"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 +4.9
-0.3
+0.1
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +3.2
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -1.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mirassol vs Botafogo-7.8+0.4+23.2
+7.0-2.1-18.7
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre+4.0-2.3-15.7
-0.6+0.5+1.9
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano-6.4-0.0+1.9
+7.0+0.6-2.3
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira+2.2+0.4-5.8
-0.2-1.3+1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Novorizontino vs Guarani-0.3+0.2+0.6
Novorizontino vs Santos-0.3+0.3+0.6
Santos vs Bragantino+0.6+0.3-0.3
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta+5.6+0.4-1.4
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.6+0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+12.4-8.5-15.1
-17.4+6.2+26.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Santo Andre vs Guarani-11.5+3.8+10.3
+1.2-0.1-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre+6.8+0.4-13.9
-1.0+0.2+1.9
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira+1.2-0.8-7.4
-1.5+1.4+7.9
+0.0-0.0-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira+1.7-0.2-6.6
-2.1+0.8+7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+5.5+0.4-1.4
Palmeiras vs Mirassol-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+3.7+0.3-1.3
Santos vs Corinthians+0.7+0.3-0.3
Ituano vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
215-0-099.8%32680No532,984
194-1-098.3108820No2,420,433
184-0-196.439440No6,085,837
173-2-093.29370No6,883,820
163-1-187.788120No33,916,032
153-0-281.081190No41,544,399
2-3-077.277220No8,945,202
142-2-169.9702910.0%64,341,301
132-1-256.7574030.0152,993,397
1-4-050.4504640.05,268,669
122-0-344.4444960.1120,009,331
1-3-138.8395470.348,920,675
111-2-228.82958132.3168,123,803
0-5-024.52461141.91,114,025
101-1-316.617592510.3253,104,425
0-4-112.412612714.412,385,293
91-0-48.99543730.8140,434,100
0-3-26.46544040.854,015,125
80-2-33.23435466.2115,064,553
70-1-40.91287189.1118,984,859
60-0-50.10178399.247,519,593
Total:28.9%029452623.3%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0 -0.2
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.1
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mirassol vs Botafogo+0.7-0.1-2.0
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.2+0.1+0.8
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+0.5+0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira-0.1-0.1+0.3
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.0-0.0
Novorizontino vs Santos-0.0+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.0
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.0-0.0
Novorizontino vs Guarani-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano-1.2+0.7+1.5
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.4-0.0+0.7
Santo Andre vs Guarani+0.6-0.2-0.5
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.1+0.1+0.5
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira-0.1+0.0+0.5
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+0.1+0.0-0.0
Sao Caetano vs Ituano+0.1-0.0-0.0
Santos vs Corinthians+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
215-0-00131019417000
194-1-0911404701100
184-0-1210336011210
173-2-001376413300
163-1-1067210046200
153-0-20257220410500
2-3-0149270312700
142-2-103337011116200
132-1-20164000825910
1-4-00941007291310
122-0-305390042523400
1-3-102360022230800
111-2-21280011362220
0-5-00240011412220
101-1-30170032941100
0-4-1012012547140
91-0-409001149292
0-3-260746374
80-2-3301295313
70-1-410105634
60-0-5013466
Total:00000182000291521177