How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 -3.9 -0.1 Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 -2.3 -0.1 Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -1.9 -0.1 Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0 -0.6 Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.2 Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Inter de Limeira vs Ituano -2.5-1.9+1.5 +2.0+0.1-0.6 -0.1-0.1+0.1 Novorizontino vs Santos -1.2+1.3+2.8 -0.0+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Novorizontino vs Guarani -1.2+1.2+2.7 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Guarani vs Palmeiras +0.9+0.5-0.6 +0.1+0.1-0.1 Santos vs Bragantino +0.6+0.2-0.2 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira +0.1-0.1-0.1 Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre -0.0+0.0+0.1 Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta +0.3+0.0-0.1 Mirassol vs Botafogo -0.1+0.0+0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Serie A2 100.0* Average seed Ituano vs Sao Paulo +5.8-0.5-1.7 -0.6-0.2+0.3 +0.2-0.0-0.1 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino +2.6+1.2-1.3 +0.3+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Sao Caetano vs Ituano -2.5-2.0+1.3 +2.2+0.3-0.6 -0.2-0.1+0.1 Palmeiras vs Mirassol -0.6+0.5+0.9 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira -0.4+0.7+1.0 -0.1+0.0+0.3 -0.1+0.1+0.2 Bragantino vs Ferroviaria -0.2+0.1+0.4 Santos vs Corinthians +0.1+0.0-0.0 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira -0.1+0.0+0.3 Botafogo vs Sao Caetano +0.1-0.1-0.0

## What If

Chances based on how well the Ituano finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed Serie TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 A2 Count 25 6 - 0 - 0 80.2 % 24 56 19 1 No 6,729,388 23 5 - 1 - 0 40.8 3 37 50 9 No 24,988,832 22 5 - 0 - 1 27.3 1 26 56 17 No 40,116,122 21 4 - 2 - 0 12.7 0 12 54 33 No 38,277,596 20 4 - 1 - 1 6.0 0 6 49 45 No 117,615,586 19 4 - 0 - 2 2.6 3 38 59 No 86,037,753 3 - 3 - 0 2.2 2 35 63 No 30,209,450 18 3 - 2 - 1 0.7 1 25 74 No 134,114,378 17 3 - 1 - 2 0.2 0 18 82 No 189,606,427 2 - 4 - 0 0.1 0 15 85 No 13,041,060 16 3 - 0 - 3 0.1 0 10 90 No 85,516,584 2 - 3 - 1 0.0 0 9 91 No 74,551,869 15 2 - 2 - 2 0.0 0 5 95 No 153,142,390 1 - 5 - 0 0.0 0 4 96 No 2,927,996 14 2 - 1 - 3 0.0 0 3 97 0.0 % 133,804,129 1 - 4 - 1 Out 2 98 0.0 20,261,907 13 1 - 3 - 2 Out 1 99 0.0 53,836,121 2 - 0 - 4 Out 1 99 0.0 41,834,368 0 - 6 - 0 Out 1 99 0.0 267,018 12 1 - 2 - 3 Out 0 100 0.0 68,420,415 0 - 5 - 1 Out 0 100 0.1 2,159,404 11 1 - 1 - 4 Out 0 100 0.7 41,484,315 0 - 4 - 2 Out 0 100 1.3 6,962,944 10 0 - 3 - 3 Out 0 100 7.6 11,469,801 1 - 0 - 5 Out 0 100 6.1 9,544,099 9 0 - 2 - 4 Out 0 100 30.4 10,132,278 7 -8 Out 100 73.0 5,555,626 * Total: 3.1 % 0 3 18 79 0.6 % 1,402,607,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 4/17 100.0* Lottery seed Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1 +0.2 Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.2 Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 +0.1 Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Inter de Limeira vs Ituano +0.8+0.4-0.4 Guarani vs Palmeiras -0.1-0.1+0.1 Novorizontino vs Guarani +0.1-0.1-0.1 Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta -0.1-0.1+0.0 Novorizontino vs Santos +0.0-0.1-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/25 100.0* Lottery seed Sao Caetano vs Ituano +0.8+0.4-0.3 Ituano vs Sao Paulo -0.8-0.0+0.3 Palmeiras vs Mirassol +0.1-0.1-0.1 Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira +0.1-0.1-0.1 Ponte Preta vs Mirassol +0.1-0.0-0.1 Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira +0.0-0.1-0.1 Sao Bento vs Novorizontino -0.0-0.1+0.0 Santos vs Corinthians +0.1+0.0-0.0

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 25 6 - 0 - 0 12 12 0 56 19 1 23 5 - 1 - 0 0 2 1 0 37 0 50 9 22 5 - 0 - 1 0 0 1 0 25 2 0 56 17 0 21 4 - 2 - 0 0 0 0 0 11 1 0 54 33 0 20 4 - 1 - 1 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 48 45 0 19 4 - 0 - 2 1 1 0 0 36 59 3 0 3 - 3 - 0 1 1 0 0 33 63 2 18 3 - 2 - 1 0 0 0 0 22 70 7 0 17 3 - 1 - 2 0 0 0 0 12 68 20 0 0 2 - 4 - 0 0 0 0 0 10 68 21 0 0 16 3 - 0 - 3 0 0 0 0 5 53 42 1 0 2 - 3 - 1 0 0 0 0 4 58 37 1 0 15 2 - 2 - 2 0 0 0 0 1 40 56 3 0 0 1 - 5 - 0 0 0 0 1 34 58 7 0 0 14 2 - 1 - 3 0 0 0 0 19 67 13 0 0 0 1 - 4 - 1 0 16 63 19 1 0 0 13 1 - 3 - 2 0 6 55 34 4 0 0 2 - 0 - 4 0 6 59 32 3 0 0 0 - 6 - 0 0 4 45 43 8 0 0 12 1 - 2 - 3 0 1 32 49 16 2 0 0 0 - 5 - 1 0 0 20 51 25 3 0 0 11 1 - 1 - 4 0 0 9 42 38 10 1 0 0 - 4 - 2 0 7 37 42 13 1 0 10 0 - 3 - 3 0 1 16 42 33 7 0 1 - 0 - 5 0 1 18 44 31 6 0 9 0 - 2 - 4 0 2 21 47 28 3 8 0 - 1 - 5 0 3 29 53 15 7 0 - 0 - 6 0 6 51 43 Total: 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 16 40 28 8 3 1 1 0