How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paraná 1 Joinville 0 -0.3
-2.0
+7.3
-0.9
Joinville 1 CRB 3 -0.2
-1.4
+7.4
-0.9
CRB 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.1
-0.2
Paysandu 0 Atlético-GO 0 +0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Paraná 2 +0.4
Criciúma 1 Bragantino 1 *-0.1
Bragantino 1 Ceará 1 +0.1
-0.2
Atlético-GO 1 Criciúma 0 -0.1
Bahia 2 Oeste 0 -0.1
Goiás 0 Paysandu 0 -0.3
Náutico 1 Luverdense 0 +0.1
Avaí 3 Vila Nova 1 +0.3
Londrina 1 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.3
Tupi 1 Avaí 1 -0.3
Vila Nova 1 Goiás 1 -0.2
Sampaio Corrêa 3 Tupi 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Joinville-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.9-0.4+1.3
+7.9+2.4-9.7
-0.8-0.3+1.0
Joinville vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.2-0.4-0.9
-10.1+2.2+8.4
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Avaí vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3-0.1+0.4
Goiás vs Atlético-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.2-0.6
Tupi vs Ceará+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.3-0.6
Atlético-GO vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ceará vs Bahia-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.2
CRB vs Goiás-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.2+0.7
Náutico vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bahia vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.4-0.2+0.5
Bragantino vs Paraná+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.4
Londrina vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Criciúma vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Luverdense vs Oeste-0.2-0.2+0.4
Paraná vs Avaí-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Paysandu vs Londrina+0.2-0.2-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Paysandu+0.4-0.4-0.2
Oeste vs Bragantino-0.1-0.4+0.4
Vila Nova vs Tupi+0.1-0.4+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
8625-0-0100.0%Yes1000No367,242
78-84YesYes100No410*
7721-1-399.4Yes991No664*
7621-2-298.6Yes991No1,550*
7520-1-497.5Yes9820No3,520*
7420-2-396.3Yes9640No7,782*
7320-3-294.0Yes9460No16,007*
7219-2-490.9Yes91900No31,740*
7119-3-387.2Yes871200No62,437*
7018-2-582.0Yes821710No116,139*
6918-3-475.1100.0%7523200No213,576*
6818-4-366.7100.06729400No376,508*
6717-3-557.0100.05736710No644,376*
6617-4-446.299.9464112100No1,077,519*
6516-3-634.999.73544183000No1,747,726*
6416-4-524.299.124432571000No2,763,170*
6316-5-415.197.4153832122000No4,254,349*
6215-4-68.293.2829362061000No6,393,927*
6115-5-53.784.741934281230000No9,363,583*
6015-6-41.470.411027322171000No13,387,012*
5914-5-60.450.9041630281551000No18,695,944*
5814-6-50.130.20182130241130000No25,462,141*
5713-5-70.013.7003112430219200000No33,923,931*
5613-6-60.04.4001413262919720000No44,155,224*
5513-7-50.00.90001515272817610000No56,163,881*
5412-6-7No0.1000161627271661000000.0%69,854,647*
5312-7-6No0.0000161727271551000No84,892,202*
5212-8-5No0.000001617282615510000.0100,905,026*
5111-7-7No0.000001718282614410000.0117,288,865*
5011-8-6NoNo00002719292613410000.0133,268,352*
4910-7-8NoNo00002820292512300000.5148,105,571*
4810-8-7NoNo0000292230241120002.8160,903,276*
4710-9-6NoNo0000311243022820010.1170,906,900*
469-8-8NoNo0000141427301861024.8177,527,618*
459-9-7NoNo00016183028143045.3180,197,381*
449-10-6NoNo0000292333248166.1178,773,379*
438-9-8NoNo0000314303316382.1173,303,437*
428-10-7NoNo00017233626791.9164,087,752*
418-11-6NoNo000031434361396.9151,685,581*
407-10-8NoNo0001827422298.9136,878,641*
397-11-7NoNo0000419443399.7120,556,945*
387-12-6NoNo000213414599.9103,519,759*
376-11-8NoNo00173656100.086,669,789*
366-12-7NoNo00042966100.070,676,433*
356-13-6NoNo0022375100.056,114,930*
345-12-8NoNo0011782100.043,328,827*
335-13-7NoNo0001288100.032,534,395*
325-14-6NoNo000892100.023,721,771*
314-13-8NoNo00595Yes16,776,058*
304-14-7NoNo0397Yes11,490,319*
294-15-6NoNo00298Yes7,610,996*
283-14-8NoNo0199Yes4,877,441*
273-15-7NoNo0199Yes3,009,970*
263-16-6NoNo00100Yes1,788,289*
252-15-8NoNo0100Yes1,022,530*
242-16-7NoNo0100Yes556,245*
232-17-6NoNo0100Yes289,797*
222-18-5NoNo0100Yes143,121*
211-17-7NoNo0100Yes67,289*
201-18-6NoNo0100Yes29,585*
191-19-5NoNo0100Yes12,166*
11-18NoNo100Yes374,039*
Total:0.2%2.0%00111222334556791011131448.3%2,952,979,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship