How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Madureira+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Macae vs Fluminense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Boavista+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%9910085,050,813
165-1-099.9964000301,385,406
155-0-199.489111000477,462,538
144-2-098.481182000475,588,923
134-1-194.5662850001,506,859,521
124-0-286.95037112001,193,609,699
3-3-081.5424015300400,305,760
113-2-172.83241215101,902,385,268
103-1-253.518363013303,013,715,187
2-4-041.31130341951189,492,560
93-0-335.38273422711,591,453,456
2-3-126.552134271121,200,873,829
82-2-216.531430321842,853,541,697
1-5-010.719253423647,849,752
72-1-36.616203429113,013,652,420
1-4-13.20313313617378,990,115
61-3-21.10172440281,200,937,558
2-0-42.202112838211,193,604,029
0-6-00.70152141325,032,938
51-2-30.40031640401,902,338,444
0-5-10.100211375047,844,493
41-1-40.1001833591,506,840,912
0-4-20.000042670189,496,502
31-0-50.000032275477,433,499
0-3-30.000011781400,276,411
20-2-40.000011189475,564,579
10-1-50.0000496301,383,575
00-0-6Out0019985,060,236
Total:33.3%17171717171726,418,030,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Madureira-1.6+0.4+1.4
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+1.4+0.4-1.6
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+1.4+0.4-1.6
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-217413191000
3-3-019422981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-00317353112200
93-0-30031533311430000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233925600
72-1-30005213627910
1-4-100021332351520
61-3-200002133335152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-100018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032968
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888