How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Madureira-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Madureira vs Boavista+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Macae vs Fluminense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madureira vs Macae+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Madureira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%9910085,043,852
165-1-099.9964000301,385,371
155-0-199.489111000477,444,446
144-2-098.481182000475,561,450
134-1-194.5662850001,506,862,216
124-0-286.95037112001,193,572,935
3-3-081.5424015300400,276,464
113-2-172.83241215101,902,383,021
103-1-253.518363013303,013,719,231
2-4-041.31130341951189,507,537
93-0-335.38273422711,591,448,603
2-3-126.552134271121,200,819,524
82-2-216.531430321842,853,546,688
1-5-010.719253423647,843,693
72-1-36.616203429113,013,792,894
1-4-13.20313313617378,996,885
61-3-21.10172440281,200,830,757
2-0-42.202112838211,193,583,259
0-6-00.70152141325,036,457
51-2-30.40031640401,902,339,765
0-5-10.100211375047,851,096
41-1-40.1001833591,506,868,183
0-4-20.000042670189,540,735
31-0-50.000032275477,446,663
0-3-30.000011781400,297,747
20-2-40.000011189475,614,104
10-1-50.0000496301,360,720
00-0-6Out0019985,055,824
Total:33.3%17171717171726,418,030,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Madureira+1.4+0.4-1.6
Madureira vs Boavista-1.6+0.4+1.4
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Macae-1.6+0.4+1.4
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-217413191000
3-3-019422981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-00317353112200
93-0-3003153331143000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233925600
72-1-30005213627910
1-4-1000021332351520
61-3-20002133335152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-2001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032968
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888