 1 49 40 0 0 0 0 0 18 4 - 0 - 2 2 1 0 41 55 0 0 0 0 0 3 - 3 - 0 0 40 59 1 0 0 0 0 17 3 - 2 - 1 0 19 76 3 0 1 0 0 0 16 3 - 1 - 2 0 9 79 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 - 4 - 0 0 9 75 12 0 2 2 1 0 15 3 - 0 - 3 0 3 67 22 0 1 4 2 0 0 2 - 3 - 1 2 61 29 0 1 5 3 0 0 14 2 - 2 - 2 0 44 43 0 1 5 7 1 0 0 1 - 5 - 0 0 40 45 0 1 5 8 1 0 13 2 - 1 - 3 0 24 52 0 0 4 14 5 0 0 1 - 4 - 1 0 15 56 0 0 4 16 8 1 0 12 2 - 0 - 4 0 9 55 0 0 3 17 14 2 0 0 1 - 3 - 2 0 4 54 0 0 1 15 21 5 0 0 0 - 6 - 0 3 53 0 1 13 22 6 0 11 1 - 2 - 3 1 46 0 0 8 27 15 1 0 0 - 5 - 1 1 41 0 0 6 29 21 2 0 10 1 - 1 - 4 0 30 0 0 4 29 32 6 0 0 - 4 - 2 0 23 0 1 22 42 11 0 9 1 - 0 - 5 0 17 0 1 17 45 19 1 0 - 3 - 3 12 0 8 47 31 2 8 0 - 2 - 4 7 0 3 36 47 7 7 0 - 1 - 5 2 1 22 59 17 6 0 - 0 - 6 0 0 8 56 36 Total: 0 0 0 0 0 4 23 31 0 0 2 6 11 13 8 2