How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +14.8
+0.1
+0.2
Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 +9.1
+0.1
Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0 -8.8
+0.1
-0.1
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta-18.0-11.2+8.3
+1.8+0.2-0.5
-0.3-0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira-0.2+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.0+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+0.2+0.0-0.1
Mirassol vs Botafogo-0.1+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol+15.0-5.4-13.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-11.5+7.5+15.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira+8.7-10.9-17.8
-0.5+0.1+1.8
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Bragantino vs Ferroviaria+7.6-0.6-17.9
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino-0.7+0.1+0.2
+0.2+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Ituano vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.0-0.0
Santo Andre vs Guarani+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+0.2+0.0-0.0
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.0+0.0+0.2
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
256-0-099.6%29710No10,123,512
235-1-097.510873No33,962,335
225-0-192.94897No48,147,957
214-2-087.728612No47,638,377
204-1-179.317921No132,148,621
194-0-267.606832No88,987,123
3-3-061.26139No35,062,140
183-2-154.95545No142,665,483
173-1-241.94258No187,670,883
2-4-032.633671No14,274,087
163-0-329.129701No79,517,936
2-3-123.724751No75,724,466
152-2-218.018811No145,858,470
1-5-013.013825No3,051,786
142-1-39.9108460.0%120,393,831
1-4-15.768212No19,775,639
131-3-23.1381160.049,549,215
2-0-44.5580150.035,690,592
0-6-02.3278190.0267,942
121-2-31.7277210.059,715,706
0-5-10.8166330.12,031,547
111-1-40.5061390.834,406,530
0-4-20.1052481.26,213,946
100-3-3Out45557.69,727,640
1-0-50.1045556.17,521,460
90-2-4Out356529.38,185,011
80-1-5Out198164.53,489,313
70-0-6Out109091.4806,308
Total:40.1%1395450.5%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.6
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -0.5
Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta+1.3+0.7-0.6
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano-0.1-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira-0.6+0.7+1.3
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol-1.0+0.3+0.9
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre+0.4-0.3-0.6
Bragantino vs Ferroviaria-0.3+0.0+0.7
Sao Caetano vs Ituano-0.1-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+0.1-0.0-0.0
Ituano vs Sao Paulo+0.1-0.0-0.0
Santos vs Corinthians+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
256-0-0620258130
235-1-004504048020
225-0-1013026630610
214-2-00010137201030
204-1-1000574001280
194-0-20016510111930
3-3-015810172020
183-2-105140112960
173-1-2036606341800
2-4-0028509401800
163-0-3020802313710
2-3-1016703373510
152-2-2089112751300
1-5-047212852600
142-1-32620136214000
1-4-1131014611810
131-3-2011065235400
2-0-4022045235400
0-6-0011044243800
121-2-300101295017200
0-5-100101185126400
111-1-40000843381010
0-4-2000637421310
100-3-30117433270
1-0-5000119443060
90-2-4032245273
80-1-505315014
70-0-6085041
Total:0000332415192483100