How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Boa Esporte 1 -0.1
-0.1
CSA 1 Sao Bento 0 -0.4
-0.1
Atletico-GO 1 Coritiba 0 -0.3
Vila Nova 0 CRB 0 +0.3
-0.1
Figueirense 1 Goias 2 -0.2
Sampaio Correa 0 Guarani 2 -0.4
-0.1
-0.1
Oeste 0 Juventude 0 +0.1
Londrina 2 Paysandu 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.1-0.1+0.1
-4.0-2.0+4.6
+2.3+0.2-2.1
-1.0-0.3+1.0
CRB vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.4*+0.0-0.2
Oeste vs CSA+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Guarani vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.4-0.2
Goias vs Sao Bento-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Avai vs Juventude-0.5+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Vila Nova+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Figueirense+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu*-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Guarani+0.2-0.1-0.1
+5.6-1.6-4.3
-2.0+0.2+1.8
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Fortaleza vs Londrina-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CSA vs Criciuma-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs CRB-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.4-0.3
Sao Bento vs Avai+0.5+0.2-0.5
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Figueirense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Coritiba vs Oeste-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Paysandu vs Sampaio Correa+0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8017-0-096.7%Yes973No2,674
7816-1-080.0Yes8020No15
7716-0-185.2Yes8515No27
7615-2-080.5Yes8020No82
7515-1-177.2Yes7723No281
7414-3-071.2Yes71280No500*
7314-2-158.2Yes58411No1,353
7214-1-248.6Yes49492No2,860*
7113-3-141.8Yes425440No5,155*
7013-2-232.6Yes335980No10,570*
6913-1-323.2100.0%23631310No18,586*
6812-3-216.3100.016622120No31,605*
6712-2-310.299.9105828400No54,720*
6611-4-26.099.565036700No84,404*
6511-3-33.198.43394313200No130,299*
6411-2-41.495.812845214000No194,111*
6310-4-30.590.31184230910No275,159*
6210-3-40.280.50103437163000No380,703*
6110-2-50.065.6042338258100No509,090*
609-4-40.047.40213323316400No651,798*
599-3-50.029.10062335259200No818,310*
588-5-40.014.4002122933185100No988,504*
578-4-5No5.6015193228133000No1,151,493*
568-3-6No1.600192433238100No1,309,870*
557-5-5No0.3003132831185100No1,437,199*
547-4-6No0.000151731291430000No1,517,485*
537-3-7No0.000017223225102000No1,566,811*
526-5-6NoNo0021025322171000No1,557,533*
516-4-7NoNo0003142831175100No1,497,109*
506-3-8NoNo00151731281440000.0%1,401,349*
495-5-7NoNo00172132251120000.01,257,728*
485-4-8NoNo0021025322281000.11,093,695*
475-3-9NoNo00031428311851000.7921,492*
464-5-8NoNo0015183129133003.1746,165*
454-4-9NoNo0001823332481009.4580,728*
444-3-10NoNo0031329331840021.8435,718*
433-5-9NoNo0015193529101039.7314,494*
423-4-10NoNo002102937193059.7217,391*
413-3-11NoNo0041938317076.7143,272*
402-5-10NoNo0110324114189.090,062*
392-4-11NoNo004234524395.653,313*
382-3-12NoNo002144335798.430,483*
371-5-11NoNo00736431399.716,099*
361-4-12NoNo0327492199.98,001*
351-3-13NoNo01175032100.03,652*
341-2-14NoNo0010464499.91,534*
330-4-13NoNo063855Yes558*
320-3-14NoNo43066Yes181*
310-2-15NoNo21880Yes51
300-1-16NoNo2575Yes12
290-0-17NoNo01189Yes2,676
Total:0.2%10.2%023568999998754321003.4%21,516,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship