How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Oeste+2.8-1.3-2.8
+7.5-3.1-7.8
-0.6+0.1+0.7
+0.7-0.3-0.8
Parana vs Bragantino+0.7+0.4-0.8
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.7+0.5+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.7+0.4-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
CRB vs Guarani-0.3+0.2+0.2
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-105YesYes100No2,312*
8823-4-399.7%Yes1000No375*
8723-3-499.9Yes1000No683*
8622-5-399.6Yes1000No1,227*
8522-4-499.5Yes991No2,114*
8421-6-399.3Yes991No3,475*
8321-5-498.6Yes991No5,463*
8221-4-598.1Yes982No8,662*
8120-6-497.1Yes973No12,827*
8020-5-595.7Yes9640No19,420*
7920-4-694.0Yes9460No28,154*
7819-6-591.5Yes9280No40,066*
7719-5-688.3Yes88110No55,704*
7618-7-584.2Yes841510No76,443*
7518-6-679.2Yes792010No101,986*
7418-5-772.7Yes732520No134,632*
7317-7-665.8100.0%6630400No172,013*
7217-6-757.4100.05736600No217,256*
7117-5-848.5100.049411010No269,432*
7016-7-739.399.9394415200No326,531*
6916-6-830.199.7304620400No388,382*
6816-5-921.999.32244277100No454,213*
6715-7-814.798.215393311200No520,638*
6615-6-99.095.893237184000No584,065*
6514-8-85.091.252437258100No647,210*
6414-7-92.483.52163431133000No701,317*
6314-6-101.071.8192734216100No747,134*
6213-8-90.456.805193328123000No779,480*
6113-7-100.139.802112732207100No801,177*
6013-6-110.024.3015183128133000No806,783*
5912-8-100.012.20021025322282000No796,474*
5812-7-110.05.00014162929165100No773,428*
5712-6-120.01.600018213125113000No735,899*
5611-8-11No0.400031226302071000No689,482*
5511-7-12No0.10015162928165100No632,674*
5411-6-13No0.000028203025123000No568,273*
5310-8-12No0.000031124302182000No503,117*
5210-7-13NoNo0014142729186100No436,055*
519-9-12NoNo00161829271441000.0%369,933*
509-8-13NoNo000292230241030000.0308,874*
499-7-14NoNo00031225302071000.1251,219*
488-9-13NoNo00151628291651000.8202,001*
478-8-14NoNo00027203125123003.1158,414*
468-7-15NoNo00031125312181009.1121,565*
457-9-14NoNo00151629291540020.091,304*
447-8-15NoNo0028223225102036.267,133*
437-7-16NoNo003142932185054.248,224*
426-9-15NoNo001721332710171.033,369*
416-8-16NoNo00313303417384.223,093*
406-7-17NoNo0017233726692.315,523*
395-9-16NoNo00031535351296.510,153*
385-8-17NoNo01929421998.86,541*
375-7-18NoNo00523432999.64,117*
364-9-17NoNo03164239100.02,349*
354-8-18NoNo0111385199.91,358*
344-7-19NoNo043263Yes846*
334-6-20NoNo042373Yes443*
323-8-19NoNo11980Yes242*
313-7-20NoNo1090Yes124*
303-6-21NoNo991Yes65*
293-5-22NoNo892Yes38*
283-4-23NoNo793Yes15*
271-9-20NoNo1783Yes6*
15-25NoNo100Yes1,835*
Total:8.9%42.0%9111111109876543221110001.2%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship