"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/14100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 2 Ponte Preta 0 -0.4
+8.4
-0.6
Chapecoense 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
-0.9
+0.1
Atletico-GO 0 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.1
-0.5
Sport Recife 1 Atletico-MG 1 +0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Palmeiras 3 -0.1
-0.6
+0.0
Avai 1 Botafogo 1 -0.3
+0.0
Bahia 2 Corinthians 0 +1.7
-0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Chapecoense 3 +1.6
-0.1
Flamengo 4 Bahia 1 -0.6
+0.0
Coritiba 1 Cruzeiro 0 +2.0
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Gremio 1 -1.0
+0.1
Vitoria 2 Atletico-PR 3 -0.4
Fluminense 1 Avai 0 -0.1
-0.0
Sport Recife 1 Santos 1 -0.1
Fluminense 3 Sao Paulo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Avai+0.2-0.1-0.1
-16.0+4.6+15.1
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba-1.4-0.3+2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo+2.1-0.2-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Sport Recife-0.8-0.2+1.1
Chapecoense vs Fluminense+0.6-0.2-0.5
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG-0.4*+0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Vitoria-0.6-0.8+1.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Santos vs Atletico-GO-0.3-0.1+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
599-0-0No95.1%0523422550No7,486
578-1-0No71.50424432540No11,823
568-0-1No52.3011338371010No21,242
557-2-0No29.8004254423300No35,610
547-1-1No14.4011340351010No130,443
537-0-2No5.3005274221400No118,236
6-3-0No4.3004254323510No63,935
526-2-1No1.20113373413200No346,619
516-1-2No0.20042337268100No626,247
5-4-0No0.100320362910200No72,014
505-3-1No0.00182635227100No521,659
6-0-3No0.001102934205100No378,406
495-2-2No0.00021330321741000.0%1,410,821
4-5-0No0.000210283420610No54,152
485-1-3NoNo0041732291430000.01,691,158
4-4-1NoNo0031430321740000.0489,540
474-3-2NoNo0015183229133000.21,758,902
5-0-4NoNo0016203327112000.2758,701
3-6-0NoNo004153131153000.427,265
464-2-3NoNo0017213426102001.73,151,789
3-5-1NoNo0015183329122002.2291,395
454-1-4NoNo0001925342371007.62,814,215
3-4-2NoNo0016223526910010.01,313,877*
443-3-3NoNo001927362150026.83,111,484
4-0-5NoNo0021229341840022.11,005,329
2-6-1NoNo01825372360029.0108,751
433-2-4NoNo0003143334142050.54,163,825
2-5-2NoNo002113137172055.3581,655*
423-1-5NoNo00052139287073.82,960,483
2-4-3NoNo0031838328078.41,727,190
1-7-1NoNo0031738338079.422,819
412-3-4NoNo0017294219191.93,062,241
3-0-6NoNo0019314117189.5875,643
1-6-2NoNo017284320292.9142,847*
402-2-5NoNo002174333497.63,261,123
1-5-3NoNo002154335598.2510,847*
392-1-6NoNo00735471099.51,921,407
1-4-4NoNo00634491199.71,139,281*
381-3-5NoNo002215621100.01,589,897
2-0-7NoNo00223561999.9484,719
0-6-3NoNo02205721100.061,339
371-2-6NoNo000115633100.01,403,195
0-5-4NoNo00115633100.0164,092
361-1-7NoNo0055045100.0705,973
0-4-5NoNo044947Yes289,659
350-3-6NoNo013959Yes340,086
1-0-8NoNo024257Yes155,181
340-2-7NoNo02970Yes255,587
330-1-8NoNo02179Yes112,117
320-0-9NoNo1486Yes27,855
Total:No0.2%0000001235681013151615550.8%46,280,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship