How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville 0 Avaí 1 -4.5
-8.1
+1.0
-0.8
Santa Cruz 2 Ceará 3 -0.9
-0.5
-0.1
América-RN 1 América-MG 0 +0.4
+0.1
Oeste 2 Luverdense 1 +0.3
+0.4
+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa 2 Vila Nova 0 -0.3
-0.7
-0.1
Paraná 1 ABC 0 +0.3
+0.5
+0.1
Ponte Preta 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.2
+0.3
Boa Esporte 2 Bragantino 1 -0.1
-0.2
Atlético-GO 2 Náutico 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Náutico vs Icasa-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.2*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portuguesa vs Oeste+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Sampaio Corrêa+4.5-1.3-3.5
+9.8-2.4-8.0
-1.5+0.2+1.4
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Bragantino vs Joinville-3.2-1.3+4.2
-7.3-2.5+9.2
+1.5+0.1-1.6
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Ceará vs Boa Esporte-0.9+0.3+0.6
-0.5+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
América-MG vs ABC-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.3+0.5-0.0
Avaí vs Luverdense-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.3+0.5-0.1
Luverdense vs Portuguesa-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Paraná-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Atlético-GO+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
América-RN vs Santa Cruz-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-98YesYes100No24,210*
8419-4-299.9%Yes1000No1,980*
8319-3-3100.0Yes1000No3,745*
8218-5-299.9Yes1000No6,973*
8118-4-399.8Yes1000No13,066*
8018-3-499.8Yes1000No22,880*
7917-5-399.7Yes10000No39,140*
7817-4-499.5Yes1000No65,326*
7716-6-399.2Yes991No106,467*
7616-5-498.7Yes9910No167,636*
7516-4-597.9Yes9820No259,359*
7415-6-496.9Yes9730No388,374*
7315-5-595.2Yes9550No569,081*
7215-4-692.8Yes93700No815,865*
7114-6-589.4100.0%8910000No1,137,915*
7014-5-684.9Yes851410No1,548,847*
6913-7-578.8100.07920100No2,062,374*
6813-6-671.1100.07126300No2,687,389*
6713-5-761.8100.062335000No3,420,148*
6612-7-651.2100.0513991000No4,247,520*
6512-6-739.799.84043152000No5,168,461*
6412-5-828.499.428432251000No6,140,143*
6311-7-718.398.11840301020000No7,134,731*
6211-6-810.394.91032351841000No8,110,044*
6110-8-75.087.852235261020000No9,010,488*
6010-7-81.975.021329321861000No9,792,252*
5910-6-90.656.3161931271331000No10,405,965*
589-8-80.134.8029233122920000No10,802,346*
579-7-90.016.600313262919720000No10,968,674*
569-6-100.05.600151527281761000No10,880,114*
558-8-90.01.2000161728271551000No10,548,079*
548-7-10No0.2000171828261451000No9,982,218*
538-6-11No0.0000271928251441000No9,231,572*
527-8-10No0.00002819282513410000.0%8,330,240*
517-7-11No0.000002819292513410000.07,333,412*
507-6-12NoNo0002820292412300000.06,297,256*
496-8-11NoNo000292129241130000.45,273,449*
486-7-12NoNo0000310233022920002.24,300,733*
476-6-13NoNo00031225302071008.53,411,731*
465-8-12NoNo000141528301751021.72,638,685*
455-7-13NoNo00017193127122041.21,979,216*
445-6-14NoNo0002102533226161.91,443,534*
434-8-13NoNo001416323213279.01,019,084*
424-7-14NoNo00018263723490.1698,878*
414-6-15NoNo004173733995.9463,659*
403-8-14NoNo0011031411698.6296,854*
393-7-15NoNo000524462599.6183,424*
383-6-16NoNo0216463599.9108,734*
372-8-15NoNo01104346100.061,879*
362-7-16NoNo0063856100.033,964*
352-6-17NoNo0033166100.017,636*
342-5-18NoNo012573Yes8,763*
331-7-17NoNo11980Yes4,147*
321-6-18NoNo01584Yes1,790*
311-5-19NoNo1090Yes707*
301-4-20NoNo0693Yes270*
290-6-19NoNo595Yes107*
25-28NoNo100Yes38*
230-0-25NoNo0100Yes22,348
Total:10.7%39.5%111010987766544332211103.0%179,693,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)