How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wednesday, 1/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thursday, 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense vs Macae+18.6-5.0-17.2
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Boavista vs Bangu-0.6+2.2-0.8
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Cabofriense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
155-0-0In100224,153,689
134-1-0In991685,125,170
124-0-199.8%841501,077,335,128
113-2-0100.084160858,159,817
103-1-195.65045402,697,362,526
93-0-267.6155330302,118,351,848
2-3-084.53055150537,154,186
82-2-150.364444602,531,040,263
72-1-29.4094838403,973,263,802
1-4-011.401145385168,004,720
62-0-30.3012503532,078,007,736
1-3-11.10120532511,054,988,069
51-2-20.0033253122,482,766,301
0-5-00.000127581421,005,013
41-1-3Out0751432,595,515,698
0-4-10.00054550164,790,595
31-0-4Out022771,016,947,685
0-3-2Out012871516,860,497
20-2-3Out0991810,090,838
10-1-4Out199634,415,809
00-0-5Out100204,138,362
Total:34.0%17171717161626,449,477,752
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wednesday, 1/16100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thursday, 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Cabofriense vs Macae-1.7+0.5+1.6
Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
155-0-0982
134-1-0871300
124-0-159346000
113-2-0444411100
103-1-1153934121000
93-0-221231341740000
2-3-02133234163000
82-2-102123134163000
72-1-20015203428112000
1-4-0000211303518300
62-0-300019273521610
1-3-100018243624710
51-2-20001622372671
0-5-00002133636121
41-1-300031738339
0-4-100018314218
31-0-40002174635
0-3-20001134342
20-2-300043165
10-1-4001387
00-0-5298
Total:998888888888