How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 -0.6
-1.5
+0.1
-0.1
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.3
+0.8
+0.1
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.2
-0.6
-0.1
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
+0.4
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
+0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+2.2-0.5-1.6
+8.1-1.7-5.9
-1.2+0.1+1.0
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Juventude vs Operario-PR-1.4-0.6+1.9
-6.0-1.8+7.8
+1.1+0.1-1.2
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.4+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.4+0.4-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.5-0.2
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.5
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CSA-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.2-0.2
Avai vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-100YesYes100No195,741*
8723-2-399.8%Yes1000No5,526*
8622-4-299.8Yes1000No10,540*
8522-3-399.7Yes1000No20,788*
8421-5-299.6Yes1000No38,366*
8321-4-399.4Yes9910No68,861*
8221-3-498.9Yes9910No121,007*
8120-5-398.2Yes9820No206,441*
8020-4-497.3Yes9730No342,560*
7920-3-595.9Yes9640No555,755*
7819-5-494.0Yes94600No877,085*
7719-4-591.2Yes91900No1,349,859*
7618-6-487.5Yes881200No2,031,080*
7518-5-582.9100.0%8316100No2,988,545*
7418-4-677.0100.07721200No4,302,661*
7317-6-569.9100.070273000No6,046,127*
7217-5-661.6100.062335000No8,318,002*
7117-4-752.5100.052389100No11,220,707*
7016-6-642.899.9434213200No14,796,640*
6916-5-733.299.83344193000No19,111,725*
6815-7-624.299.424442661000No24,196,465*
6715-6-716.598.4164032112000No29,985,697*
6615-5-810.396.2103336173000No36,456,266*
6514-7-75.892.1625372471000No43,432,687*
6414-6-82.985.03173530122000No50,715,530*
6314-5-91.274.211028342051000No58,084,171*
6213-7-80.559.905203427112000No65,200,332*
6113-6-90.143.4021229321851000No71,765,346*
6013-5-100.027.60162133261120000No77,472,266*
5912-7-90.014.80021228321961000No82,013,703*
5812-6-100.06.500161932271230000No85,117,866*
5711-8-90.02.300021025322171000No86,624,130*
5611-7-100.00.6000141630291541000No86,457,116*
5511-6-11No0.1000182231251120000No84,563,857*
5410-8-10No0.000031226312071000No81,104,765*
5310-7-11No0.0000151629281541000No76,239,269*
5210-6-12No0.00001821312511300000.0%70,229,151*
519-8-11No0.000003112530218200000.063,369,067*
509-7-12NoNo0001415282917510000.056,031,894*
499-6-13NoNo00001719302613410000.048,510,126*
488-8-12NoNo000292330231020000.341,139,576*
478-7-13NoNo0001413263019710001.334,115,954*
468-6-14NoNo000161729281541004.727,695,741*
457-8-13NoNo0000292231241020012.521,981,380*
447-7-14NoNo000031327311961025.817,064,502*
437-6-15NoNo00016183128133043.612,936,927*
426-8-14NoNo0002102533227162.19,582,443*
416-7-15NoNo0001517323013277.76,921,342*
406-6-16NoNo000210263622588.54,879,787*
395-8-15NoNo0015183631994.83,352,653*
385-7-16NoNo00021132391697.92,242,327*
375-6-17NoNo001625432599.31,456,950*
364-8-16NoNo00318443599.8923,947*
354-7-17NoNo00111414699.9566,538*
344-6-18NoNo0073557100.0336,247*
333-8-17NoNo0042967100.0192,478*
323-7-18NoNo022276Yes108,161*
313-6-19NoNo011782Yes57,766*
303-5-20NoNo001288Yes29,868*
292-7-19NoNo0892Yes15,024*
282-6-20NoNo0595Yes7,190*
272-5-21NoNo0496Yes3,059*
261-7-20NoNo0397Yes1,360*
251-6-21NoNo199Yes549*
241-5-22NoNo199Yes187*
18-23NoNo100Yes104*
160-0-28NoNo0100Yes191,020
Total:3.8%26.0%468999988765432211002.6%1,535,980,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship