How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Sao Bento-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sao Bento vs Atletico-GO+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Bragantino vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-SP+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sport Recife vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Bento finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-114YesYes100No567,355*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No5,300*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No9,418*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No16,674*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No28,438*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No48,647*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No80,661*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No132,696*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No212,201*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No336,108*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No520,033*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No793,655*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No1,192,307*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,758,386*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No2,553,005*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No3,654,548*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No5,139,149*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No7,120,535*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No9,705,706*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No13,035,399*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No17,254,458*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No22,489,629*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No28,879,270*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No36,541,552*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No45,566,661*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No55,977,418*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No67,787,410*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No80,894,392*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No95,171,262*
6218-8-126.389.262435249200000No110,318,475*
6118-7-132.878.23153030165100000No126,114,376*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No142,082,234*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No157,736,566*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No172,673,915*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No186,309,907*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No198,112,959*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No207,664,097*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%214,556,904*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0218,428,950*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0219,190,983*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0216,741,484*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3211,150,900*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7202,731,747*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1191,682,345*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3178,560,129*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1163,798,181*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.2147,994,214*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.9131,656,044*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.8115,288,157*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.299,356,564*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.284,282,691*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.470,328,484*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.857,738,550*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.046,602,254*
379-10-19NoNo000053164100.036,970,876*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.028,831,217*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.022,092,381*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.016,627,323*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes12,285,175*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes8,906,088*
317-10-21NoNo000496100.06,336,604*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes4,418,664*
297-8-23NoNo00298Yes3,015,825*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes2,022,059*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,321,918*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes849,330*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes531,706*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes326,449*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes194,182*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes113,001*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes64,124*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes35,045*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,223*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes9,781*
173-8-27NoNo100Yes4,886*
163-7-28NoNo0100Yes2,343*
0-15NoNo100Yes563,297*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%4,514,114,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship