How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 +1.7
+5.4
-4.8
+1.0
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo-2.4-1.0+3.0
-5.9-2.0+7.3
+2.7+0.5-3.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria+2.5-1.2-2.5
+6.2-2.8-6.4
-2.8+0.8+3.2
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.1+0.2-0.2
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Santos vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2-0.1
Avai vs Sport Recife+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-111YesYes100No2,095*
8625-5-599.7%Yes1000No390*
84-85YesYes100No1,791*
8324-6-599.7Yes1000No1,709*
8223-5-799.7Yes1000No2,686*
8123-6-699.6Yes1000No3,979*
8023-7-599.3Yes991No6,035*
7922-6-798.8Yes991No8,796*
7822-7-698.2Yes982No12,782*
7721-6-897.2Yes9730No18,174*
7621-7-795.9Yes9640No25,761*
7521-8-694.3Yes9460No34,586*
7420-7-891.7Yes9280No46,533*
7320-8-788.1Yes881100No62,464*
7220-9-684.0Yes841510No80,445*
7119-8-878.1100.0%7820200No103,284*
7019-9-771.1100.07126300No130,221*
6919-10-662.5100.062325000No162,348*
6818-9-852.999.953379100No197,740*
6718-10-742.699.8434114200No238,151*
6617-9-932.499.5324320400No280,438*
6517-10-822.698.62341278100No327,898*
6417-11-714.396.5143632143000No374,136*
6316-10-98.191.9828352171000No422,857*
6216-11-83.983.44193328133000No470,412*
6116-12-71.569.821126322182000No514,223*
6015-11-90.551.9051730281551000No551,594*
5915-12-80.132.6029223023113000No584,442*
5815-13-70.016.30031325292082000No609,437*
5714-12-90.06.100151627271661000No626,826*
5614-13-8No1.600171828261451000No631,616*
5514-14-7No0.3000282028241241000No628,932*
5413-13-9No0.0000310212923113100No614,191*
5313-14-8No0.0000311232922103000No593,680*
5212-13-10NoNo001312242921920000.0%560,842*
5112-14-9NoNo0001413252819820000.0523,587*
5012-15-8NoNo0001514262818710000.2479,865*
4911-14-10NoNo000161627271651001.1433,821*
4811-15-9NoNo00027182826144104.6386,346*
4711-16-8NoNo000292130241130013.5337,048*
4610-15-10NoNo000131225302071028.8288,163*
4510-16-9NoNo0015162929154048.4243,306*
4410-17-8NoNo000282232259167.4201,629*
439-16-10NoNo000414293217382.0164,362*
429-17-9NoNo0017223626791.4130,710*
419-18-8NoNo0031533351396.2103,055*
408-17-10NoNo001928412198.579,720*
398-18-9NoNo00421433199.560,236*
388-19-8NoNo00214424299.844,495*
377-18-10NoNo019385299.932,309*
367-19-9NoNo0053262100.023,152*
357-20-8NoNo0032671100.016,287*
346-19-10NoNo012079Yes11,044*
336-20-9NoNo11585Yes7,432*
326-21-8NoNo001090Yes4,788*
315-20-10NoNo0793Yes3,023*
305-21-9NoNo0595Yes1,940*
295-22-8NoNo397Yes1,198*
284-21-10NoNo298Yes725*
274-22-9NoNo298Yes365*
25-26NoNo100Yes383*
243-23-9NoNo298Yes63*
6-23NoNo100Yes1,614*
Total:8.3%30.9%888776666555444332218.4%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship