How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 +0.2
+2.5
-3.3
+0.8
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.1
-0.3
-0.3
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.1
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.2
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.2
+0.4
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.3
-0.3
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 +0.1
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.3
+0.4
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.1
-0.1
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 -0.1
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.4-0.2+0.4
-3.9-1.9+4.2
+1.8+0.3-1.6
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Operario-PR vs Figueirense+0.4-0.2-0.4
+4.1-2.1-4.0
-1.6+0.3+1.8
+0.9-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.3-0.3
Figueirense vs CRB+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.3-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.3+0.3+0.2
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP*-0.0+0.3-0.2
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Guarani vs Londrina+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
America-MG vs Guarani+0.1-0.1-0.0
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.1-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.1-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8721-0-0100.0%Yes1000No2,114
81-85YesYes100No38*
8018-2-198.8Yes991No85
7918-1-295.6Yes964No136*
7817-3-191.6Yes928No286*
7717-2-291.5Yes919No588*
7616-4-187.4Yes87120No1,167*
7516-3-283.9Yes84160No2,112*
7416-2-376.2Yes76221No4,110*
7315-4-269.0Yes692920No7,197*
7215-3-359.9Yes603640No12,336*
7115-2-450.2Yes504280No20,492*
7014-4-339.9100.0%40461310No31,520*
6914-3-429.799.9304819300No49,605*
6813-5-320.399.6204727500No73,484*
6713-4-412.998.81341341010No106,459*
6613-3-57.396.87333917300No150,522*
6512-5-43.792.342340257100No206,042*
6412-4-51.584.3114353313200No273,762*
6312-3-60.571.6182736226100No355,828*
6211-5-50.154.903173430123000No446,710*
6111-4-60.037.001927342171000No549,493*
6011-3-70.021.1004173229143000No658,409*
5910-5-60.09.900192433238200No765,855*
5810-4-7No3.7003142931175100No868,289*
579-6-6No1.1001721322611200No960,476*
569-5-7No0.20002112632217100No1,031,469*
559-4-8No0.00015163130143000No1,086,676*
548-6-7No0.0000182233259100No1,109,836*
538-5-8No0.00003122833185100No1,104,431*
528-4-9NoNo0015183329122000No1,073,265*
517-6-8NoNo00192534227100No1,015,605*
507-5-9NoNo00031431311640000.0%930,685*
497-4-10NoNo0016213426102000.0834,040*
486-6-9NoNo00021127332061000.1725,489*
476-5-10NoNo00041731291430000.4612,769*
466-4-11NoNo001823332492001.9502,911*
455-6-10NoNo003132832185106.0401,939*
445-5-11NoNo00151932281230015.3309,937*
435-4-12NoNo002925332271030.5232,964*
424-6-11NoNo0004153131153049.4167,927*
414-5-12NoNo00182335257168.1118,021*
404-4-13NoNo00314323415282.979,487*
393-6-12NoNo0017243825592.151,961*
383-5-13NoNo031537361097.032,756*
373-4-14NoNo01830431799.119,514*
362-6-13NoNo00422462899.611,289*
352-5-14NoNo0114463899.96,230*
342-4-15NoNo094150Yes3,213*
331-6-14NoNo43660Yes1,545*
321-5-15NoNo12772Yes821*
311-4-16NoNo12079Yes338*
301-3-17NoNo1288Yes152*
290-5-16NoNo1090Yes42*
26-28NoNo100Yes19*
240-0-21NoNo0100Yes2,114
Total:0.7%10.8%12356899101098653221003.0%17,014,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship