How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Madureira+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Fluminense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Boavista-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Macae-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%9910085,068,812
165-1-099.9964000301,395,675
155-0-199.489111000477,442,925
144-2-098.481182000475,595,997
134-1-194.5662850001,506,868,764
124-0-286.95037112001,193,569,206
3-3-081.5424015300400,296,505
113-2-172.83241215101,902,430,088
103-1-253.518363013303,013,790,031
2-4-041.31130341951189,499,700
93-0-335.38273422711,591,440,229
2-3-126.552134271121,200,893,837
82-2-216.531430321842,853,435,999
1-5-010.719253423647,845,152
72-1-36.616203429113,013,776,132
1-4-13.20313313617378,968,291
61-3-21.10172440281,200,829,471
2-0-42.202112838211,193,625,760
0-6-00.70152141325,033,324
51-2-30.40031640401,902,345,646
0-5-10.100211375047,829,914
41-1-40.1001833591,506,838,367
0-4-20.000042670189,491,097
31-0-50.000032275477,436,897
0-3-30.000011781400,281,533
20-2-40.00011189475,554,163
10-1-50.0000496301,393,255
00-0-6Out0019985,053,350
Total:33.3%17171717171726,418,030,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+1.4+0.4-1.6
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Macae-1.6+0.4+1.4
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-1.6+0.4+1.4
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-217413191000
3-3-019422981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-003173531122000
93-0-3003153331143000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233925600
72-1-30005213627910
1-4-100021332351520
61-3-20002133335152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-2001104346
31-0-5000043264
0-3-300032968
20-2-40011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888