SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Bangu-12.5-5.0+17.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Bangu vs Portuguesa+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Boavista+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Macae vs Fluminense-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Madureira-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bangu vs Volta Redonda+15.8-6.1-13.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Macae+2.5+1.0-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda-3.2+1.2+2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bangu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
186-0-0100.0%99100251,750,816
165-1-099.9964000893,724,006
155-0-199.4891110001,419,028,199
144-2-098.4811820001,412,887,885
134-1-194.5662850004,484,972,166
124-0-287.05037112003,557,354,656
3-3-081.64240153001,190,851,814
113-2-172.93241215105,667,284,814
103-1-253.518363013308,986,488,224
2-4-041.41130341951564,276,819
93-0-335.38273422714,747,496,855
2-3-126.552134271123,578,929,162
82-2-216.531430321848,508,741,415
1-5-010.7192534236142,541,463
72-1-36.616203429118,986,377,644
1-4-13.103133136171,129,581,338
61-3-21.10172440283,579,149,717
2-0-42.202112838213,557,391,112
0-6-00.701521413215,002,561
51-2-30.40031640405,667,411,575
0-5-10.1002113750142,544,064
41-1-40.1001833594,484,810,190
0-4-20.000042670564,299,547
31-0-50.0000322751,419,035,533
0-3-30.0000117811,190,774,464
20-2-40.0000111891,412,855,858
10-1-50.0000496893,658,563
00-0-6Out00199251,718,228
Total:33.3%17171717171778,700,938,688
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu vs Portuguesa-1.6+0.5+1.4
Fluminense vs Bangu+1.3+0.3-1.7
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macae vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/26100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-1.6+0.5+1.4
Cabofriense vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Cabofriense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
186-0-099100
165-1-0955000
155-0-182171000
144-2-074242000
134-1-14542111000
124-0-218423191000
3-3-019432981000
113-2-162740225000
103-1-20522362691000
2-4-00317353112200
93-0-30031533311430000
2-3-1003143232153000
82-2-20002112935184000
1-5-00005233926600
72-1-300005213627910
1-4-100021332351520
61-3-200002133336152
2-0-40003153533121
0-6-0001113338152
51-2-3000214373610
0-5-100018324416
41-1-40002174635
0-4-20001104346
31-0-500043264
0-3-300032868
20-2-400011585
10-1-5000595
00-0-600199
Total:888888888888
Updated Wednesday, 2018-12-12 5:31 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)