How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs Bragantino+2.5-0.7-2.1
+7.0-1.9-5.8
-3.8+0.7+3.4
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3+0.3*+0.1
*-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
CRB vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
84-103YesYes100No720*
8322-4-498.6%Yes991No139*
8222-3-599.5Yes991No195*
8121-5-4YesYes100No305*
8021-4-599.3Yes991No575*
7920-6-498.9Yes991No932*
7820-5-598.6Yes991No1,440*
7720-4-697.8Yes982No2,324*
7619-6-597.1Yes973No3,451*
7519-5-695.4Yes9550No5,055*
7419-4-794.4Yes9460No7,476*
7318-6-691.1Yes9190No10,411*
7218-5-786.6Yes871310No14,488*
7117-7-681.7Yes821710No20,233*
7017-6-775.3Yes752320No27,093*
6917-5-867.4Yes672940No35,860*
6816-7-757.8100.0%5835710No47,173*
6716-6-847.699.9484011100No59,912*
6616-5-936.499.73643173000No74,323*
6515-7-826.199.12642246100No91,242*
6415-6-916.897.517383111200No110,037*
6314-8-89.794.1103135195100No129,889*
6214-7-94.786.7521342611200No151,514*
6114-6-101.974.02122832196100No173,130*
6013-8-90.656.316193127134100No194,844*
5913-7-100.135.9021024312292000No212,915*
5813-6-110.018.2004142729187100No229,717*
5712-8-100.06.800161728271551000No244,698*
5612-7-11No1.70027192925134100No255,235*
5512-6-12No0.30029212924123100No260,031*
5411-8-11No0.0000210222923113000No261,972*
5311-7-12No0.0000310222922103000No258,241*
5211-6-13NoNo000311232921920000.0%251,233*
5110-8-12NoNo001312242921920000.0239,175*
5010-7-13NoNo000141325292082000.2222,108*
4910-6-14NoNo00141426291871001.5204,013*
489-8-13NoNo00151627281651006.1182,433*
479-7-14NoNo000171829261340017.5160,759*
469-6-15NoNo00029223124102035.9137,960*
458-8-14NoNo0013122731196156.9117,428*
448-7-15NoNo001618322913275.097,487*
438-6-16NoNo00210263522587.578,655*
427-8-15NoNo00151835321094.862,384*
417-7-16NoNo00021030401898.148,441*
407-6-17NoNo01623422999.337,114*
396-8-16NoNo00315434099.827,372*
386-7-17NoNo0110385199.919,968*
376-6-18NoNo0053262100.014,058*
365-8-17NoNo032572Yes9,555*
355-7-18NoNo021979Yes6,606*
345-6-19NoNo11486Yes4,246*
334-8-18NoNo01089Yes2,861*
324-7-19NoNo793Yes1,633*
314-6-20NoNo496Yes967*
303-8-19NoNo397Yes579*
293-7-20NoNo298Yes376*
283-6-21NoNo199Yes171*
272-8-20NoNo199Yes93*
262-7-21NoNo298Yes44*
13-25NoNo100Yes631*
Total:5.3%23.7%5666666666655544433211.1%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship