How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA vs Ponte Preta-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Ponte Preta vs Nautico+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Confianca vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-114YesYes100No25,561*
8526-7-599.9%Yes1000No3,043*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No4,995*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No7,963*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No12,727*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No19,822*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No30,231*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No45,054*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No66,868*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No96,403*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No138,349*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No194,290*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No268,989*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No367,566*
7222-6-1088.3Yes881100No494,837*
7121-8-983.8100.0%8415100No653,861*
7021-7-1077.8100.07820200No852,765*
6920-9-970.5100.07026300No1,094,058*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No1,384,252*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No1,726,551*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No2,120,488*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No2,568,777*
6419-7-1220.398.1204028102000No3,064,488*
6318-9-1112.295.31233331641000No3,602,955*
6218-8-126.389.26243524920000No4,179,862*
6118-7-132.878.231530301651000No4,776,162*
6017-9-120.961.71822312411300000No5,382,187*
5917-8-130.341.503122630197200000No5,973,900*
5816-10-120.022.501516282716510000No6,542,970*
5716-9-130.09.1002719282513410000No7,059,201*
5616-8-140.02.5000292128231231000No7,505,927*
5515-10-13No0.40003102228221031000No7,865,131*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%8,137,260*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.08,276,204*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.08,306,503*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.08,214,184*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413242820820000.38,002,278*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.87,681,434*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.17,258,148*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.36,763,237*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.16,206,434*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.15,608,174*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.94,991,383*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253524688.84,365,503*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.23,765,984*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.23,192,780*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433199.42,665,044*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.82,188,689*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.01,765,607*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.01,400,596*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.01,090,930*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0836,450*
348-10-20NoNo011386Yes629,149*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes466,298*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes337,218*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes239,162*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes167,856*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes114,203*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes76,771*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes50,221*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes32,441*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes20,103*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes12,139*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes7,270*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes4,236*
214-9-25NoNo100Yes2,457*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes1,387*
0-19NoNo100Yes22,754*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%171,030,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship