Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title ChancesLost to Palmeiras 0-5, title odds unchanged at 0.000002% 38 points 10-8-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | +1.4 | | -3.7 | | +0.9 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | -2.1 | | +1.0 | | -0.6 | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | -0.5 | | | | -0.1 | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | +0.4 | | +0.3 | | | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | -0.3 | | | | | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | -0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | +0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.1 | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | Internacional 7 Santos 1 | | | | | -0.0 | | Corinthians 1 America-MG 1 | | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Cruzeiro 3 Bahia 0 | | | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Santos vs Coritiba | | | +0.4-0.3-0.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | -0.6-0.3+1.3 | | +1.5-0.2-2.2 | | -0.6-0.1+1.0 | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | +0.8-0.4-0.6 | | -2.1+0.2+2.3 | | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.4-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | America-MG vs Gremio | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Coritiba vs Gremio | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.0+0.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Santos | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3-0.0+0.7 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | | | +0.7-0.0-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | | | -0.3-0.1+0.5 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Internacional vs America-MG | | | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Goias vs Vasco | | | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,400 | | 63 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 97.4 | | | 2 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,321 | | 62 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 91.4 | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 244,514 | | 61 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 74.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 403,453 | | 60 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 53.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,393,123 | | 59 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 31.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,200,119 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 27.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 667,769 | | 58 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 11.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,457,220 | | 57 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 4.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 5,940,905 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 3.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 709,937 | | 56 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,885,270 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 1.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,399,395 | | 55 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 12,572,584 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 500,608 | | 54 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 14,366,638 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 4,304,701 | | 53 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 14,747,605 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,148,002 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 236,064 | | 52 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 25,216,017 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,421,390 | | 51 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 21,531,256 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 10,419,285 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 23,561,429 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 7,338,180 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 848,664 | | 49 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 30,084,072 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 4,358,760 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 20,482,432 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 12,343,993 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 170,289 | | 47 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 20,982,723 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 5,795,661 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 1,013,424 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.5 | | 21,366,540 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.6 | | 3,451,702 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 2.0 | | 12,054,102 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | 2.8 | | 7,395,536 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 8.8 | | 9,876,903 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 6.8 | | 2,915,858 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | | | 10.3 | | 397,799 | | 43 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | 20.2 | | 8,346,928 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | 23.4 | | 1,011,439 | | 42 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | | 36.4 | | 4,023,723 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 0 | | 41.7 | | 1,709,444 | | 41 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 43 | 19 | 0 | | 61.4 | | 1,922,139 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 41 | 15 | 0 | | 56.2 | | 847,439 | | 40 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 77.6 | | 1,384,550 | | 39 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 88.8 | | 581,950 | | 38 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 95.8 | | 150,585 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 | % | 339,387,840 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |