How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madureira vs Boavista-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+16.4-5.6-12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Macae vs Fluminense-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Madureira-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-12.9-5.6+16.4
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-3.3+1.1+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.6+1.1-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Boavista finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%9910085,050,412
165-1-099.9964000301,369,877
155-0-199.489111000477,421,398
144-2-098.481182000475,622,537
134-1-194.5662850001,506,840,150
124-0-286.95037112001,193,665,570
3-3-081.5424015300400,270,544
113-2-172.83241215101,902,368,957
103-1-253.518363013303,013,718,279
2-4-041.31130341951189,501,515
93-0-335.38273422711,591,393,248
2-3-126.552134271121,200,861,005
82-2-216.531430321842,853,603,477
1-5-010.719253423647,845,897
72-1-36.616203429113,013,768,407
1-4-13.20313313617379,011,909
61-3-21.10172440281,200,788,583
2-0-42.202112838211,193,542,400
0-6-00.70152141325,036,310
51-2-30.40031640401,902,385,000
0-5-10.100211375047,841,617
41-1-40.1001833591,506,904,887
0-4-20.000042670189,501,638
31-0-50.000032275477,464,177
0-3-30.000011781400,242,791
20-2-40.000011189475,577,070
10-1-50.0000496301,380,150
00-0-6Out0019985,052,315
Total:33.3%17171717171726,418,030,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Boavista+1.4+0.4-1.6
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-1.6+0.4+1.4
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+1.4+0.4-1.6
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-217413191000
3-3-019422981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-003173531122000
93-0-3003153331143000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233925600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-1000021332351520
61-3-20002133335152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032968
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888