How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG 1 Joinville 0 -0.2
-1.3
+7.2
-0.8
Joinville 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
-0.9
+7.6
-0.7
Chapecoense 1 Sport Recife 1 *+0.1
*-0.1
Atlético-MG 2 Coritiba 0 -0.1
-0.4
Sport Recife 3 Internacional 0 -0.3
Grêmio 1 Cruzeiro 0 -0.1
-0.3
Palmeiras 4 São Paulo 0 +0.4
Vasco da Gama 1 Avaí 0 +0.3
Atlético-PR 2 São Paulo 1 +0.1
Palmeiras 2 Chapecoense 0 +0.1
Corinthians 2 Figueirense 1 -0.1
-0.2
Figueirense 3 Goiás 1 +0.1
Coritiba 1 Cruzeiro 0 +0.3
Ponte Preta 2 Atlético-PR 1 +0.2
Goiás 1 Fluminense 2 -0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Flamengo 0 +0.2
Internacional 1 Santos 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Fluminense vs Santos-0.3*-0.2+0.4
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Joinville-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
+7.2+2.3-8.7
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Coritiba vs Joinville-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
+7.4+2.2-8.9
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Avaí vs Sport Recife+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Cruzeiro vs Atlético-PR+0.5-0.2-0.4
Goiás vs Corinthians+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro-0.4*-0.2+0.5
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta+0.5-0.2-0.4
Santos vs Grêmio+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo+0.5-0.3-0.3
Internacional vs Atlético-MG+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Chapecoense vs Grêmio+0.4-0.2-0.2
Flamengo vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4*+0.0
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama*-0.1-0.2+0.3
Internacional vs Flamengo*-0.0-0.3+0.2
Goiás vs Santos+0.2-0.3*+0.0
Palmeiras vs Avaí*-0.1-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
74-88YesYes100No308*
7322-3-388.9%Yes8911No9*
7221-2-583.3Yes8317No18*
7121-3-485.4Yes8515No41*
7020-2-677.4Yes7723No53*
6920-3-577.6Yes78211No134*
6820-4-463.6Yes643061No198*
6720-5-351.5Yes513991No340*
6619-4-537.7Yes3845152No514*
6519-5-430.399.4%30442141No880*
6418-4-620.798.62140271110No1,387*
6318-5-512.595.713323516400No2,162*
6218-6-46.789.772435249200No3,115*
6117-5-62.578.7215313016410No4,587*
6017-6-50.864.2172333249200No6,654*
5917-7-40.343.103132730196100No9,333*
5816-6-60.023.601617292714510No12,571*
5716-7-5No9.702822292411310No17,099*
5615-6-7No2.803102330229200No22,552*
5515-7-6No0.50013122529208200No29,335*
5415-8-5No0.10014132529198200No36,974*
5314-7-7NoNo014142628187100No45,760*
5214-8-6NoNo001515272817610000.0%55,716*
5114-9-5NoNo00151627281761000.066,114*
5013-8-7NoNo00151628271651000.177,456*
4913-9-6NoNo00161828271551000.889,223*
4813-10-5NoNo00027192926134004.199,808*
4712-9-7NoNo000292130241120013.2110,890*
4612-10-6NoNo00031124302181030.0119,171*
4511-9-8NoNo0015152830164051.0127,516*
4411-10-7NoNo001721322711170.8132,457*
4311-11-6NoNo00312283420485.3135,181*
4210-10-8NoNo0015203530993.7135,721*
4110-11-7NoNo0021231381797.5133,034*
4010-12-6NoNo001624432799.2127,816*
399-11-8NoNo00316433899.8120,795*
389-12-7NoNo00110395099.9111,641*
379-13-6NoNo0063361100.0100,937*
368-12-8NoNo0032671100.089,304*
358-13-7NoNo011979Yes77,474*
348-14-6NoNo011485Yes65,726*
337-13-8NoNo001090Yes55,083*
327-14-7NoNo0694Yes44,498*
317-15-6NoNo0496Yes35,324*
306-14-8NoNo0397Yes27,304*
296-15-7NoNo0298Yes20,927*
286-16-6NoNo199Yes15,233*
275-15-8NoNo199Yes10,879*
265-16-7NoNo0100Yes7,788*
255-17-6NoNo0100Yes5,365*
244-16-8NoNo0100Yes3,608*
234-17-7NoNo0100Yes2,272*
224-18-6NoNo0100Yes1,434*
213-17-8NoNo0100Yes826*
4-20NoNo100Yes1,375*
Total:0.1%1.1%0000111122334567911162762.9%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship