"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 2 Gremio 0 +12.9
+0.3
Internacional 3 Sao Paulo 1 -2.8
-0.0
Flamengo 3 Fluminense 0 -2.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Ceara+8.5-7.9-14.9
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Internacional vs Santos-5.6+3.9+6.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Parana vs Flamengo+4.1+2.8-2.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-PR-0.7+0.6+0.8
America-MG vs Gremio+0.5+0.3-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-86YesYes100No12,634,431*
838-0-199.9%Yes1000No9,949,466
827-2-099.7Yes1000No18,796,381
817-1-199.1Yes9910No36,769,669
806-3-097.2Yes9730No20,328,822
7-0-297.5Yes9820No17,779,584
796-2-195.4Yes9550No59,335,345
786-1-291.0Yes91900No57,068,436
5-4-089.8Yes90100No14,100,252
775-3-183.8Yes841610No54,579,068
6-0-385.0Yes851410No18,094,655
765-2-275.4Yes7523200No78,376,101
4-5-074.4Yes742410No6,497,492
755-1-364.4Yes6432400No49,463,697
4-4-161.7Yes6234400No31,312,745
744-3-249.3Yes4942900No59,675,546
5-0-452.5Yes5340800No11,586,059
3-6-049.3Yes4942800No1,991,583
734-2-336.6Yes37471610No56,249,097
3-5-134.2Yes34481710No11,474,976
723-4-222.1Yes224827300No27,222,922
4-1-425.2Yes254825200No26,239,375
2-7-022.6Yes23492630No393,391
713-3-313.2Yes134237700No34,052,654
4-0-515.7Yes164435500No4,846,300
2-6-112.3Yes124238800No2,624,173
703-2-47.1Yes733451410No23,734,037
2-5-25.8Yes631461610No7,478,157*
692-4-32.5Yes321482630No11,575,973
3-1-53.4100.0%3244922200No8,730,778
1-7-12.4Yes220472730No341,379
682-3-40.9Yes112433770No10,714,067
3-0-61.3Yes115463350No1,324,498
1-6-20.7Yes110413980No1,127,930*
672-2-50.3100.00635441410No5,888,383
1-5-30.2100.00532471610No2,111,572*
661-4-40.0100.00221492720No2,412,109
2-1-60.1100.00325482220No1,780,027
0-7-20.0Yes022049292No72,859
651-3-50.0100.00112443850No1,761,617
2-0-70.0100.00115463340No227,746
0-6-30.0100.00010434150No157,481
641-2-60.099.800736471000No797,096
0-5-40.099.90053451100No217,857
631-1-70.099.500326511910No203,476
0-4-5No99.50223542010No197,446
620-3-6No98.30114513220No140,660*
610-2-7No94.8007434450No44,530
600-1-8No90.403345390No9,962
590-0-9No82.50122591710No100,780
Total:61.6%100.0%622411310000No802,592,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship