How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville 3 Sampaio Corrêa 1 +3.5
+9.3
-2.1
+1.2
Bragantino 1 Joinville 0 -3.1
-7.1
+1.5
-0.9
Luverdense 3 Portuguesa 1 -0.3
-0.7
-0.2
América-MG 1 ABC 0 -0.3
-0.4
Ceará 2 Boa Esporte 2 +0.3
+0.3
Vasco da Gama 1 Paraná 0 -0.2
-0.5
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Atlético-GO 2 -0.2
-0.6
-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa 3 Ponte Preta 3 +0.2
+0.4
América-RN 0 Santa Cruz 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Avaí 1 Luverdense 2 +0.1
*-0.1
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO 0 Ceará 2 -0.6
-0.3
Icasa 2 América-MG 0 +0.5
+0.5
+0.1
ABC 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.2
-0.3
Oeste 0 Avaí 0 +0.2
+0.3
Ponte Preta 1 Bragantino 0 -0.1
-0.4
Paraná 3 Vila Nova 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
84-88YesYes100No23,369*
8314-1-1100.0%Yes1000No2,839
8213-3-0100.0Yes1000No5,553*
8113-2-1100.0Yes1000No14,728
8013-1-2100.0Yes1000No29,104*
7912-3-199.9Yes1000No57,551*
7812-2-299.8Yes1000No114,396*
7711-4-199.7Yes1000No196,548*
7611-3-299.5Yes9910No347,250*
7511-2-399.1Yes9910No577,077*
7410-4-298.3Yes9820No899,510*
7310-3-396.9Yes97300No1,389,864*
7210-2-494.9Yes95500No2,035,726*
719-4-391.6Yes92800No2,859,668*
709-3-486.9Yes871300No3,928,324*
698-5-380.2100.0%8019100No5,143,870*
688-4-471.3100.071263000No6,534,825*
678-3-560.3100.060345000No8,046,530*
667-5-447.7100.0484110100No9,507,778*
657-4-534.599.83445183000No10,886,879*
647-3-622.699.223432771000No6,496,605
6-6-421.899.12243277100No5,575,856*
636-5-512.397.1123635143000No7,952,940
7-2-712.497.2123634143000No4,926,109*
626-4-65.691.5625372471000No13,305,580*
616-3-72.180.42143232154000No6,499,047
5-6-51.979.12143132164100No6,783,810*
605-5-60.560.016213326112000No7,945,979
6-2-80.561.116213326102000No4,803,038*
595-4-70.136.9021025322282000No11,842,259*
584-6-60.016.00031327311961000No5,057,042
5-3-80.017.60031428301861000No5,540,864*
574-5-70.05.200151629291651000No9,106,114*
564-4-80.01.0000161829271441000No7,538,159*
553-6-7No0.100017193026134100No5,989,935*
543-5-8No0.000017203025123000No4,551,274*
533-4-9No0.000028213025113000No3,317,420*
523-3-10NoNo000292231241020000.0%2,303,217*
512-5-9NoNo00021024312292000.01,516,585*
502-4-10NoNo00031226312071000.1949,548*
492-3-11NoNo0004142931174000.5558,649*
481-5-10NoNo0015183229122002.4308,324*
471-4-11NoNo00182435247107.7158,741*
461-3-12NoNo003133134163018.674,856*
450-5-11NoNo001521382870034.831,921*
440-4-12NoNo02113338142054.012,036*
430-3-13NoNo152443244071.44,042*
420-2-14NoNo21439359183.71,041
410-1-15NoNo16274916293.9181
400-0-16NoNo03234425497.121,879
Total:22.1%65.0%2218141197543221100000000.0%175,774,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

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