How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +0.1
+0.5
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +1.4
Cuiaba 2 Avai 1 -0.5
Cruzeiro 1 Confianca 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.6-0.2-0.5
+10.4-2.8-8.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.9-0.2-0.8
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.4-0.2+0.6
-7.9-2.7+9.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Guarani vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba-0.2+0.1+0.3
+1.0+0.2-1.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.3+0.8
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+1.5+0.8-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Nautico-1.1+0.8+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Avai vs Oeste-0.5+0.5+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
CRB vs CSA+0.4+0.4-0.6
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Nautico vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Parana+0.5-0.3-0.5
+7.4-4.1-8.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.9
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta-0.5-0.3+0.4
-8.7-4.8+6.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.9-0.4+0.7
Avai vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.2
-0.8+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.2
-1.5+0.3+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
CSA vs America-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.4+0.5-0.9
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-1.3+0.8+1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-1.2+0.8+1.2
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-1.1+1.0+1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Oeste-0.9+1.0+1.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.5+0.4-0.7
Confianca vs CSA+0.1+0.5-0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vitoria vs Confianca+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
CRB vs Cruzeiro-0.3+0.1+0.2
Oeste vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Guarani vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8115-0-097.8%Yes9820No1,809,994
7914-1-093.8Yes9460No196,650
7814-0-188.5Yes89110No290,196
7713-2-085.0Yes85150No810,606
7512-3-069.0Yes693010No3,848,466*
7412-2-160.1Yes603720No9,196,607
7312-1-249.2100.0%4946500No17,211,198*
7211-3-139.0100.03952900No28,273,306*
7111-2-229.0100.0295614100No52,467,705*
7011-1-319.9100.0205622200No81,576,520*
6910-3-212.799.91352314000No124,284,334*
6810-2-37.399.5745398100No191,006,374*
679-4-23.798.443545152000No262,958,127*
669-3-31.695.522446244000No359,879,162*
659-2-40.689.8115423391000No478,750,318*
648-4-30.279.7083339173000No592,436,681*
638-3-40.064.70322392781000No725,114,133*
628-2-50.047.501133435153000No484,134,156
7-5-30.046.001123335163000No369,184,940*
617-4-40.028.700523372681000No952,141,608*
607-3-50.014.40021232341630000No1,043,652,920*
597-2-60.06.1001622362691000No540,388,131
6-5-40.05.40005203627102000No556,706,246*
586-4-5No1.60021028352051000No758,622,554
7-1-7No1.80021129341951000No344,095,953*
576-3-6No0.400041733301330000No728,586,827
5-6-4No0.300041633301330000No354,276,100*
565-5-5No0.00001723342591000No570,147,929*
6-2-7No0.100018243423810000No448,778,280
555-4-6No0.000021228331951000No919,432,779*
545-3-7No0.000004173230143000No806,772,254*
534-5-6No0.00001722332592000No677,254,863*
524-4-7No0.00000211273320610000.0%544,744,797*
514-3-8NoNo000041631311530000.0424,080,410*
503-5-7NoNo0001721342691000.0314,717,313*
493-4-8NoNo000021128352050000.0222,888,241*
483-3-9NoNo00004173431121000.0151,851,899*
472-5-8NoNo000182638224000.197,985,675*
462-4-9NoNo0003163734101000.659,757,107*
452-3-10NoNo00172842192002.034,774,153*
441-5-9NoNo000031844305005.318,917,109*
431-4-10NoNo00193841111011.79,539,233*
421-3-11NoNo0042847192021.64,519,049*
411-2-12NoNo00118463050035.31,944,681*
400-4-11NoNo0010403911150.4739,320*
390-3-12NoNo0053044192065.1251,259*
380-2-13NoNo022044296078.372,712
370-1-14NoNo111383911087.914,363
360-0-15NoNo005294619094.61,789,245
-35613-1-177.2Yes772200No2,399,837
Total:0.8%23.6%14811121212109754211000000.1%14,375,272,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship