How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians 0 Sao Bento 1 -2.0
-0.1
Mirassol 1 Ituano 1 +0.8
+0.0
Santo Andre 1 Bragantino 1 +0.7
+0.0
Bragantino 0 Mirassol 0 +0.5
Linense 2 Novorizontino 3 +0.4
Red Bull 1 Corinthians 1 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians vs Palmeiras+2.6+0.5-1.9
No-0.0+0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Novorizontino-1.8+0.7+1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ituano vs Red Bull-1.7+0.5+1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ituano vs Sao Paulo-1.7+0.6+1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Linense+0.2+0.1-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Corinthians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
23-25In100No174,198,578*
223-0-1In1000No186,855,959
212-2-0100.0%9910No109,370,383
202-1-1100.09640No323,549,407
192-0-299.99370No232,202,236
1-3-099.89190No42,145,491
181-2-199.182171No181,844,199
171-1-297.3702730No252,450,290
0-4-096.3663140No5,949,211
161-0-394.3583660No111,796,000
0-3-192.6533970No33,236,547
150-2-284.336481500.0%66,987,499
140-1-370.822492820.057,302,562
130-0-456.913444030.117,714,694
Total:97.1%8314300.0%1,795,603,056

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 2/14100.0*Lottery seed
Corinthians 0 Sao Bento 1 +0.9
Red Bull 1 Corinthians 1 +0.2
Sao Caetano 1 Ferroviaria 0 -0.1
Sao Bento 0 Botafogo 0 -0.1
Botafogo 1 Ponte Preta 1 -0.1
Santo Andre 1 Bragantino 1 -0.1
Santos 2 Sao Caetano 0 +0.0
Sao Paulo 0 Santos 1 +0.0
Ponte Preta 0 Palmeiras 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/21100.0*Lottery seed
Corinthians vs Palmeiras-1.4+0.0+0.8
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento-0.2-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Linense+0.1-0.1-0.1
Santos vs Santo Andre+0.1-0.1-0.1
Ituano vs Sao Paulo-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sao Paulo vs Ferroviaria+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bragantino vs Novorizontino-0.0-0.1+0.1
Ituano vs Red Bull-0.0-0.1+0.1
Mirassol vs Ponte Preta-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
254-0-038620
233-1-08811100
223-0-125836400
212-2-00424611100
202-1-101546317100
192-0-222140278100
1-3-042440257100
181-2-10625362481000
171-1-2005203528102000
0-4-0003163231143000
161-0-30003153232143000
0-3-1003133033174000
150-2-200021027352051000
140-1-300052237278100
130-0-4000315343314200
Total:219201612108532110000