How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Madureira-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Madureira vs Boavista+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Bangu vs Portuguesa+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Macae vs Fluminense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madureira vs Macae+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Madureira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%99100251,724,761
165-1-099.9964000893,700,970
155-0-199.4891110001,419,067,290
144-2-098.4811820001,412,892,433
134-1-194.5662850004,484,875,960
124-0-287.05037112003,557,385,591
3-3-081.64240153001,190,772,931
113-2-172.93241215105,667,075,100
103-1-253.518363013308,986,339,803
2-4-041.41130341951564,273,473
93-0-335.38273422714,747,618,833
2-3-126.552134271123,579,074,812
82-2-216.531430321848,508,807,840
1-5-010.7192534236142,526,461
72-1-36.616203429118,986,466,136
1-4-13.203133136171,129,527,818
61-3-21.10172440283,578,979,481
2-0-42.202112838213,557,307,841
0-6-00.701521413214,996,076
51-2-30.40031640405,667,597,880
0-5-10.1002113750142,542,119
41-1-40.1001833594,484,898,769
0-4-20.000042670564,246,342
31-0-50.0000322751,419,063,885
0-3-30.0000117811,190,855,467
20-2-40.0000111891,412,886,957
10-1-50.00000496893,722,549
00-0-6Out00199251,711,110
Total:33.3%17171717171778,700,938,688
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Boavista-1.6+0.5+1.4
Botafogo vs Madureira+1.3+0.3-1.7
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Macae-1.6+0.5+1.4
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-218423191000
3-3-019432981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-003173531122000
93-0-30031533311430000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233926600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-1000021332351520
61-3-20002133336152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032868
20-2-400011585
10-1-50000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888