How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.1-0.2-0.7
-8.8+1.2+5.7
+0.9-0.2-0.6
Parana vs Bragantino+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4*-0.1+0.7
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.2-0.3+0.5
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3*-0.0+0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.2-0.5
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.4-0.2-0.3
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Bento finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
78-97YesYes100No1,875*
7722-4-488.2%Yes8812No51*
7622-3-591.8Yes928No85*
7521-5-482.2Yes82171No185*
7421-4-570.9Yes71272No313*
7320-6-467.2Yes67294No555*
7220-5-561.9Yes623260No904*
7120-4-652.499.9%5239800No1,478*
7019-6-545.4Yes4543101No2,445*
6919-5-635.699.836451720No3,694*
6819-4-726.799.5274424510No5,893*
6718-6-618.599.01942309100No9,003*
6618-5-711.896.912353515300No13,564*
6517-7-66.793.47283722610No20,235*
6417-6-73.486.2320352811200No28,510*
6317-5-81.575.72123033185100No39,921*
6216-7-70.561.416213426102000No55,787*
6116-6-80.243.903132832186100No75,426*
6016-5-90.027.401620312612300No100,410*
5915-7-80.014.3002112631207100No131,414*
5815-6-9No6.0015172928154100No167,841*
5715-5-10No1.90029223124102000No212,543*
5614-7-9No0.500031326301971000No263,727*
5514-6-10No0.10015172928154100No319,854*
5413-8-9No0.000028213025113000No380,086*
5313-7-10No0.000031125302182000No446,520*
5213-6-11NoNo0014152829176100No513,496*
5112-8-10NoNo00171930261341000.0%578,868*
5012-7-11NoNo000292331231020000.0641,260*
4912-6-12NoNo00031326301961000.1699,325*
4811-8-11NoNo00161729281441000.6747,637*
4711-7-12NoNo00028223124102002.3785,479*
4611-6-13NoNo00031327311961006.9810,228*
4510-8-12NoNo00161831281330016.0817,188*
4410-7-13NoNo00021025332271030.3810,631*
4310-6-14NoNo0014163130143047.6787,987*
429-8-13NoNo000292534237164.7752,765*
419-7-14NoNo000416333113279.0705,076*
409-6-15NoNo00210273621488.8646,161*
398-8-14NoNo0015203730894.7581,477*
388-7-15NoNo0021334381497.8510,910*
378-6-16NoNo001728432199.2441,664*
367-8-15NoNo000421453199.7372,898*
357-7-16NoNo00214434099.9307,823*
347-6-17NoNo0193951100.0248,379*
336-8-16NoNo0053460100.0196,051*
326-7-17NoNo0032869100.0151,634*
316-6-18NoNo022277Yes113,872*
305-8-17NoNo011783Yes83,262*
295-7-18NoNo001288Yes58,882*
285-6-19NoNo0892Yes41,066*
274-8-18NoNo0694Yes28,092*
264-7-19NoNo0496Yes18,615*
254-6-20NoNo0298Yes11,755*
243-8-19NoNo0298Yes7,148*
233-7-20NoNo199Yes4,284*
223-6-21NoNo0100Yes2,475*
213-5-22NoNo0100Yes1,324*
202-7-21NoNo0100Yes792*
7-19NoNo100Yes2,537*
Total:0.1%1.6%00011223445678910101010837.8%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship