"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/19100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 0 Botafogo 0 -2.7
-0.1
-0.3
Flamengo 3 Corinthians 0 -1.0
-0.1
Atletico-PR 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.6
-0.1
Sport Recife 1 Bahia 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.1
Atletico-GO 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
+0.1
Atletico-MG 3 Coritiba 0 -0.2
-0.1
Vitoria 1 Cruzeiro 1 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Sao PauloNoNo+0.3
-1.1-0.2+1.3
Palmeiras vs Botafogo+0.3NoNo
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1No
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1No
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Atletico-PR+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Fluminense vs Sport Recife-0.2+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
522-0-0No1.5%1133334153No123,000,909
501-1-0NoNo0183042181No156,953,111
491-0-1NoNo73248120No245,628,361
480-2-0NoNo57421No50,101,968
470-1-1NoNo3550160No156,818,097
460-0-2NoNo532539No122,832,594
Total:No0.2%025610172820111No855,335,040
Points
Chance Will Win Championship