How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.5
-2.2
+0.1
-0.2
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.1
+0.5
Figueirense 2 CRB 2 +0.3
Londrina 2 Sao Bento 4 +0.6
+0.1
+0.1
Vitoria 0 Operario-PR 0 +0.2
Parana 0 Criciuma 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta-0.8-0.4+0.9
-6.1-2.7+6.8
+0.8+0.1-0.8
-0.9-0.3+0.9
CRB vs Bragantino+0.3+0.2-0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.4+0.4+0.2
Guarani vs Londrina+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+1.4-0.3-0.9
+8.5-1.7-5.9
-0.8*+0.0+0.6
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta-0.8-0.5+0.8
-6.4-3.2+6.1
+1.0+0.1-0.7
-0.9-0.3+0.8
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Bragantino+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.7+0.3+0.4
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.4
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9+0.5-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.5-0.6
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.6+0.3+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Londrina vs CRB+0.1+0.4-0.4
CRB vs Parana-0.4+0.4+0.2
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.2+0.2-0.3
Guarani vs Oeste-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Vitoria+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8720-0-0100.0%Yes1000No2,274
83-85YesYes100No41*
8218-1-198.1Yes982No54
8117-3-097.8Yes982No89*
8017-2-199.2Yes991No252
7917-1-297.0Yes973No503*
7816-3-195.0Yes9550No1,121*
7716-2-293.0Yes9370No2,283*
7615-4-190.2Yes90100No4,206*
7515-3-284.8Yes85150No7,587*
7415-2-378.9Yes79201No13,372*
7314-4-270.7Yes712720No21,878*
7214-3-363.1Yes633340No35,658*
7114-2-453.5100.0%5439700No55,357*
7013-4-343.0100.043451110No82,817*
6913-3-432.799.9334818200No122,428*
6812-5-323.299.7234725400No174,336*
6712-4-414.999.1154333910No238,733*
6612-3-58.797.69353915200No318,632*
6511-5-44.594.052641235100No413,472*
6411-4-52.087.4217373111200No520,447*
6311-3-60.876.3193036194000No638,978*
6210-5-50.260.804203628102000No761,183*
6110-4-60.143.002113034185100No880,498*
6010-3-70.026.000520342711200No993,014*
599-5-60.013.0002112833206100No1,090,547*
589-4-7No5.3015183229133000No1,162,921*
578-6-6No1.600292433238100No1,211,512*
568-5-7No0.40003143031174100No1,221,414*
558-4-8No0.1001620322711200No1,203,450*
547-6-7No0.00002102633217100No1,149,975*
537-5-8No0.000041530301640000No1,070,241*
527-4-9NoNo0016203226112000No967,560*
516-6-8NoNo0002102533217100No851,675*
506-5-9NoNo0041530311641000.0%726,623*
496-4-10NoNo0016203227123000.0600,306*
485-6-9NoNo002924322281000.1482,220*
475-5-10NoNo00031429311751000.8375,752*
465-4-11NoNo0016193128133003.2284,016*
454-6-10NoNo000292433238109.6206,761*
444-5-11NoNo0031429311740022.1145,371*
434-4-12NoNo016203327112039.998,939*
423-6-11NoNo002112734215059.764,969*
413-5-12NoNo01518343111176.940,788*
403-4-13NoNo0110293720288.624,514*
392-6-12NoNo014203931595.414,204*
382-5-13NoNo021136411198.47,894*
372-4-14NoNo0627481899.64,192*
362-3-15NoNo03195028100.02,034*
351-5-14NoNo1105138Yes952*
341-4-15NoNo64252Yes399*
331-3-16NoNo44451Yes158*
321-2-17NoNo2377Yes60*
310-4-16NoNo1684Yes19*
29-30NoNo100Yes7*
270-0-20NoNo595Yes2,274
Total:1.7%20.4%246891010109875432110001.2%18,300,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship