How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Palmeiras vs Atlético-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Grêmio vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sport Recife vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chapecoense vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.1-0.2+0.1
Atlético-PR vs Internacional*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
São Paulo vs Flamengo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Avaí vs Santos-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Goiás*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Palmeiras+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Goiás vs Atlético-PR*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Figueirense vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs São Paulo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Coritiba vs Grêmio*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Atlético-MG vs Fluminense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Flamengo vs Sport Recife*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2-0.1
Internacional vs Avaí-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
83-114YesYes100No2,255*
8225-7-699.8%Yes1000No517*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No827*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No1,278*
7924-7-799.5Yes991No1,956*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No2,854*
7723-8-798.9Yes991No4,262*
7623-7-898.3Yes9820No6,292*
7522-9-797.3Yes973No9,040*
7422-8-896.2Yes9640No12,864*
7322-7-994.4Yes9450No18,066*
7221-9-892.2Yes92800No24,810*
7121-8-988.5Yes891100No33,292*
7020-10-884.2Yes841510No44,400*
6920-9-978.0Yes782020No58,370*
6820-8-1070.7100.0%7126300No75,078*
6719-10-961.5100.06232600No95,184*
6619-9-1051.399.9513810100No118,805*
6519-8-1140.399.8404215300No147,131*
6418-10-1029.499.32943225100No178,608*
6318-9-1119.597.920392910200No213,867*
6217-11-1011.794.8123334174100No252,330*
6117-10-115.988.16233425102000No292,389*
6017-9-122.576.121429301761000No335,158*
5916-11-110.858.617203125123100No378,348*
5816-10-120.238.10211243021920000No418,516*
5716-9-130.019.60141526281872000No459,622*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No492,180*
5515-10-130.01.8000271828251451000No524,802*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No548,516*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No565,169*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282413410000.0%572,729*
5114-9-15No0.000002920282412410000.0572,381*
5013-11-14NoNo0000292028241241000.1563,799*
4913-10-15NoNo0000392128231231000.6546,514*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102229231130003.2521,054*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.3489,551*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971026.8452,772*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.8411,209*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822322510168.2367,746*
4311-10-17NoNo0000313283319483.5325,003*
4210-12-16NoNo00016203529992.7280,165*
4110-11-17NoNo00021231371697.2239,026*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.1199,513*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.7164,657*
389-11-18NoNo0111394999.9132,875*
379-10-19NoNo0063360100.0104,882*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.082,134*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes62,906*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes47,297*
337-12-19NoNo01089Yes34,610*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes25,097*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes17,843*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes12,337*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes8,349*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes5,636*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes3,594*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes2,221*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,441*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes856*
0-23NoNo100Yes2,537*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%11,567,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship