How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca vs Parana-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.6+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs CRB+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.6
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
85-114YesYes100No10,003*
8426-6-699.9%Yes1000No1,778*
8326-5-7100.0Yes1000No2,829*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No4,470*
8125-6-799.6Yes1000No6,952*
8024-8-699.7Yes1000No10,625*
7924-7-799.2Yes991No15,978*
7824-6-898.9Yes991No23,755*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No34,052*
7623-7-897.5Yes9720No48,372*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No68,420*
7422-8-894.3Yes9460No94,860*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No129,466*
7222-6-1088.4Yes881100No173,337*
7121-8-983.7100.0%8415100No228,973*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No298,940*
6920-9-970.3100.07026300No383,589*
6820-8-1061.4100.061326000No486,123*
6720-7-1151.599.9513810100No604,561*
6619-9-1040.699.84142153000No744,092*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No898,098*
6419-7-1220.298.1204029102000No1,072,927*
6318-9-1112.195.2123334164100No1,260,717*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No1,462,815*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No1,667,770*
6017-9-121.061.6182231241130000No1,881,306*
5917-8-130.241.40312263019720000No2,087,014*
5816-10-120.022.40151628271651000No2,287,350*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No2,467,647*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No2,622,072*
5515-10-13No0.400031022282210310000No2,748,121*
5415-9-14No0.100013112328211030000No2,840,418*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.0%2,894,054*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.02,902,449*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428209200000.02,867,371*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413242820820000.32,796,607*
4913-10-15NoNo0001414252819720001.72,681,965*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761007.12,538,990*
4713-8-17NoNo000161828271441019.22,362,430*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.02,169,398*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.01,962,532*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.81,742,778*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.71,530,288*
4211-9-18NoNo00141734331295.21,316,999*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.21,115,156*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4931,536*
3910-9-19NoNo000214414299.8764,572*
3810-8-20NoNo0019375399.9617,442*
379-10-19NoNo0053163100.0490,510*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.0383,112*
359-8-21NoNo011980Yes294,220*
348-10-20NoNo011386Yes221,876*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes162,823*
328-8-22NoNo00694Yes118,490*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes84,568*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes58,803*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes40,435*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes27,135*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes17,408*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes11,194*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes7,041*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes4,390*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes2,644*
0-22NoNo100Yes10,794*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%59,797,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship