How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +24.1
-14.6
+0.4
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.9
+0.0
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 +0.1
-1.9
+0.0
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Palmeiras+20.6+1.8-8.5
-2.5-0.9+1.4
+0.4+0.0-0.2
Novorizontino vs Guarani-7.2+2.9+21.2
+1.1-1.0-2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Novorizontino vs Santos+5.1-1.7-17.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Santos vs Bragantino-18.0-2.0+4.8
+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Mirassol vs Botafogo-2.9+2.5+5.7
-0.4+0.1+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta-1.3+0.1+0.3
+1.0*+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira+0.3-0.3-0.4
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+1.1+0.1-0.4
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.1+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre vs Guarani-14.1-3.1+17.8
+2.8-0.8-2.6
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Santos vs Corinthians-17.3-0.9+5.9
+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol+3.2+0.5-3.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Mirassol+2.2-0.3-4.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ituano-1.3+0.1+0.3
+0.9-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.3+0.2-0.8
+0.5-0.7-0.3
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.2+0.2+1.3
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+1.2+0.2-0.4
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.1+0.0+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira-0.3+0.1+1.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
235-0-0100.0%9910No2,928,194
214-1-0100.09460No12,266,072
204-0-199.989100No25,329,638
193-2-099.782170No21,412,198
183-1-199.072271No86,591,864
173-0-297.8613720No86,509,353
2-3-097.1564130No17,959,488
162-2-193.8464860No106,460,569
152-1-286.63155130No207,421,176
1-4-081.22457190No7,234,213
142-0-378.32158220No132,530,211
1-3-174.617582500.0%55,702,111
131-2-261.310513800.0158,229,523
0-5-048.66435100.01,115,890
121-1-342.64395610.0195,877,918
0-4-133.12316520.110,428,035
111-0-428.51276830.788,866,550
0-3-224.81247141.538,217,471
100-2-313.60137977.968,311,015
90-1-43.604821528.959,225,789
80-0-50.10772362.519,990,578
Total:65.0%25393322.6%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -2.2
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 -0.1
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.1
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Palmeiras-2.0-0.1+0.8
Novorizontino vs Guarani+0.7-0.2-2.0
Santos vs Bragantino+1.0+0.1-0.3
Novorizontino vs Santos-0.3+0.1+1.0
Mirassol vs Botafogo+0.3-0.3-0.5
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Santo Andre vs Guarani+1.3+0.3-1.7
Santos vs Corinthians+1.0+0.0-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol-0.4-0.1+0.5
Palmeiras vs Mirassol-0.3+0.0+0.5
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+0.1+0.0-0.0
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+0.1-0.0-0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
235-0-00761301000
214-1-0003163240000
204-0-1015741820000
193-2-0874111600000
183-1-12700131300000
173-0-2610112510110
2-3-05601031101100
162-2-1460639302310
152-1-23103439027400
1-4-02424690310600
142-0-321140170191100
1-3-1170401801914100
131-2-21002427008255000
0-5-0601924001032900
121-1-34010290053516200
0-4-120823033426400
111-0-410324012733910
0-3-213210121381420
100-2-30013009363380
90-1-4004021947272
80-0-500434548
Total:00125032214014139520