How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tupi vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Joinville vs Criciuma+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Luverdense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tupi vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-114YesYes100No50,643*
8828-6-499.9%Yes1000No1,417*
8727-5-6100.0Yes1000No2,495*
8627-6-5100.0Yes1000No4,294*
8526-5-799.9Yes1000No7,190*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No11,709*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No18,933*
8225-6-799.9Yes1000No29,247*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No45,332*
8024-6-899.5Yes10000No69,492*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No104,627*
7824-8-698.9Yes9910No153,928*
7723-7-898.4Yes9820No223,792*
7623-8-797.4Yes9730No319,344*
7523-9-696.2Yes96400No449,649*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No622,403*
7322-9-791.7Yes92800No848,299*
7222-10-688.3100.0%8811000No1,140,386*
7121-9-883.7100.08415100No1,507,265*
7021-10-777.7100.07820200No1,962,905*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No2,520,864*
6820-10-861.4100.061326000No3,187,352*
6720-11-751.499.95138101000No3,971,574*
6619-10-940.799.84142152000No4,880,807*
6519-11-830.099.330432251000No5,905,278*
6419-12-720.298.1204028102000No7,045,205*
6318-11-912.195.212333416410000No8,286,077*
6218-12-86.389.16243524920000No9,600,350*
6118-13-72.778.1315303016510000No10,976,440*
6017-12-90.961.61722312411300000No12,359,096*
5917-13-80.241.50312263019720000No13,722,280*
5816-12-100.022.401516282716510000No15,019,596*
5716-13-90.09.0002719282513410000No16,206,744*
5616-14-80.02.50002921282312310000No17,227,224*
5515-13-10No0.400031022282210310000No18,059,411*
5415-14-9No0.00001311232821103000000.0%18,650,357*
5315-15-8No0.0000131123282193000000.018,998,232*
5214-14-10No0.000014122328219200000.019,062,812*
5114-15-9No0.0000014122428209200000.018,854,994*
5014-16-8NoNo000014132428208200000.318,364,890*
4913-15-10NoNo00001414252819720001.717,625,442*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151527281761007.116,676,813*
4713-17-8NoNo0000161828271441019.215,533,485*
4612-16-10NoNo0000029213025112038.014,242,675*
4512-17-9NoNo00003122631217159.012,884,008*
4412-18-8NoNo0001517313014276.811,453,478*
4311-17-10NoNo00029253524688.710,039,009*
4211-18-9NoNo000141634331295.28,647,732*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.27,343,542*
4010-18-10NoNo001521433099.46,132,375*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.85,033,095*
3810-20-8NoNo00193753100.04,064,114*
379-19-10NoNo00053164100.03,222,887*
369-20-9NoNo0032573100.02,517,875*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.01,930,604*
348-20-10NoNo0011486100.01,453,774*
338-21-9NoNo00990Yes1,074,920*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes779,261*
317-21-10NoNo00496Yes554,923*
307-22-9NoNo00397Yes386,437*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes264,394*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes176,445*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes116,179*
266-24-8NoNo00100Yes74,477*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes46,700*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes28,536*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes16,947*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes9,971*
0-21NoNo100Yes61,129*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%392,864,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship