How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Botafogo vs Madureira+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Boavista+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Fluminense-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Madureira vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%99100251,757,158
165-1-099.99640000893,643,343
155-0-199.4891110001,419,028,293
144-2-098.4811820001,412,950,414
134-1-194.5662850004,484,891,495
124-0-287.05037112003,557,395,564
3-3-081.64240153001,190,793,196
113-2-172.93241215105,667,243,609
103-1-253.518363013308,986,367,405
2-4-041.41130341951564,307,315
93-0-335.38273422714,747,666,035
2-3-126.552134271123,579,000,569
82-2-216.531430321848,508,694,934
1-5-010.7192534236142,525,890
72-1-36.616203429118,986,415,388
1-4-13.103133136171,129,603,411
61-3-21.10172440283,578,989,334
2-0-42.202112838213,557,436,236
0-6-00.701521413214,995,076
51-2-30.40031640405,667,307,785
0-5-10.1002113750142,544,956
41-1-40.1001833594,484,945,840
0-4-20.000042670564,285,646
31-0-50.0000322751,419,044,664
0-3-30.0000117811,190,797,045
20-2-40.0000111891,412,914,345
10-1-50.0000496893,661,525
00-0-6Out00199251,732,217
Total:33.3%17171717171778,700,938,688
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Madureira-1.6+0.5+1.4
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+1.3+0.3-1.7
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+1.3+0.3-1.7
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-09550000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-218423191000
3-3-019432981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-00317353112200
93-0-30031533311430000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233926600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-100021332351520
61-3-20002133336152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-400002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-5000043264
0-3-300032868
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888