"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Botafogo 1 +3.4
-8.6
+1.1
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1 +1.5
-0.1
Palmeiras 0 Chapecoense 2 +0.3
+0.7
-0.1
Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0 -0.3
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Santos 0 +0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Gremio 0 Atletico-PR 0 +0.1
Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.4
Cruzeiro 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.2
Avai 1 Sao Paulo 1 -0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs Corinthians-0.4+0.0+0.1
+0.5+0.1-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Fluminense vs Atletico-MG-0.2+0.3-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MG+5.6-2.1-4.7
-5.9+1.2+5.6
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.0+0.2
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.5-0.1+1.0
Gremio vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.1-0.6
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Santos-0.4+0.2+0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Botafogo+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Avai vs Chapecoense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7817-0-043.7%Yes44561No33,761
7616-1-029.6Yes3070No81
7516-0-113.5Yes14833No133
7415-2-010.0Yes10828No438
7315-1-19.4Yes978130No1,424
7214-3-06.8Yes773200No2,736*
7114-2-14.5Yes568271No7,558
7014-1-22.4Yes2623320No16,127*
6913-3-11.2Yes1534150No30,676*
6813-2-20.6Yes1434880No66,484*
6713-1-30.2Yes033521410No118,795*
6612-3-20.1Yes024542120No213,582*
6512-2-30.0100.0%0165129400No380,814*
6411-4-20.0100.0094538800No614,757*
6311-3-30.099.905364414100No988,766*
6211-2-40.099.7022546224000No1,539,459*
6110-4-3No98.911542329100No2,251,510*
6010-3-40.096.60083438173000No3,253,043*
5910-2-5No90.90422392681000No4,526,711*
589-4-4No79.401123234164000No6,018,909*
579-3-5No61.8005213526102000No7,867,759*
568-5-4No40.40021128332061000No9,879,498*
558-4-5No20.90041631291541000No11,962,416*
548-3-6No8.10017213125113000No14,164,784*
537-5-5No2.200021024312292000No16,144,260*
527-4-6No0.400031226302071000No17,798,224*
517-3-7No0.0001414272917610000.0%19,120,023*
506-5-6No0.00001516292815510000.019,775,722*
496-4-7No0.0000161830271330000.019,802,352*
486-3-8NoNo000182131251120000.319,272,334*
475-5-7NoNo0002924322392001.618,047,544*
465-4-8NoNo000031227321961006.516,338,675*
455-3-9NoNo000141631301430017.814,332,490*
444-5-8NoNo0001722342691036.012,071,087*
434-4-9NoNo0002112935194057.29,805,267*
424-3-10NoNo00051937309075.77,687,717*
413-5-9NoNo000110313918188.45,756,438*
403-4-10NoNo0004214329295.34,135,917*
393-3-11NoNo002134042498.42,857,011*
382-5-10NoNo00063253899.51,867,459*
372-4-11NoNo00323601499.91,162,568*
362-3-12NoNo01156321100.0685,848*
351-5-11NoNo00086130100.0380,224*
341-4-12NoNo0045640100.0195,733*
331-3-13NoNo024850Yes94,060*
321-2-14NoNo014059Yes41,462*
310-4-13NoNo03168Yes15,897*
300-3-14NoNo02476Yes5,607*
290-2-15NoNo1684Yes1,676
280-1-16NoNo1189Yes325
270-0-17NoNo793Yes33,779
Total:0.0%11.5%0012456778888887643013.3%271,369,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship