How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.1-0.2-0.6
-8.9+1.0+5.6
+1.0-0.1-0.6
Parana vs Bragantino+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.4*-0.1+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.4
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.2-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.8-0.2-0.5
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.3-0.1+0.4
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.4-0.2-0.3
CRB vs Guarani-0.2-0.4+0.5
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
79-97YesYes100No1,860*
7822-5-395.2%Yes955No21*
7722-4-488.6Yes8911No35*
7622-3-584.6Yes8515No104*
7521-5-485.8Yes8614No148*
7421-4-579.2Yes79191No279*
7320-6-474.6Yes75232No528*
7220-5-563.0Yes633250No818*
7120-4-657.7Yes583570No1,384*
7019-6-547.699.9%48411010No2,403*
6919-5-637.699.738441620No3,555*
6819-4-726.799.627462250No5,454*
6718-6-620.198.7204029910No8,637*
6618-5-712.396.712353415300No12,806*
6517-7-67.093.47283721610No19,021*
6417-6-73.786.4420352811200No27,155*
6317-5-81.676.02123033185100No38,171*
6216-7-70.661.21621332611200No53,115*
6116-6-80.244.503132931185100No72,372*
6016-5-90.027.401620312612300No96,375*
5915-7-80.014.2003112631207100No126,324*
5815-6-90.05.9001517292815410No163,667*
5715-5-10No1.9002922312410200No205,512*
5614-7-9No0.4003132630197100No255,035*
5514-6-10No0.10015172928154100No311,470*
5413-8-9No0.00028213025113000No372,131*
5313-7-10No0.000031125302182000No436,723*
5213-6-11NoNo001415282917610000.0%504,543*
5112-8-10NoNo000161930261341000.0571,531*
5012-7-11NoNo00029233123102000.0634,810*
4912-6-12NoNo00031326301971000.1692,025*
4811-8-11NoNo00161729281541000.6742,287*
4711-7-12NoNo00029223124102002.3781,710*
4611-6-13NoNo00031327311961006.9806,623*
4510-8-12NoNo00161831281330016.1816,109*
4410-7-13NoNo00021025322271030.4811,659*
4310-6-14NoNo0014163130143047.6793,098*
429-8-13NoNo00292534237164.7759,329*
419-7-14NoNo001417333113278.9711,547*
409-6-15NoNo00029273621488.8655,915*
398-8-14NoNo0015203730894.7593,112*
388-7-15NoNo0021334381497.8521,406*
378-6-16NoNo001728432199.2451,769*
367-8-15NoNo000421453199.7381,374*
357-7-16NoNo000214434199.9315,584*
347-6-17NoNo00193951100.0256,021*
336-8-16NoNo0053461100.0201,711*
326-7-17NoNo0032769100.0155,700*
316-6-18NoNo0022177100.0117,906*
305-8-17NoNo011683Yes86,452*
295-7-18NoNo001188Yes62,223*
285-6-19NoNo0892Yes43,288*
274-8-18NoNo0694Yes29,200*
264-7-19NoNo0397Yes19,351*
254-6-20NoNo0298Yes12,319*
243-8-19NoNo298Yes7,586*
233-7-20NoNo199Yes4,652*
223-6-21NoNo0199Yes2,545*
213-5-22NoNo0100Yes1,477*
202-7-21NoNo100Yes821*
192-6-22NoNo0100Yes397*
7-18NoNo100Yes2,177*
Total:0.1%1.6%00011223345678910101010838.5%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship