How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
+0.5
-9.6
+0.9
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.6
+0.0
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +1.1
-0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.5
Confianca 1 Guarani 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.8-0.3+1.2
+6.0+1.1-8.5
-0.7-0.2+1.0
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.0-0.4-0.8
-8.0+1.9+7.3
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.5-0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.2-0.3-0.8
-8.1+1.5+6.2
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.8-0.4+1.1
+7.2+1.6-8.3
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.0-0.3
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
CRB vs America-MG+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.2-0.5
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.6
Vitoria vs CSA-0.4-0.2+0.7
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.3-0.2-0.2
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.0-0.4+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.3+0.2
Avai vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4+0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Correa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
84-97YesYes100No212,211*
8324-4-299.0%Yes991No97*
8224-3-3YesYes100No209*
8123-5-299.6Yes1000No455*
8023-4-398.9Yes991No1,012*
7923-3-497.3Yes973No1,961*
7822-5-395.7Yes964No3,823*
7722-4-493.9Yes9460No7,300*
7622-3-590.9Yes9190No13,376*
7521-5-487.1Yes87120No24,311*
7421-4-581.9Yes821710No42,371*
7320-6-475.8Yes762220No72,848*
7220-5-568.1100.0%6828300No122,485*
7120-4-659.6100.06034600No202,166*
7019-6-550.0100.0503910100No324,077*
6919-5-640.099.9404315200No513,051*
6819-4-730.399.63044214000No794,805*
6718-6-621.599.02242288100No1,198,189*
6618-5-714.097.514373313200No1,782,204*
6517-7-68.394.483037205100No2,591,737*
6417-6-74.488.64213627102000No3,704,418*
6317-5-82.079.22143132164100No5,184,337*
6216-7-70.865.81724342492000No7,124,356*
6116-6-80.249.4031531301641000No9,607,676*
6016-5-90.132.501823332492000No12,713,026*
5915-7-80.018.20031429301751000No16,522,550*
5815-6-90.08.40017213225113000No21,084,688*
5715-5-100.03.000031226312071000No26,402,897*
5614-7-90.00.8000151730281441000No32,475,413*
5514-6-10No0.2000292231241020000No39,197,020*
5413-8-9No0.0000031327301971000No46,484,607*
5313-7-10No0.0000151729281541000No54,135,343*
5213-6-11No0.00002821312411200000.0%61,880,448*
5112-8-10No0.00000312253120710000.069,486,396*
5012-7-11NoNo0001516282916510000.076,596,350*
4912-6-12NoNo0001720302612300000.082,888,554*
4811-8-11NoNo0000210243122920000.288,048,415*
4711-7-12NoNo0001414283018610001.091,812,955*
4611-6-13NoNo000161930271330003.693,982,543*
4510-8-12NoNo0000210243122820010.194,388,606*
4410-7-13NoNo000141529301751022.093,003,925*
4310-6-14NoNo00017213226112038.689,902,588*
429-8-13NoNo00003122832195056.985,240,488*
419-7-14NoNo00001620332811173.479,212,658*
409-6-15NoNo000212293519385.672,171,505*
398-8-14NoNo00016223728793.164,438,416*
388-7-15NoNo00031434361397.156,334,884*
378-6-16NoNo0001828422198.948,244,491*
367-8-15NoNo000421453099.740,422,903*
357-7-16NoNo000214434199.933,136,531*
347-6-17NoNo00193952100.026,579,326*
336-8-16NoNo00053362100.020,820,040*
326-7-17NoNo0032671100.015,929,625*
316-6-18NoNo0012079100.011,892,315*
305-8-17NoNo0011585100.08,660,515*
295-7-18NoNo001089Yes6,137,492*
285-6-19NoNo00793Yes4,242,771*
274-8-18NoNo00595Yes2,850,628*
264-7-19NoNo0397Yes1,857,658*
254-6-20NoNo0298Yes1,176,601*
243-8-19NoNo0199Yes719,736*
233-7-20NoNo0199Yes424,825*
223-6-21NoNo0100Yes243,079*
213-5-22NoNo0100Yes134,269*
202-7-21NoNo0100Yes70,043*
192-6-22NoNo0100Yes35,883*
182-5-23NoNo0100Yes17,242*
171-7-22NoNo0100Yes7,912*
2-16NoNo100Yes217,725*
Total:0.1%2.0%0011123345677889999733.7%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship