"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 1 Vasco da Gama 1 -5.0
-0.6
-0.2
Ceara 2 Atletico-MG 2 +1.6
+0.0
Goias 1 Palmeiras 0 +1.2
+0.2
+0.1
Flamengo 3 Coritiba 1 -1.1
-0.1
-0.0
Internacional 1 Fluminense 2 +1.0
-0.1
Athletico-PR 1 Santos 0 +0.5
+0.2
Corinthians 0 Gremio 0 +0.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-9.9-4.6+7.4
-2.2-0.6+1.5
-0.4-0.2+0.3
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.2+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Sao Paulo-9.7-4.3+7.7
-2.1-0.6+1.5
-0.4-0.1+0.3
Goias vs Sao Paulo-11.1-5.8+6.2
-2.6-1.0+1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.5-0.2+0.2
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo-2.1+1.7+3.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Gremio vs Flamengo+1.5+1.4-2.3
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Internacional+0.8+0.5-0.8
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Palmeiras vs Athletico-PR-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Gremio vs Goias-0.5+0.5+0.7
-0.2+0.2+0.3
Fluminense vs Bragantino-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Fortaleza vs Goias-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-94YesYes100No8,506,493*
8716-2-1100.0%Yes1000No7,832,601
8616-1-2100.0Yes1000No13,434,292*
8515-3-1100.0Yes1000No24,095,068*
8415-2-2100.0Yes1000No41,973,116*
8314-4-1100.0Yes1000No65,081,036*
8214-3-299.9Yes10000No102,628,607*
8114-2-399.8Yes10000No151,976,268*
8013-4-299.7Yes10000No214,035,000*
7913-3-399.3Yes9910No297,342,592*
7812-5-298.8Yes99100No391,976,579*
7712-4-397.7Yes98200No500,628,647*
7612-3-496.0Yes96400No622,907,482*
7511-5-393.3Yes93700No743,388,676*
7411-4-489.1Yes8911000No863,398,565*
7311-3-583.5Yes8316100No973,165,860*
7210-5-475.7Yes76222000No1,059,271,230*
7110-4-565.9Yes66304000No1,122,487,146*
709-6-454.6100.0%553781000No1,153,930,503*
699-5-542.1100.04243142000No1,149,430,235*
689-4-630.0100.030452140000No1,114,155,636*
678-6-519.3100.019423081000No1,047,800,594*
668-5-611.0100.01135361530000No956,129,923*
658-4-75.499.9525382471000No848,417,418*
647-6-62.399.72153432143000No730,317,202*
637-5-70.898.91825352371000No610,017,881*
627-4-80.296.603163231153000No494,915,624*
616-6-70.091.101824342481000No389,218,861*
606-5-80.080.6003143132163000No296,813,046*
596-4-90.064.6001722352681000No219,439,081*
585-6-80.045.10002123035173000No156,999,686*
575-5-90.026.20001520362881000No108,693,923*
565-4-10No12.200021030371730000No72,777,468*
554-6-9No4.30004193728101000No47,034,445*
544-5-10No1.10001929362051000No29,321,414*
534-4-11No0.20003173330133000No17,605,869*
523-6-10No0.0001723342492000No10,162,188*
513-5-11No0.000212273219610000.0%5,623,130*
503-4-12NoNo0041630291541000.02,980,874*
492-6-11NoNo00172031261230000.01,508,975*
482-5-12NoNo002923312392000.2723,749*
472-4-13NoNo00031226312061001.0329,939*
461-6-12NoNo0015162930164004.1141,885*
451-5-13NoNo000162033271120012.757,921*
441-4-14NoNo0021025352260028.221,280*
431-3-15NoNo004143233142049.07,216*
420-5-14NoNo0172337275069.22,234*
410-4-15NoNo113373613186.2686*
400-3-16NoNo4274623196.3136*
390-2-17NoNo1542384Yes26
380-1-18NoNo3367Yes3
370-0-19NoNo00325521999.92,073,291
Total:48.2%96.8%482112853210000000000000.0%16,670,781,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship