How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro 2 Santos 0 +3.0
+0.1
+0.1
Gremio 1 Palmeiras 1 -2.7
-1.2
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Flamengo 4 -0.6
-0.2
-0.1
Athletico-PR 1 Atletico-MG 0 +0.6
-0.1
Sao Paulo 1 Ceara 0 -0.3
-0.2
Corinthians 2 Botafogo 0 -0.2
-0.1
Fortaleza 0 Internacional 1 -0.1
-0.3
Bahia 1 Goias 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo+0.6+0.4-0.7
-0.3+0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Fortaleza-1.7+1.3+2.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Flamengo+1.2+0.6-1.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Avai vs Corinthians+0.5+0.3-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Bahia-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.2+0.3+0.1
Goias vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.5
Gremio vs Athletico-PR+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-0.4+0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
93-99YesYes100No251,570*
9220-2-1100.0%Yes1000No42,390
9120-1-2100.0Yes1000No81,103*
9019-3-199.9Yes1000No166,815*
8919-2-299.9Yes1000No325,667*
8818-4-199.8Yes1000No574,967*
8718-3-299.6Yes10000No1,030,556*
8618-2-399.2Yes9910No1,731,765*
8517-4-298.7Yes9910No2,794,192*
8417-3-397.9Yes9820No4,423,036*
8316-5-296.8Yes9730No6,670,070*
8216-4-395.1Yes95500No9,793,650*
8116-3-492.6Yes93700No13,989,001*
8015-5-389.3Yes891100No19,265,688*
7915-4-484.8Yes8515000No25,888,481*
7815-3-579.2Yes7920100No33,766,975*
7714-5-472.2Yes7226200No42,797,694*
7614-4-564.0Yes64324000No52,896,570*
7513-6-454.8Yes55386000No63,604,384*
7413-5-545.0Yes454411100No74,449,837*
7313-4-635.1100.0%3547162000No85,060,990*
7212-6-525.7100.02647234000No94,647,401*
7112-5-617.6100.01844308100No102,701,684*
7012-4-711.1100.0113836132000No108,758,672*
6911-6-66.3100.0630402040000No112,276,682*
6811-5-73.2100.0321392781000No113,157,672*
6710-7-61.599.91133434142000No111,257,987*
6610-6-70.699.5172737225100No106,715,015*
6510-5-80.298.404183630112000No99,913,830*
649-7-70.095.701113035184000No91,277,516*
639-6-80.090.100521362791000No81,335,109*
629-5-90.080.5002133134163000No70,726,639*
618-7-80.066.4001623362581000No59,989,942*
608-6-90.049.20003143232153000No49,595,475*
598-5-10No32.0001724352471000No39,974,055*
587-7-9No17.70003153232153000No31,405,007*
577-6-10No8.2001724352481000No24,034,193*
567-5-11No3.100031431321640000No17,914,209*
556-7-10No0.9001722342592000No12,989,964*
546-6-11No0.20003132932175100No9,165,343*
536-5-12No0.00016203327112000No6,278,788*
525-7-11No0.00002112733206100No4,181,895*
515-6-12No0.000151832291330000.0%2,702,466*
505-5-13No0.00002925332271000.01,691,169*
494-7-12NoNo00041531311530000.01,027,321*
484-6-13NoNo001723342591000.1603,076*
474-5-14NoNo003133032174000.4342,007*
463-7-13NoNo0016213427101001.5187,037*
453-6-14NoNo002112934184004.698,020*
443-5-15NoNo015193528101011.248,968*
432-7-14NoNo002112936184022.123,784*
422-6-15NoNo01521362891037.311,112*
412-5-16NoNo00212323716254.54,900*
402-4-17NoNo062440255069.52,037*
391-6-16NoNo0216353313082.3773*
381-5-17NoNo08304417191.8294*
371-4-18NoNo215483598.1105*
360-6-17NoNo85438Yes24*
351-2-20NoNo176717Yes6*
33-34NoNo100Yes2*
300-0-23NoNo065539Yes223,220
Total:18.8%88.6%19201714118532100000000000.0%1,794,868,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship