How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Joinville 0 -3.2
-8.1
+1.1
-0.9
Luverdense 0 Náutico 2 +0.3
+0.5
+0.1
Vasco da Gama 2 Ceará 0 +0.1
-0.2
Atlético-GO 2 Paraná 1 -0.1
-0.4
Boa Esporte 2 Sampaio Corrêa 1 *-0.1
Icasa 0 América-RN 2 -0.2
Oeste 1 Vila Nova 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Santa Cruz vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense 2 Joinville 2 -1.4
-2.5
+0.1
-0.2
América-MG 3 Ponte Preta 0 -0.3
-0.3
Avaí 0 Santa Cruz 0 +0.3
+0.4
Portuguesa 1 Ceará 1 +0.2
+0.2
+0.0
Icasa 1 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.2
+0.3
+0.0
Oeste 2 Boa Esporte 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.1
ABC 0 Vila Nova 2 +0.1
+0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Náutico 2 América-RN 1 -0.1
-0.2
Paraná 1 Bragantino 0 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
83-90YesYes100No54,056*
8217-1-299.9%Yes1000No2,616*
8116-3-1YesYes100No6,041*
8016-2-2100.0Yes1000No13,062*
7915-4-199.9Yes1000No25,267*
7815-3-299.8Yes1000No50,599*
7715-2-399.7Yes1000No93,484*
7614-4-299.5Yes10000No166,683*
7514-3-399.2Yes9910No290,499*
7413-5-298.6Yes9910No482,238*
7313-4-397.5Yes9720No776,929*
7213-3-495.9Yes9640No1,219,163*
7112-5-393.4Yes93600No1,835,271*
7012-4-489.6100.0%9010000No2,696,599*
6912-3-584.5100.08415100No3,837,641*
6811-5-477.3100.07721200No5,288,795*
6711-4-568.2100.068284000No7,108,298*
6610-6-457.1100.057357100No9,267,605*
6510-5-544.799.94541132000No11,734,041*
6410-4-632.199.632432040000No14,461,364*
639-6-520.698.621412891000No17,330,934*
629-5-611.495.61133351640000No20,188,978*
619-4-75.288.65233525920000No22,891,075*
608-6-61.975.121229321861000No25,225,623*
598-5-70.554.8051831281341000No27,040,024*
588-4-80.132.10182231241030000No28,202,549*
577-6-70.013.90031125302182000No28,563,284*
567-5-80.04.0000413262919720000No28,128,013*
556-7-70.00.70001414262918710000No26,913,194*
546-6-8No0.1000151527281761000No24,998,110*
536-5-9No0.0000151527281761000No22,541,112*
525-7-8No0.00001515272817610000.0%19,716,582*
515-6-9No0.000001516282816510000.016,706,267*
505-5-10NoNo00001516282815510000.113,720,065*
494-7-9NoNo000161829271440000.510,890,754*
484-6-10NoNo000172031261230003.08,352,731*
474-5-11NoNo00029233224920010.86,186,645*
463-7-10NoNo000031227322061026.24,412,516*
453-6-11NoNo0014163130143047.33,026,131*
443-5-12NoNo00182335258168.11,991,193*
433-4-13NoNo000313313416283.81,256,355*
422-6-12NoNo0016233826693.0757,191*
412-5-13NoNo0021435361297.4432,788*
402-4-14NoNo001728432099.2234,651*
391-6-13NoNo00320463199.8119,611*
381-5-14NoNo001134343100.056,688*
371-4-15NoNo0073854100.025,251*
361-3-16NoNo043165Yes10,297*
350-5-15NoNo022474Yes3,735*
340-4-16NoNo11881Yes1,193*
330-3-17NoNo1189Yes342*
320-2-18NoNo892Yes52
310-1-19NoNo793Yes14
300-0-20NoNo0397Yes52,161
Total:10.1%39.1%101010998776554332111001.8%419,386,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)