"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/16100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR 1 Botafogo 0 -4.2
-0.1
Corinthians 0 Internacional 0 +2.9
+0.1
Gremio 0 Flamengo 1 +0.4
+0.1
Santos 1 Sao Paulo 1 -0.2
-0.0
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 1 +0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Goias 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/23100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-16.6-5.7+12.7
-0.6-0.2+0.4
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama+13.1-5.2-16.0
+0.5-0.2-0.6
Internacional vs Goias-4.7+2.1+4.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Internacional vs Fortaleza-4.7+2.2+4.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Corinthians+4.7+2.4-4.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Corinthians vs Avai-2.8+3.4+5.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR+3.7+1.1-3.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Gremio-2.5+0.4+2.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Gremio+0.8-0.1-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Bahia+0.1+0.1-0.2
Bahia vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
685-0-0NoYes03944No692,666
664-1-0NoYes083170No1,919,852
654-0-1No100.0%603830No2,573,032
643-2-0No99.9534340No2,128,747
633-1-1No99.225571710No5,659,543
623-0-2No93.510493560No3,721,150
2-3-0No95.815522940No1,175,096
612-2-1No87.754043111No4,645,979
602-1-2No68.512048274No6,069,079
1-4-0No69.712247264No322,692
592-0-3No43.5083642140No2,614,490
1-3-1No48.0093940120No1,689,261
581-2-2No28.8032646240No3,285,527
0-5-0No29.3032647240No35,104
571-1-3No11.9011143432No2,815,633
0-4-1No12.111142442No229,021
561-0-4No3.40327591000No896,208
0-3-2No4.204295890No590,130
550-2-3No1.10117641710No755,454
540-1-4No0.1065238500No477,297
530-0-5NoNo130481820No124,999
Total:No69.1%0017272518111000No42,420,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship