How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 +1.0
+9.3
-0.1
+0.5
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -1.0
+0.4
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 -0.8
-3.0
-0.2
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.5
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.3
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 +0.2
+0.4
+0.0
Bahia 1 CRB 1 +0.1
+0.5
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.1
-1.1
-0.1
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 +0.8
CRB 1 Brusque 1 +0.4
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.4
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.4
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.4
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.3
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 +0.3
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Gremio-1.3-0.7+1.2
-8.9-3.4+7.3
-0.5-0.2+0.4
Gremio vs Ponte Preta+1.1-0.8-1.4
+6.9-3.9-9.4
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-0.8+0.5+0.9
+0.7+0.0-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.5+0.2
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.1
+1.1+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Tombense+1.3+0.7-1.3
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.9+0.6+1.1
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.7-0.7
CRB vs Novorizontino+0.1+0.5-0.5
Criciuma vs CSA-0.3+0.2+0.3
Guarani vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9019-0-099.6%Yes1000No42,307
8818-1-098.4Yes982No977
8718-0-197.9Yes982No1,316
8617-2-096.7Yes973No4,919
8517-1-194.5Yes955No12,696
8416-3-091.8Yes928No23,210*
8316-2-187.5Yes88120No57,815
8216-1-282.8Yes83170No105,460*
8115-3-177.6Yes78220No194,845*
8015-2-270.6Yes71290No365,513*
7914-4-163.6Yes643600No592,633*
7814-3-255.7Yes564310No983,019*
7714-2-347.3Yes475120No1,549,229*
7613-4-239.2Yes395730No2,291,098*
7513-3-331.3100.0%3163600No3,368,295*
7413-2-424.0100.02467900No4,701,929*
7312-4-317.6100.018681410No6,322,089*
7212-3-412.3100.012672010No8,332,512*
7111-5-38.1100.08632720No10,509,178*
7011-4-45.0100.055734400No12,885,090*
6911-3-52.999.934941800No15,377,481*
6810-5-41.599.7240461200No17,706,335*
6710-4-50.799.21314919100No19,817,396*
6610-3-60.398.10224926200No21,581,216*
659-5-50.195.80154635400No22,744,941*
649-4-60.091.60940428000No23,317,954*
638-6-50.084.705324814100No23,231,416*
628-5-60.074.6032349223000No22,441,082*
618-4-70.061.2011446317100No21,095,555*
607-6-60.045.90083838142000No19,247,255*
597-5-70.030.600427402361000No17,017,632*
587-4-8No17.6011636311220000No14,642,993*
576-6-7No8.500827352161000No12,216,095*
566-5-8No3.3003173330143000No9,877,147*
556-4-9No1.0001824332492000No7,741,562*
545-6-8No0.20031328311861000No5,882,628*
535-5-9No0.000151830281440000No4,325,947*
525-4-10No0.00018223125102000No3,075,416*
514-6-9No0.00002112531218200No2,111,774*
504-5-10NoNo0003132730186100No1,402,635*
494-4-11NoNo00151629291541000.0%894,572*
483-6-10NoNo00161931271330000.0549,087*
473-5-11NoNo0028223224102000.2325,152*
463-4-12NoNo00021125312171001.3183,704*
452-6-11NoNo00141429311751005.199,310*
442-5-12NoNo016193228122015.051,173*
432-4-13NoNo002924342371030.924,594*
421-6-12NoNo004143033163051.911,418*
411-5-13NoNo0162136288171.84,961*
401-4-14NoNo0312313716285.72,011*
391-3-15NoNo16234028393.8738*
380-5-14NoNo0113943799.6242*
370-4-15NoNo11019501998.672*
360-3-16NoNo12125918Yes17
350-2-17NoNo100Yes1
340-1-18NoNo5050Yes2
330-0-19NoNo043859Yes42,196
Total:2.9%69.7%3192423137432110000000000.0%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship