"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Seletiva100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense vs Portuguesa+1.0-0.9-1.2
-10.1+3.4+17.4
+0.7-0.4-1.0
Resende vs Volta Redonda-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bangu vs Fluminense-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Boavista vs Madureira-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.8-1.0+3.7
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.0
+1.1+0.2-0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Americano-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.6+2.6
+0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cabofriense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112SeletivaCount
226-0-099.5%331531200No9,383,641
205-1-086.004364613100No39,250,273
195-0-161.901154732600No87,221,057
184-2-036.8005324517200No95,985,202
174-1-114.4001144335800No411,933,427
164-0-23.8004274521300No434,585,421
3-3-02.9003224426500No115,580,678
153-2-10.601103838121000.0%714,548,906
143-1-20.00032244265000.01,440,085,898
2-4-00.00011542348000.073,030,426
133-0-30.000093541151000.0941,498,691
2-3-10.00062944201000.0578,988,279
122-2-20.00021643344000.11,679,673,660
1-5-0Out011141416000.123,240,474
112-1-3Out005304815100.92,107,792,344
1-4-1Out003245320101.1222,130,060
102-0-4Out001134735504.7963,429,946
1-3-2Out000104737605.9828,560,622
0-6-0Out0084838605.92,936,738
91-2-3Out002294918119.31,505,516,784
0-5-1Out01255121222.932,615,830
81-1-4Out00104538745.11,331,208,308
0-4-2Out0084439847.6147,286,355
71-0-5Out0125532073.5458,211,132
0-3-3Out0226502272.2345,931,329
60-2-4Out009454690.6445,611,277
50-1-5Out01257498.8298,521,041
40-0-6Out298Yes84,474,097
Total:1.4%0001381318231811515.9%15,419,231,896
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs