"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Santos-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Internacional vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Chapecoense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
94-114YesYes100No1,037,147*
9329-6-399.9%Yes1000No1,342*
90-92YesYes100No17,135*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No16,464*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No29,620*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No50,922*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No86,436*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No144,832*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No236,899*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No380,194*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No600,326*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No933,049*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,426,179*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,142,469*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No3,163,783*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No4,607,880*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No6,593,711*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No9,287,981*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No12,888,891*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No17,602,137*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No23,661,127*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No31,354,045*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No40,902,304*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No52,578,451*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No66,608,893*
6720-7-1152.2100.0523791000No83,152,624*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No102,265,323*
6519-8-1130.6100.0314321510000No123,948,904*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No148,059,300*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No174,335,099*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No202,303,469*
6117-10-112.999.13153130165100000No231,440,808*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No260,952,505*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No289,974,142*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No317,662,502*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No342,962,819*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No365,028,755*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%382,896,372*
5415-9-14No4.00001311232821930000000.0395,809,858*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0403,268,745*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0404,909,177*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0400,612,798*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132528198200000.3390,534,345*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.6375,111,672*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.8354,858,164*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7330,668,813*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.5303,524,929*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5274,326,285*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.4244,123,762*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.5213,835,636*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.1184,347,580*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.2156,394,888*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.4130,539,606*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.8107,157,279*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.086,519,644*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.068,646,152*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.053,552,709*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.041,035,449*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.030,863,064*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.022,796,598*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes16,528,882*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes11,757,080*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes8,191,114*
297-8-23NoNo00298Yes5,598,040*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes3,746,530*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes2,455,071*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes1,569,961*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes982,597*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes600,907*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes358,425*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes208,148*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes117,708*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes65,016*
193-10-25NoNo100Yes34,864*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes18,007*
0-17NoNo100Yes1,052,778*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%8,328,057,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship