Santos Futebol Clube Title ChancesBeat Botafogo 2-1, title odds up 0.04 to 0.1% 45 points 12-9-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 1/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Santos 2 Botafogo 1 | +0.1 | | +6.7 | | No | | +0.4 | | Athletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Internacional 4 Fortaleza 2 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | Atletico-MG 3 Atletico-GO 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -1.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Ceara 1 Bragantino 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Fortaleza vs Santos | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | -11.2-5.8+10.1 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.6-0.3+0.5 | | Sao Paulo vs Internacional | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Atletico-MG | | | -2.2+0.4+1.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Goias vs Flamengo | | | +2.3+1.1-1.5 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | | | -1.2+1.2+0.7 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | | | -0.0+0.8-0.5 | | | | | | Coritiba vs Fluminense | | | +2.4+1.4-1.8 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Corinthians vs Sport Recife | | | -1.0+0.7+1.1 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Goias vs Ceara | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 1/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Atletico-MG vs Santos | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | -8.7-2.5+14.7 | | +0.0-0.0No | | -0.4-0.1+0.7 | | Santos vs Goias | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +8.6-6.9-12.1 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +0.4-0.3-0.6 | | Sao Paulo vs Coritiba | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Internacional vs Gremio | | | +1.8+0.2-2.5 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Flamengo | | | +1.8+0.8-1.6 | | | | | | Ceara vs Palmeiras | | | +2.1+0.9-1.9 | | | | | | Gremio vs Flamengo | | | -1.0+0.8+0.6 | | | | | | Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama | | | -1.8+1.1+2.6 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Fluminense vs Botafogo | | | -1.7+1.5+2.5 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Bragantino | | | -1.1+0.6+1.0 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Bahia vs Corinthians | | | +1.1+0.6-1.0 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 72 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 45.5 | % | Yes | 46 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,196,057 | | 70 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 16.2 | | 100.0 | % | 16 | 44 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,891,130 | | 69 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7.4 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,877,870 | | 68 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2.4 | | 100.0 | | 2 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,290,606 | | 67 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.7 | | 99.9 | | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,583,030 | | 66 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 99.4 | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,917,695 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 99.5 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,131,103 | | 65 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 97.3 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,146,388 | | 64 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 91.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,188,224 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 91.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,983,554 | | 63 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 79.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,834,890 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 80.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,862,311 | | 62 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 61.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 148,020,135 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 62.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,392,710 | | 61 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 42.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134,634,476 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 41.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,875,720 | | 60 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 23.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,025,466 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 25.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,609,184 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 24.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,794,987 | | 59 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 11.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 188,685,618 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 11.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,968,337 | | 58 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 4.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 48 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 127,166,571 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 4.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 48 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 78,731,768 | * | 57 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 1.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 140,527,966 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 1.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 34,034,905 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | 1.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,456,262 | | 56 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 141,310,003 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 26,283,474 | * | 55 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 75,280,701 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 58,626,712 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,033,784 | | 54 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 56 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 78,227,181 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 16,601,532 | * | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 56 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,862,774 | | 53 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 62,195,185 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 13,073,275 | * | 52 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 27,281,199 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 21,958,939 | * | 51 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 22,762,163 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 5,091,274 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,197,049 | | 50 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 14,900,923 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,374,197 | | 49 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 5,534,371 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,111,265 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,704,490 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 894,891 | | 47 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 1,498,816 | | 46 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 481,209 | | 45 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 327,310 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 28.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 2,082,439,680 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |