How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville 0 Criciúma 0 -0.6
-1.5
+1.2
-0.3
Vasco da Gama 1 Tupi 0 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Goiás 1 Londrina 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Paysandu 1 Oeste 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.2
Paraná 0 Bahia 0 *+0.1
+0.2
Atlético-GO 1 Brasil de Pelotas 0 *-0.1
*-0.1
CRB 0 Ceará 3 +0.1
Avaí 2 Sampaio Corrêa 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Bahia vs Joinville-1.3-0.5+1.7
-4.2-1.5+5.3
+5.1+1.2-6.1
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Ceará vs Atlético-GO+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Luverdense vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciúma vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.2+0.1
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Londrina vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tupi vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Londrina+1.6-0.5-1.2
+5.2-1.5-4.1
-6.1+1.2+5.2
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Tupi vs Joinville-1.2-0.5+1.6
-4.1-1.5+5.2
+5.3+1.2-6.2
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Oeste vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Luverdense vs Atlético-GO*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Paysandu vs Luverdense+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Criciúma vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
CRB vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Goiás vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Avaí vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ceará vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.2+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Paraná-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Paraná vs Oeste-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Bragantino vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
89-110YesYes100No231,871*
8827-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,147*
8726-3-7YesYes100No2,188*
8626-4-699.9Yes1000No4,041*
8526-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,374*
8425-4-7100.0Yes1000No13,039*
8325-5-699.9Yes1000No22,473*
8224-4-899.9Yes1000No38,030*
8124-5-799.8Yes1000No63,139*
8024-6-699.7Yes10000No102,897*
7923-5-899.6Yes10000No164,670*
7823-6-799.3Yes9910No258,618*
7723-7-699.0Yes9910No400,029*
7622-6-898.4Yes9820No606,462*
7522-7-797.5Yes9730No901,697*
7421-6-996.2Yes96400No1,319,297*
7321-7-894.4Yes94600No1,901,335*
7221-8-791.8Yes92800No2,688,388*
7120-7-988.2100.0%8811000No3,741,546*
7020-8-883.5100.08316100No5,116,662*
6920-9-777.3100.077212000No6,886,974*
6819-8-969.6100.070273000No9,112,698*
6719-9-860.5100.0613360000No11,865,345*
6618-8-1050.299.95038101000No15,229,012*
6518-9-939.299.739421630000No19,206,669*
6418-10-828.499.228422361000No23,857,954*
6317-9-1018.697.81939301120000No29,147,187*
6217-10-910.894.31132341851000No35,067,515*
6117-11-85.487.2522342510200000No41,529,270*
6016-10-102.274.7213293118610000No48,408,392*
5916-11-90.756.61619302613410000No55,548,245*
5816-12-80.235.802102330229200000No62,739,890*
5715-11-100.017.7014132628197200000No69,764,885*
5615-12-90.06.30015162727166100000No76,360,428*
5514-11-110.01.500016172726155100000No82,280,710*
5414-12-100.00.200002718272514510000No87,254,305*
5314-13-9No0.0000027182825145100000.0%91,068,383*
5213-12-11No0.0000028192825145100000.093,539,722*
5113-13-10No0.00000028192825144100000.094,584,391*
5013-14-9NoNo00002819282513410000.194,067,500*
4912-13-11NoNo00002819282513410000.792,070,561*
4812-14-10NoNo00000292029241230003.888,648,560*
4712-15-9NoNo000003102229231020012.683,953,590*
4611-14-11NoNo0000141225302071029.278,177,660*
4511-15-10NoNo000015152829164050.571,604,944*
4411-16-9NoNo00002720322711270.664,474,494*
4310-15-11NoNo00000312273420485.157,053,494*
4210-16-10NoNo000016193530993.549,630,760*
4110-17-9NoNo000021131381797.642,409,979*
409-16-11NoNo0001623422799.235,596,872*
399-17-10NoNo000316423999.829,336,135*
389-18-9NoNo000110385199.923,738,873*
378-17-11NoNo000063262100.018,838,229*
368-18-10NoNo00032671100.014,662,261*
358-19-9NoNo0011979100.011,196,788*
347-18-11NoNo0011485100.08,382,062*
337-19-10NoNo001090Yes6,147,974*
327-20-9NoNo00793Yes4,413,563*
316-19-11NoNo00496Yes3,101,104*
306-20-10NoNo0397Yes2,128,714*
296-21-9NoNo0298Yes1,431,942*
285-20-11NoNo0199Yes938,105*
275-21-10NoNo0199Yes599,664*
265-22-9NoNo0100Yes375,060*
254-21-11NoNo0100Yes226,947*
244-22-10NoNo0100Yes135,177*
234-23-9NoNo0100Yes77,294*
224-24-8NoNo0100Yes42,857*
213-23-10NoNo0100Yes23,317*
203-24-9NoNo0100Yes12,404*
2-19NoNo100Yes242,398*
Total:3.8%16.7%4444555555555555666622.5%1,854,776,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship