How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 9/14 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +0.8 Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -0.7 +0.1 Vitoria 0 Guarani 1 -0.1 Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sao Bento vs Vitoria +0.0NoNo -9.6+2.3+7.4 +0.7-0.2-0.5 Bragantino vs Londrina -0.2*+0.0+0.4 Criciuma vs Atletico-GO +1.3-0.1-0.7 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP +1.2-0.2-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Guarani vs Parana +1.2-0.2-0.7 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Cuiaba vs Oeste -0.6*-0.0+0.8 Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense -0.4-0.3+0.7 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Sport Recife vs America-MG -0.2*+0.0+0.3 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 9/24 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed Oeste vs Sao Bento NoNo+0.0 +6.4+1.6-10.5 -0.4-0.1+0.7 Figueirense vs Bragantino +1.3*-0.0-0.6 -0.1-0.0+0.0 Vitoria vs Atletico-GO +1.3-0.1-0.7 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Vila Nova vs CRB +1.2-0.1-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Guarani vs Criciuma +0.1-0.7+0.3 Londrina vs Sport Recife +0.4*-0.0-0.3 Parana vs Ponte Preta -0.2*-0.0+0.2 America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas *-0.0-0.1+0.1 Cuiaba vs Coritiba +0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Bento finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Serie A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie C Count 68 16 - 0 - 0 38.3 % Yes 38 47 14 1 No 3,034 64 14 - 2 - 0 20.0 Yes 20 40 40 No 5 63 14 - 1 - 1 6.1 97.0 % 6 9 42 39 3 No 33 62 14 - 0 - 2 No 89.5 16 39 34 8 3 No 38 * 61 13 - 2 - 1 No 78.3 7 27 45 18 2 2 No 120 60 13 - 1 - 2 No 56.5 2 20 35 29 11 4 No 276 * 59 12 - 3 - 1 No 32.7 1 8 24 38 21 8 0 No 637 * 58 12 - 2 - 2 No 18.3 0 3 15 33 31 15 3 0 No 1,451 * 57 12 - 1 - 3 No 7.1 1 7 22 36 24 9 2 0 No 2,914 * 56 11 - 3 - 2 No 2.4 0 2 11 27 32 20 6 1 0 0 No 5,401 * 55 11 - 2 - 3 No 0.6 0 1 4 16 30 30 15 5 1 0 No 10,900 * 54 10 - 4 - 2 No 0.0 0 1 6 20 31 26 12 3 0 0 No 18,780 * 53 10 - 3 - 3 No No 0 2 9 23 32 24 9 2 0 0 No 32,496 * 52 10 - 2 - 4 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 12 26 32 20 7 1 0 0 No 55,467 * 51 9 - 4 - 3 No No 0 0 0 4 15 29 31 17 5 1 0 0 No 87,507 * 50 9 - 3 - 4 No No 0 1 5 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 No 135,620 * 49 9 - 2 - 5 No No 0 0 1 7 22 33 25 10 2 0 0 0.0 % 206,286 * 48 8 - 4 - 4 No No 0 0 2 10 26 33 21 6 1 0 0 0.1 294,257 * 47 8 - 3 - 5 No No 0 0 0 3 14 30 32 16 4 0 0 0 0.5 413,847 * 46 8 - 2 - 6 No No 0 0 1 5 19 33 28 11 2 0 0 0 2.3 564,534 * 45 7 - 4 - 5 No No 0 0 1 9 25 34 22 7 1 0 0 8.3 732,565 * 44 7 - 3 - 6 No No 0 0 0 3 14 30 32 16 4 0 0 20.9 934,151 * 43 6 - 5 - 5 No No 0 0 1 5 20 34 28 11 2 0 40.1 1,143,544 * 42 6 - 4 - 6 No No 0 0 0 2 10 27 34 21 5 1 61.1 1,347,974 * 41 6 - 3 - 7 No No 0 0 0 4 17 34 31 13 2 78.8 1,551,279 * 40 5 - 5 - 6 No No 0 0 1 8 26 37 23 5 90.6 892,151 6 - 2 - 8 No No 0 0 1 9 26 37 22 5 90.1 823,519 * 39 5 - 4 - 7 No No 0 0 0 3 17 36 33 11 96.3 1,236,483 6 - 1 - 9 No No 0 0 3 16 36 34 11 96.5 591,269 * 38 5 - 3 - 8 No No 0 0 1 9 30 41 19 98.8 1,196,340 4 - 6 - 6 No No 0 0 1 8 29 42 21 99.0 695,469 * 37 4 - 5 - 7 No No 0 0 4 20 44 32 99.7 1,002,065 5 - 2 - 9 No No 0 0 4 21 44 31 99.7 881,581 * 36 4 - 4 - 8 No No 0 0 1 12 41 45 99.9 1,795,607 * 35 4 - 3 - 9 No No 0 0 0 7 35 58 100.0 1,039,499 3 - 6 - 7 No No 0 0 6 34 60 100.0 620,992 * 34 3 - 5 - 8 No No 0 0 3 26 71 100.0 783,275 4 - 2 - 10 No No 0 0 3 27 70 100.0 689,045 * 33 3 - 4 - 9 No No 0 0 1 18 81 100.0 1,242,210 * 32 3 - 3 - 10 No No 0 0 12 88 Yes 1,011,247 * 31 2 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 7 93 Yes 784,823 * 30 2 - 4 - 10 No No 0 0 4 96 Yes 574,570 * 29 2 - 3 - 11 No No 0 2 98 Yes 401,838 * 28 2 - 2 - 12 No No 0 1 99 Yes 264,548 * 27 1 - 4 - 11 No No 0 100 Yes 160,876 * 26 1 - 3 - 12 No No 0 100 Yes 92,617 * 25 1 - 2 - 13 No No 0 100 Yes 48,747 * 24 0 - 4 - 12 No No 0 100 Yes 22,616 * 23 0 - 3 - 13 No No 0 100 Yes 9,488 * 20 -22 No No 100 Yes 7,369 * Total: 0.0 % 0.0 % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 5 7 10 14 21 34 79.4 % 24,411,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship