How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville 0 Palmeiras 0 -0.5
-1.5
+1.3
-0.3
Corinthians 1 Chapecoense 0 -0.1
Goiás 2 Atlético-PR 0 +0.1
Coritiba 2 Grêmio 0 +0.1
Ponte Preta 1 São Paulo 0 *-0.1
Figueirense 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.2
Flamengo 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo vs Joinville-1.1-0.5+1.4
-3.8-1.4+4.7
+5.5+1.4-6.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Fluminense vs Corinthians+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Palmeiras vs Goiás+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Atlético-PR vs Atlético-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Avaí vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Grêmio vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-109YesYes100No168,395*
8727-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,782*
8627-5-4YesYes100No3,196*
8526-4-699.9Yes1000No5,649*
8426-5-599.9Yes1000No9,991*
8325-4-799.9Yes1000No17,209*
8225-5-699.9Yes1000No29,073*
8125-6-599.8Yes1000No47,663*
8024-5-799.6Yes1000No77,449*
7924-6-699.5Yes991No122,743*
7824-7-599.1Yes991No191,067*
7723-6-798.7Yes9910No294,289*
7623-7-697.9Yes9820No441,717*
7523-8-596.8Yes97300No653,617*
7422-7-795.2Yes95500No951,410*
7322-8-693.0Yes93700No1,360,524*
7221-7-889.9Yes901000No1,918,627*
7121-8-785.7100.0%8614100No2,651,191*
7021-9-680.1100.08018100No3,612,459*
6920-8-873.1100.073243000No4,839,429*
6820-9-764.7100.065305000No6,377,772*
6720-10-654.9100.055368100No8,280,654*
6619-9-844.299.94441132000No10,587,707*
6519-10-733.299.53343204000No13,320,225*
6418-9-922.998.623412781000No16,507,328*
6318-10-814.196.31435321430000No20,143,562*
6218-11-77.691.18273522710000No24,188,797*
6117-10-93.481.4317322914410000No28,623,236*
6017-11-81.266.0192432229200000No33,350,098*
5917-12-70.346.104142829176100000No38,276,953*
5816-11-90.126.101618292614410000No43,274,266*
5716-12-80.011.1002921292311310000No48,191,318*
5616-13-70.03.3000311232922103000000No52,844,218*
5515-12-90.00.600014122428209200000No57,070,377*
5415-13-8No0.1000141324282082000000.0%60,705,987*
5315-14-7No0.00000141325281982000000.063,605,718*
5214-13-9No0.0000014132528198200000.065,635,649*
5114-14-8No0.0000014142528198200000.066,684,430*
5013-13-10NoNo000015142528187200000.266,715,283*
4913-14-9NoNo00001515262817610001.565,701,370*
4813-15-8NoNo0000161627271651006.363,748,425*
4712-14-10NoNo0000271829261441018.060,860,146*
4612-15-9NoNo000029223024102036.757,194,360*
4512-16-8NoNo000013122631206158.052,872,039*
4411-15-10NoNo0001517312914276.248,136,372*
4311-16-9NoNo000029253523688.543,095,648*
4211-17-8NoNo000141734331295.237,942,082*
4110-16-10NoNo000021029402098.232,858,480*
4010-17-9NoNo0001521433099.427,994,523*
3910-18-8NoNo0000214424299.823,433,286*
389-17-10NoNo000193753100.019,268,220*
379-18-9NoNo00053164100.015,575,781*
369-19-8NoNo00032473100.012,367,489*
358-18-10NoNo0011880100.09,641,169*
348-19-9NoNo0011386100.07,374,469*
338-20-8NoNo00991Yes5,535,078*
327-19-10NoNo00694Yes4,074,952*
317-20-9NoNo00496Yes2,940,768*
307-21-8NoNo0397Yes2,078,859*
296-20-10NoNo0298Yes1,438,373*
286-21-9NoNo0199Yes974,737*
276-22-8NoNo0199Yes644,783*
265-21-10NoNo0100Yes417,092*
255-22-9NoNo0100Yes264,120*
245-23-8NoNo0100Yes162,651*
235-24-7NoNo0100Yes98,263*
224-23-9NoNo0100Yes57,609*
214-24-8NoNo0100Yes33,113*
204-25-7NoNo0100Yes18,120*
18-19NoNo100Yes14,857*
173-26-7NoNo0100Yes2,466*
1-16NoNo100Yes168,682*
Total:3.2%14.6%3444444555555566667725.8%1,338,769,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship