How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 -1.5
-2.7
-0.2
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.5
+1.0
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.5
-0.8
-0.0
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.3
+0.4
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.7+0.5+0.9
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.2-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense*+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta-2.7-1.2+3.2
-7.3-2.7+8.2
+0.5+0.0-0.5
-0.7-0.2+0.7
Ponte Preta vs Confianca+2.8-1.6-3.0
+7.2-3.6-8.2
-0.4+0.1+0.6
+0.7-0.3-0.8
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.7+0.4+0.7
-0.4+0.4+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.5+0.5-0.6
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.5+0.4-0.7
-0.2+0.5-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.4+0.4+0.2
-0.1+0.5-0.2
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.2+0.5-0.1
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.5-0.6
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.7+0.4-0.7
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.5
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.5
Vitoria vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.2-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Avai vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-102YesYes100No217,946*
9023-3-299.9%Yes1000No6,668*
8923-2-399.9Yes1000No13,373*
8822-4-299.9Yes1000No25,442*
8722-3-399.9Yes1000No47,768*
8621-5-299.9Yes1000No86,785*
8521-4-399.7Yes1000No152,627*
8421-3-499.6Yes10000No261,296*
8320-5-399.3Yes9910No433,343*
8220-4-498.9Yes9910No702,768*
8120-3-598.2Yes9820No1,109,187*
8019-5-497.3Yes9730No1,702,871*
7919-4-595.9Yes96400No2,560,159*
7818-6-493.9Yes94600No3,749,971*
7718-5-591.3Yes91900No5,370,337*
7618-4-687.7100.0%8812000No7,527,957*
7517-6-583.1100.08316100No10,305,791*
7417-5-677.4100.07721200No13,808,089*
7317-4-770.5100.07127300No18,120,888*
7216-6-662.5100.063325000No23,263,016*
7116-5-753.6100.054388100No29,244,342*
7015-7-644.299.9444212100No36,028,238*
6915-6-734.799.83545183000No43,485,624*
6815-5-825.799.52644245000No51,429,223*
6714-7-717.898.8184131910000No59,636,688*
6614-6-811.397.11135361530000No67,734,014*
6514-5-96.593.6727382261000No75,481,846*
6413-7-83.487.53193629112000No82,447,374*
6313-6-91.577.821231341741000No88,270,147*
6213-5-100.664.31623352592000No92,699,778*
6112-7-90.248.1031431311641000No95,423,826*
6012-6-100.031.7018233324920000No96,341,041*
5911-8-90.017.80031430311751000No95,336,981*
5811-7-100.08.200172132251120000No92,486,471*
5711-6-110.03.0000312273119610000No88,009,674*
5610-8-100.00.8000151830281441000No82,037,529*
5510-7-11No0.200029233123920000No74,944,184*
5410-6-12No0.000031327301961000No67,106,876*
539-8-11No0.0000161729271441000No58,875,392*
529-7-12No0.00002821302411300000.0%50,564,179*
519-6-13No0.00000312253021820000.042,550,412*
508-8-12NoNo0001415282917510000.035,050,079*
498-7-13NoNo0001719292613410000.028,243,196*
488-6-14NoNo000292230231020000.322,273,485*
477-8-13NoNo0000313263019710001.417,169,574*
467-7-14NoNo000151729281541005.012,939,549*
457-6-15NoNo000282131251120013.29,524,801*
446-8-14NoNo000031226312061027.06,849,007*
436-7-15NoNo00016183129133045.04,808,566*
426-6-16NoNo0002102533237163.53,288,998*
415-8-15NoNo0001416323114278.72,190,195*
405-7-16NoNo0029263623589.11,421,545*
395-6-17NoNo00004183632995.2897,084*
384-8-16NoNo00021132391698.1551,072*
374-7-17NoNo001625442599.3327,686*
364-6-18NoNo00318443599.8188,768*
353-8-17NoNo0111424699.9105,354*
343-7-18NoNo0073657100.057,130*
333-6-19NoNo043066Yes29,466*
323-5-20NoNo022375Yes14,872*
312-7-19NoNo011981Yes7,062*
302-6-20NoNo01386Yes3,249*
292-5-21NoNo0991Yes1,434*
281-7-20NoNo496Yes599*
271-6-21NoNo793Yes223*
261-5-22NoNo496Yes80*
23-25NoNo100Yes31*
180-0-28NoNo0100Yes212,134
Total:9.2%43.9%9111212119875433211100000.8%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship