How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Botafogo vs Madureira-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Boavista+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Fluminense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%9910085,043,773
165-1-099.9964000301,372,962
155-0-199.489111000477,431,837
144-2-098.481182000475,597,420
134-1-194.5662850001,506,812,602
124-0-286.95037112001,193,582,482
3-3-081.5424015300400,268,224
113-2-172.83241215101,902,384,759
103-1-253.518363013303,013,795,705
2-4-041.31130341951189,491,453
93-0-335.38273422711,591,450,955
2-3-126.552134271121,200,809,218
82-2-216.531430321842,853,489,781
1-5-010.719253423647,846,960
72-1-36.616203429113,013,778,759
1-4-13.20313313617378,990,735
61-3-21.10172440281,200,830,924
2-0-42.202112838211,193,620,205
0-6-00.70152141325,034,449
51-2-30.40031640401,902,340,794
0-5-10.100211375047,861,893
41-1-40.1001833591,506,913,147
0-4-20.000042670189,486,665
31-0-50.000032275477,438,846
0-3-30.000011781400,299,025
20-2-40.000011189475,612,577
10-1-50.0000496301,413,712
00-0-6Out0019985,030,258
Total:33.3%17171717171726,418,030,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+1.4+0.4-1.6
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-1.6+0.4+1.4
Botafogo vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo+1.4+0.4-1.6
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-217413191000
3-3-019422981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-003173531122000
93-0-3003153331143000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233925600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-100021332351520
61-3-20002133335152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-100018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032968
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888