How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madureira vs Boavista-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bangu+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Madureira-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Fluminense-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Portuguesa-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Madureira vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Boavista finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%99100251,781,952
165-1-099.9964000893,691,452
155-0-199.4891110001,419,092,089
144-2-098.4811820001,412,836,755
134-1-194.5662850004,484,819,332
124-0-287.05037112003,557,490,450
3-3-081.64240153001,190,715,581
113-2-172.93241215105,667,090,079
103-1-253.518363013308,986,348,648
2-4-041.41130341951564,252,537
93-0-335.38273422714,747,563,721
2-3-126.552134271123,579,015,125
82-2-216.531430321848,508,878,487
1-5-010.7192534236142,524,311
72-1-36.616203429118,986,379,070
1-4-13.203133136171,129,678,554
61-3-21.10172440283,579,133,237
2-0-42.202112838213,557,372,680
0-6-00.701521413214,995,973
51-2-30.40031640405,667,362,933
0-5-10.1002113750142,555,784
41-1-40.1001833594,484,850,103
0-4-20.000042670564,349,562
31-0-50.0000322751,418,938,145
0-3-30.0000117811,190,866,816
20-2-40.0000111891,412,996,561
10-1-50.0000496893,696,888
00-0-6Out00199251,661,863
Total:33.3%17171717171778,700,938,688
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-1.6+0.5+1.4
Madureira vs Boavista+1.3+0.3-1.7
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+1.3+0.3-1.7
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-218423191000
3-3-019432981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-00317353112200
93-0-30031533311430000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233926600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-1000021332351520
61-3-20002133336152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-10018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032868
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888