How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 7/23 100.0* Serie A 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1 -9.9 +0.7 Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.8 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Nautico vs Brusque -0.0*+0.0+0.1 Vasco da Gama vs Guarani +0.1-0.0-0.1 Avai vs Brasil-RS -0.7-0.1+1.4 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Avai vs Remo -0.3-0.0+0.5 Operario-PR vs Coritiba +0.3-0.0-0.2 CSA vs Vitoria -0.5-0.3+0.9 Botafogo vs CSA +0.4-0.3-0.2 Confianca vs Botafogo +0.5-0.5-0.1 Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro -0.1-0.5+0.5 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 7/30 100.0* Serie A 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed CRB vs Ponte Preta -0.1-0.0+0.1 +5.8+0.8-11.2 -0.4-0.1+0.8 Brusque vs Coritiba +0.1*+0.0-0.1 Vitoria vs Avai +1.3-0.1-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Guarani vs Vila Nova -0.5-0.1+1.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Brusque vs Confianca -0.6-0.1+1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa +1.2-0.2-0.7 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Goias vs Operario-PR -0.2-0.0+0.2 Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama +0.7-0.2-0.5 Remo vs CSA +0.1-0.2-0.0 Cruzeiro vs Londrina +0.2-0.7+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Serie A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie C Count 84 24 - 0 - 0 99.0 % Yes 99 1 No 158,312 77 -79 Yes Yes 100 No 7 * 76 21 - 1 - 2 75.0 Yes 75 25 No 12 * 75 20 - 3 - 1 81.1 Yes 81 19 No 37 * 74 20 - 2 - 2 70.2 Yes 70 25 5 No 84 * 73 20 - 1 - 3 56.2 Yes 56 39 5 No 201 * 72 19 - 3 - 2 47.0 Yes 47 45 8 0 No 443 * 71 19 - 2 - 3 36.9 99.9 % 37 49 13 1 0 No 1,044 * 70 18 - 4 - 2 27.8 Yes 28 52 18 2 No 2,217 * 69 18 - 3 - 3 22.0 99.9 22 50 24 4 0 No 4,758 * 68 18 - 2 - 4 15.6 99.3 16 44 32 8 1 0 No 9,340 * 67 17 - 4 - 3 8.8 98.1 9 37 39 13 2 0 No 18,525 * 66 17 - 3 - 4 5.0 95.3 5 29 40 21 4 0 0 No 34,869 * 65 16 - 5 - 3 2.5 90.1 2 20 39 28 9 1 0 No 63,063 * 64 16 - 4 - 4 1.0 81.2 1 12 34 34 15 3 0 0 No 112,259 * 63 16 - 3 - 5 0.4 68.2 0 6 25 36 23 7 1 0 0 No 194,331 * 62 15 - 5 - 4 0.1 52.1 0 3 16 33 31 14 3 0 0 0 No 328,622 * 61 15 - 4 - 5 0.0 35.2 0 1 9 26 34 22 7 1 0 0 No 537,973 * 60 15 - 3 - 6 0.0 20.5 0 0 4 16 31 29 15 4 0 0 0 No 865,646 * 59 14 - 5 - 5 0.0 9.9 0 0 1 9 24 32 23 9 2 0 0 0 No 1,351,191 * 58 14 - 4 - 6 No 3.9 0 0 4 14 29 30 17 5 1 0 0 No 2,068,650 * 57 13 - 6 - 5 No 1.2 0 0 1 7 21 31 26 11 3 0 0 0 No 3,082,398 * 56 13 - 5 - 6 No 0.3 0 0 0 3 12 26 31 20 7 1 0 0 0 No 4,476,144 * 55 13 - 4 - 7 No 0.1 0 0 1 5 17 30 29 15 4 1 0 0 No 6,370,156 * 54 12 - 6 - 6 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 8 22 32 24 10 2 0 0 0 No 8,845,482 * 53 12 - 5 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 0 3 13 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 No 12,004,436 * 52 12 - 4 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 6 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 15,938,675 * 51 11 - 6 - 7 No No 0 0 0 2 9 24 32 23 8 1 0 0 0 0.0 20,675,310 * 50 11 - 5 - 8 No No 0 0 0 3 14 29 31 17 5 1 0 0 0 0.0 26,211,775 * 49 11 - 4 - 9 No No 0 0 0 1 6 20 32 27 11 2 0 0 0 0.0 32,507,983 * 48 10 - 6 - 8 No No 0 0 0 2 11 26 33 21 6 1 0 0 0 0.1 39,375,395 * 47 10 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 0 1 4 17 31 30 14 3 0 0 0 0 0.4 46,654,851 * 46 10 - 4 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 8 23 33 24 8 1 0 0 0 1.6 54,038,983 * 45 9 - 6 - 9 No No 0 0 0 0 3 14 29 31 17 4 1 0 0 5.0 61,153,948 * 44 9 - 5 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 6 21 33 26 10 2 0 0 12.5 67,630,348 * 43 8 - 7 - 9 No No 0 0 0 2 12 28 33 19 5 1 0 24.9 73,092,953 * 42 8 - 6 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 6 19 33 28 11 2 0 41.5 77,129,641 * 41 8 - 5 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 11 27 34 20 5 0 59.3 79,464,014 * 40 7 - 7 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 5 19 34 29 11 1 75.0 79,975,216 * 39 7 - 6 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 11 29 35 19 4 86.5 78,510,031 * 38 7 - 5 - 12 No No 0 0 1 6 21 37 28 8 93.6 75,160,089 * 37 6 - 7 - 11 No No 0 0 0 0 2 13 34 37 14 97.4 70,185,372 * 36 6 - 6 - 12 No No 0 0 0 1 7 27 42 22 99.1 63,809,479 * 35 6 - 5 - 13 No No 0 0 0 4 20 44 33 99.7 56,529,983 * 34 5 - 7 - 12 No No 0 0 0 2 13 42 44 99.9 48,722,483 * 33 5 - 6 - 13 No No 0 0 1 8 36 55 100.0 40,811,231 * 32 5 - 5 - 14 No No 0 0 0 4 30 66 100.0 33,217,015 * 31 4 - 7 - 13 No No 0 0 0 2 23 75 100.0 26,236,790 * 30 4 - 6 - 14 No No 0 0 1 16 83 100.0 20,081,246 * 29 4 - 5 - 15 No No 0 0 0 11 88 100.0 14,877,947 * 28 3 - 7 - 14 No No 0 0 0 7 93 100.0 10,651,390 * 27 3 - 6 - 15 No No 0 0 4 95 Yes 7,360,790 * 26 3 - 5 - 16 No No 0 3 97 Yes 4,891,214 * 25 3 - 4 - 17 No No 0 1 98 Yes 3,128,143 * 24 2 - 6 - 16 No No 0 1 99 Yes 1,913,301 * 23 2 - 5 - 17 No No 0 0 100 Yes 1,117,822 * 22 2 - 4 - 18 No No 0 0 100 Yes 620,799 * 21 1 - 6 - 17 No No 0 100 Yes 325,297 * 20 1 - 5 - 18 No No 0 100 Yes 160,422 * 19 1 - 4 - 19 No No 0 100 Yes 74,322 * 18 1 - 3 - 20 No No 0 100 Yes 31,589 * 17 0 - 5 - 19 No No 0 100 Yes 12,328 * 12 -16 No No 100 Yes 164,105 * Total: 0.0 % 0.1 % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 11 12 14 15 15 55.8 % 1,272,972,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship