How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Bragantino+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Santos-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-114YesYes100No35,109*
8928-5-599.8%Yes1000No511*
8827-7-4YesYes100No950*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No1,694*
8627-5-6YesYes100No2,977*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No4,904*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No8,007*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No12,621*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No20,227*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No31,155*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No47,303*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No71,752*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No106,034*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No153,109*
7623-7-897.6Yes9820No219,205*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No308,398*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No428,451*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No585,215*
7221-9-888.6Yes891100No786,535*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No1,043,285*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No1,361,434*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No1,749,133*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No2,218,799*
6720-7-1152.2Yes52379100No2,765,093*
6619-9-1041.4100.0%4141152000No3,403,274*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No4,122,790*
6419-7-1220.8100.0214028920000No4,928,634*
6318-9-1112.5100.01334331641000No5,801,853*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No6,729,745*
6117-10-112.999.131531301651000No7,701,072*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No8,682,362*
5917-8-130.391.00313262919720000No9,646,044*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No10,576,699*
5716-9-130.057.8002820292513410000No11,408,291*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No12,144,662*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No12,742,138*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%13,177,373*
5315-8-15No0.700014122328209200000.013,412,145*
5214-10-14No0.100014122428209200000.013,468,744*
5114-9-15No0.000014132428208200000.013,327,719*
5014-8-16No0.000001413252819820000.212,992,865*
4913-10-15No0.000001514252818710001.712,478,480*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.811,806,491*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.711,007,539*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.410,095,015*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.59,126,640*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.58,117,375*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.57,115,463*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.16,134,876*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.25,203,645*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.44,342,567*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.83,567,883*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.02,878,673*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.02,282,131*
369-9-20NoNo0032572100.01,783,432*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.01,365,741*
348-10-20NoNo011486Yes1,030,333*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes760,213*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes551,409*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes390,627*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes273,454*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes186,191*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes123,969*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes81,457*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes52,205*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes32,610*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes19,832*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes12,075*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes6,798*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes3,895*
0-20NoNo100Yes38,910*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%277,098,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship