How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -9.2
-0.1
Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 -8.0
-0.1
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 -3.0
-0.1
Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0 -3.0
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Palmeiras-13.7-9.4+9.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.2
Novorizontino vs Santos-6.2+7.4+13.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Novorizontino vs Guarani-6.4+7.0+12.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Santos vs Bragantino+3.9+2.0-1.6
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+0.7+0.6-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Mirassol+10.4-8.7-13.1
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira+6.0-11.2-15.1
-0.0-0.0+0.2
+0.1-0.2-0.4
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+12.4+6.7-6.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bragantino vs Ferroviaria-1.8+1.2+3.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ituano vs Sao Paulo-1.6+0.2+0.5
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+0.7+0.6-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
276-0-097.5%67303No42,562,016
255-1-079.22357210No109,807,446
245-0-165.61253340No93,843,697
234-2-039.4237591No118,429,530
224-1-131.3130653No201,264,729
214-0-219.3019755No84,180,451
3-3-012.4012817No67,983,738
203-2-17.987715No172,261,695
193-1-24.657322No143,186,804
2-4-02.737424No21,897,116
182-3-11.016534No73,543,608
3-0-32.026929No38,943,383
172-2-20.505248No91,093,630
1-5-00.305148No3,753,463
162-1-30.204258No49,175,250
1-4-10.104060No15,662,756
151-3-20.002971No25,682,311
2-0-40.003366No9,736,881
0-6-00.002971No267,787
141-2-3Out19810.0%20,634,296
0-5-1Out18820.01,330,448
131-1-4Out13870.08,092,193
0-4-2Out11890.02,709,390
120-3-3Out6940.42,873,409
1-0-5Out8920.21,235,173
110-2-4Out3973.61,675,065
100-1-5Out19914.6503,554
90-0-6Out010044.5278,037
Total:24.8%52057180.0%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 +0.4
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 +0.4
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.3
Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.2
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Palmeiras+1.0+0.6-0.6
Novorizontino vs Guarani+0.3-0.3-0.5
Novorizontino vs Santos+0.3-0.3-0.5
Santos vs Bragantino-0.3-0.2+0.1
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta-0.1-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs Mirassol-0.7+0.5+0.9
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.4+0.7+1.1
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino-0.5-0.3+0.3
Bragantino vs Ferroviaria+0.1-0.1-0.2
Ituano vs Sao Paulo+0.2-0.0-0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ituano-0.1-0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
276-0-037300303
255-1-04171560210
245-0-11920531340
234-2-00110352591
224-1-1001025506540
214-0-2000014507470
3-3-0000010308080
203-2-1440073190
193-1-22300633120
2-4-0120066301
182-3-10100494640
3-0-30100524240
172-2-2000027561700
1-5-0000030561400
162-1-30000155331100
1-4-1000014543010
151-3-200043849800
2-0-400064146700
0-6-00005414670
141-2-31175327200
0-5-11175227200
131-1-40537461110
0-4-20432491410
120-3-300104537800
1-0-501134931600
110-2-40122482540
100-1-50063444140
90-0-601045414
Total:2300172005019510000