How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.4
+0.3
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+0.4-0.1-0.2
+4.5-0.8-2.8
-2.2+0.1+1.5
+1.0-0.1-0.6
Nautico vs Brusque-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Avai vs Remo-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.1+0.2-0.3
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.0+0.2-0.2
CSA vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Confianca vs Botafogo+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.2-0.1+0.3
-2.9-0.9+4.4
+1.6+0.2-2.2
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Brusque vs Coritiba-0.1+0.2-0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vitoria vs Avai+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.0-0.2
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Brusque vs Confianca-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Remo vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9325-0-0100.0%Yes1000No158,312
86-90YesYes100No145*
8522-1-299.5Yes1000No216*
8421-3-198.7Yes991No547*
8321-2-297.8Yes982No1,298*
8220-4-196.3Yes964No2,635*
8120-3-295.0Yes9550No5,800*
8020-2-392.5Yes9370No11,658*
7919-4-289.0Yes89110No22,356*
7819-3-385.7Yes86140No42,874*
7719-2-481.0Yes811810No78,671*
7618-4-375.1Yes752410No138,810*
7518-3-468.1Yes683020No240,679*
7417-5-360.4100.0%6036400No402,669*
7317-4-451.8100.05242600No656,213*
7217-3-542.8100.0434710100No1,043,267*
7116-5-433.8100.0345015100No1,611,530*
7016-4-525.399.9255022300No2,428,051*
6916-3-617.799.61847296000No3,578,068*
6815-5-511.598.911423610100No5,131,715*
6715-4-66.897.273440163000No7,200,725*
6614-6-53.693.942541246100No9,852,349*
6514-5-61.787.62173831112000No13,169,107*
6414-4-70.777.711031361840000No17,245,337*
6313-6-60.264.10523362691000No22,042,015*
6213-5-70.148.0021432321640000No27,544,587*
6113-4-80.031.9017243424810000No33,678,734*
6012-6-70.018.30031531311641000No40,258,447*
5912-5-80.08.8001823332492000No47,097,114*
5811-7-70.03.500031429311751000No53,914,871*
5711-6-80.01.100017213226112000No60,354,378*
5611-5-9No0.300031227321961000No66,102,389*
5510-7-8No0.100015183128133000No70,852,627*
5410-6-9No0.000021025332281000No74,261,215*
5310-5-10No0.0000041530311540000No76,149,799*
529-7-9No0.0000172233259200000.0%76,395,191*
519-6-10NoNo000313293218510000.074,911,775*
509-5-11NoNo000151933281120000.071,812,764*
498-7-10NoNo0000210263321610000.067,309,021*
488-6-11NoNo0000417323014300000.061,623,838*
478-5-12NoNo00018243324820000.155,137,771*
467-7-11NoNo000314293117510000.748,166,464*
457-6-12NoNo000162133261120002.541,061,780*
447-5-13NoNo00021227322061007.234,163,568*
436-7-12NoNo000151831281330016.427,713,195*
426-6-13NoNo00021025332271030.721,911,461*
416-5-14NoNo0014163130153048.216,864,263*
405-7-13NoNo000292434248165.712,628,380*
395-6-14NoNo000416323215280.19,202,673*
385-5-15NoNo00019253623589.96,505,800*
374-7-14NoNo00041735331195.64,466,832*
364-6-15NoNo0021030401898.32,971,789*
354-5-16NoNo001523432899.41,911,414*
343-7-15NoNo00216433999.81,189,402*
333-6-16NoNo001103951100.0714,095*
323-5-17NoNo0053262100.0411,944*
312-7-16NoNo0032572100.0227,725*
302-6-17NoNo011980Yes120,856*
292-5-18NoNo001387Yes60,998*
282-4-19NoNo0891Yes29,607*
271-6-18NoNo0594Yes13,192*
261-5-19NoNo397Yes5,640*
251-4-20NoNo0199Yes2,336*
241-3-21NoNo199Yes787*
230-5-20NoNo199Yes298*
20-22NoNo100Yes101*
180-0-25NoNo0100Yes158,312
Total:0.4%8.6%013457891010109764321104.5%1,272,972,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship