How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Oeste vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tupi vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Joinville vs Criciuma+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tupi vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No35,060*
8928-5-599.8%Yes1000No580*
87-88YesYes100No2,820*
8627-6-599.9Yes1000No2,864*
8526-5-7100.0Yes1000No5,018*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No8,173*
8326-7-599.8Yes1000No13,332*
8225-6-799.8Yes1000No20,858*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No32,201*
8024-6-899.5Yes1000No49,001*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No73,662*
7824-8-698.9Yes9910No108,709*
7723-7-898.4Yes9820No157,290*
7623-8-797.4Yes9730No224,354*
7523-9-696.1Yes9640No316,004*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No437,542*
7322-9-791.9Yes92800No597,433*
7222-10-688.3100.0%8811000No801,230*
7121-9-883.7Yes841510No1,060,295*
7021-10-777.7100.07820200No1,383,488*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No1,773,804*
6820-10-861.5100.061326000No2,242,729*
6720-11-751.499.95138101000No2,796,328*
6619-10-940.799.84142152000No3,433,723*
6519-11-830.099.330432251000No4,160,800*
6419-12-720.298.12040281020000No4,958,409*
6318-11-912.195.21233341641000No5,827,589*
6218-12-86.389.1624352492000No6,761,624*
6118-13-72.778.2315303016510000No7,723,393*
6017-12-91.061.6182231241130000No8,697,991*
5917-13-80.241.50312263019720000No9,652,966*
5816-12-100.022.401516282716510000No10,572,929*
5716-13-90.09.0002719282513410000No11,399,835*
5616-14-80.02.50002921282312310000No12,128,463*
5515-13-100.00.400003102228221031000No12,707,096*
5415-14-9No0.00001311232821103000000.0%13,137,402*
5315-15-8No0.000013112328219300000.013,367,006*
5214-14-10No0.000014122328219200000.013,415,595*
5114-15-9No0.0000014122428209200000.013,265,376*
5014-16-8NoNo00001413242820820000.312,925,314*
4913-15-10NoNo00001414252819720001.712,407,921*
4813-16-9NoNo000151527281761007.111,734,141*
4713-17-8NoNo0000161828271441019.210,931,189*
4612-16-10NoNo000029213025112038.010,028,536*
4512-17-9NoNo00003122631217159.09,066,755*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.88,062,190*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253524688.77,061,906*
4211-18-9NoNo000141634331295.26,089,289*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.25,166,824*
4010-18-10NoNo001521433099.44,314,942*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.83,543,147*
3810-20-8NoNo00193753100.02,858,260*
379-19-10NoNo00053164100.02,271,298*
369-20-9NoNo0032573100.01,772,111*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.01,357,597*
348-20-10NoNo011486Yes1,022,891*
338-21-9NoNo00990Yes756,092*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes549,675*
317-21-10NoNo0496Yes390,003*
307-22-9NoNo0397Yes272,048*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes186,597*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes124,283*
276-23-9NoNo199Yes81,553*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes52,720*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes32,986*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes20,183*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes11,961*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes6,945*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes3,987*
0-20NoNo100Yes39,044*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%276,495,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship