How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.8
+0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampaio Correa vs CRB+0.8-0.3-0.7
+6.9-2.1-5.9
-0.7+0.1+0.7
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Nautico vs Brusque-0.2+0.1+0.3
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.9
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6+0.4+0.6
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.5-0.5
CSA vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.1
Confianca vs Botafogo+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa-0.7-0.4+0.7
-5.7-2.8+5.4
+0.9+0.2-0.7
-0.8-0.3+0.7
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.5+0.4+0.3
Brusque vs Confianca-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Correa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-95YesYes100No158,502*
8822-2-199.7%Yes1000No360
8722-1-299.8Yes1000No859*
8621-3-199.6Yes1000No1,910*
8521-2-299.5Yes991No4,387*
8420-4-198.8Yes991No8,827*
8320-3-298.1Yes9820No18,101*
8220-2-396.6Yes9730No35,534*
8119-4-295.2Yes9550No65,900*
8019-3-393.0Yes9370No121,490*
7918-5-289.7Yes901000No211,579*
7818-4-385.7Yes861400No362,628*
7718-3-480.6Yes811910No601,597*
7617-5-374.3Yes742410No966,195*
7517-4-467.1Yes673030No1,513,056*
7417-3-558.8100.0%5936500No2,308,128*
7316-5-450.0100.05042800No3,415,451*
7216-4-540.7100.0414712100No4,949,943*
7115-6-431.599.9324918200No6,985,399*
7015-5-523.199.82349244000No9,612,359*
6915-4-615.899.41645317100No12,916,875*
6814-6-510.098.510393812100No16,968,520*
6714-5-65.896.463141193000No21,752,124*
6614-4-73.092.332241267100No27,275,478*
6513-6-61.385.21143733132000No33,410,720*
6413-5-70.574.41829372051000No40,009,484*
6313-4-80.260.304203628102000No46,862,566*
6212-6-70.044.2021230331741000No53,676,458*
6112-5-80.028.801622342692000No60,118,372*
6011-7-70.016.20031330321751000No65,911,942*
5911-6-80.07.70017223326102000No70,630,010*
5811-5-90.03.000031329321851000No74,064,092*
5710-7-8No0.90016203227112000No75,972,893*
5610-6-9No0.200021127322061000No76,204,815*
5510-5-10No0.000015183129133000No74,756,141*
549-7-9No0.00002925332281000No71,717,597*
539-6-10No0.0000041530311640000No67,279,434*
529-5-11No0.000017223325102000No61,693,389*
518-7-10No0.00000312283219510000.0%55,277,530*
508-6-11NoNo000151832281230000.048,383,602*
498-5-12NoNo00029253322810000.041,367,702*
487-7-11NoNo000415303016410000.034,542,244*
477-6-12NoNo000172132251020000.228,127,502*
467-5-13NoNo000312273219610001.122,357,265*
456-7-12NoNo000151831281430003.717,318,135*
446-6-13NoNo00029243223820010.113,073,065*
436-5-14NoNo00041429311751021.89,610,549*
425-7-13NoNo00017213226102038.26,867,179*
415-6-14NoNo0003122832195056.74,771,085*
405-5-15NoNo0001620332811173.53,219,669*
394-7-14NoNo000212293519485.92,108,662*
384-6-15NoNo0016213629893.51,336,707*
374-5-16NoNo0021333371597.4819,308*
363-7-15NoNo001726422499.1485,439*
353-6-16NoNo000318433599.8277,788*
343-5-17NoNo00111414699.9152,029*
332-7-16NoNo0173558100.080,608*
322-6-17NoNo0032869100.040,400*
312-5-18NoNo022178Yes19,408*
302-4-19NoNo011485Yes8,937*
291-6-18NoNo01090Yes3,769*
281-5-19NoNo0694Yes1,594*
271-4-20NoNo496Yes595*
261-3-21NoNo199Yes198*
250-5-20NoNo298Yes63*
22-24NoNo100Yes21*
200-0-25NoNo0100Yes158,312
Total:1.5%19.9%246891010109875432110001.3%1,272,972,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship