How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 -1.8
-6.1
+3.0
-1.0
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 -0.5
-2.1
+0.8
-0.3
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.3
-0.5
-0.3
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.3
-0.5
-0.3
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 +0.1
+0.3
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.3
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.2
-0.1
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.3
-0.1
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.1
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 -0.2
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.9-0.5+1.2
-5.1-1.9+6.4
+3.8+0.7-4.2
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Parana vs Criciuma+1.2-0.5-0.9
+6.0-2.0-4.7
-4.5+0.5+4.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
CRB vs Bragantino+0.2+0.1-0.3
*-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.1+0.2*+0.0
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Figueirense vs CRB+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Londrina+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP*-0.1+0.3-0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
America-MG vs Guarani+0.1-0.2*+0.1
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.1-0.2+0.1
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Criciuma vs Oeste*+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
78-87YesYes100No792*
7717-2-299.2%Yes991No121*
7616-4-197.0Yes973No233*
7516-3-295.0Yes955No480*
7416-2-395.4Yes9540No915*
7315-4-292.2Yes9280No1,659*
7215-3-389.6Yes90100No2,824*
7115-2-484.8Yes85151No4,745*
7014-4-378.5Yes792010No7,419*
6914-3-471.0Yes712620No11,866*
6813-5-361.3100.0%6133500No17,834*
6713-4-450.5100.05040910No26,070*
6613-3-539.099.9394415200No37,560*
6512-5-428.199.5284522500No52,202*
6412-4-517.798.618413010100No70,908*
6312-3-610.195.8103336174000No93,079*
6211-5-54.789.552336269100No119,510*
6111-4-61.877.92133132174100No149,446*
6011-3-70.660.91621332611200No182,587*
5910-5-60.139.502112632207100No216,132*
5810-4-70.020.5014162929165100No250,482*
579-6-60.07.80017193026133000No282,015*
569-5-7No2.00029223024103000No312,230*
559-4-8No0.300031124302292000No333,116*
548-6-7No0.000031225302082000No349,009*
538-5-8No0.00014132629197100No355,962*
528-4-9NoNo001414272917610000.0%352,606*
517-6-8NoNo000151628281651000.0339,613*
507-5-9NoNo00161729281541000.0318,888*
497-4-10NoNo00171929261341000.6293,502*
486-6-9NoNo00282130251130003.2260,817*
476-5-10NoNo000210233123920011.1226,293*
466-4-11NoNo00031226312061027.0191,267*
455-6-10NoNo0015163029153047.9155,803*
445-5-11NoNo00182233269168.8123,435*
435-4-12NoNo000312293419384.595,886*
424-6-11NoNo0016203629893.571,031*
414-5-12NoNo0021232381697.750,912*
404-4-13NoNo01624432699.335,754*
393-6-12NoNo00216433899.824,016*
383-5-13NoNo01103950100.015,508*
373-4-14NoNo063362Yes9,618*
362-6-13NoNo032473Yes5,694*
352-5-14NoNo011782Yes3,203*
342-4-15NoNo01387Yes1,726*
331-6-14NoNo793Yes920*
321-5-15NoNo496Yes428*
311-4-16NoNo496Yes195*
301-3-17NoNo298Yes83*
290-5-16NoNo397Yes34*
24-28NoNo100Yes692*
Total:2.0%15.1%234566777777665443219.9%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship