How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.3
+0.1
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.2
-0.3
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sport Recife vs Gremio-3.7-1.7+4.1
-6.9-2.5+7.3
+1.8+0.4-1.7
-0.8-0.3+0.9
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+4.4-1.5-4.1
+7.6-2.4-7.2
-1.7+0.4+1.7
+0.9-0.3-0.8
Chapecoense vs Gremio-3.8-1.4+4.6
-6.7-2.0+8.0
+1.6+0.3-1.7
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.2-0.2
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.1
Santos vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.2-0.2
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Avai vs Sport Recife*-0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-114YesYes100No3,375*
8725-5-699.9%Yes1000No1,185*
8625-6-5YesYes100No1,900*
8524-5-799.9Yes1000No2,916*
8424-6-6100.0Yes1000No4,402*
8324-7-599.7Yes1000No6,537*
8223-6-799.7Yes1000No9,481*
8123-7-699.7Yes1000No13,728*
8022-6-899.5Yes991No19,497*
7922-7-799.0Yes991No26,584*
7822-8-698.5Yes9810No36,521*
7721-7-897.8Yes9820No48,984*
7621-8-796.5Yes9630No63,765*
7521-9-694.7Yes95500No83,273*
7420-8-892.5Yes93700No105,897*
7320-9-789.4100.0%8910000No132,987*
7219-8-985.2Yes851410No164,379*
7119-9-879.3100.07919200No199,274*
7019-10-772.8100.07324300No238,516*
6918-9-964.3100.06430500No281,255*
6818-10-854.7100.055368100No326,332*
6718-11-744.499.9444113200No374,057*
6617-10-933.799.6344319400No420,411*
6517-11-823.698.72441268100No464,194*
6417-12-715.096.7153632133000No507,836*
6316-11-98.592.3929352161000No545,219*
6216-12-84.184.04193328123000No576,770*
6116-13-71.770.621127312072000No600,444*
6015-12-90.552.615173027154100No616,351*
5915-13-80.133.0029223023113000No622,327*
5814-12-100.016.400313252919820000No619,570*
5714-13-90.06.1001516272717610000No608,204*
5614-14-80.01.6000171828261451000No585,284*
5513-13-10No0.3000282028241341000No557,778*
5413-14-9No0.000029212923113100No520,987*
5313-15-8No0.00000310222922103000No477,924*
5212-14-10NoNo0013112329211020000.0%433,614*
5112-15-9NoNo001412242920920000.0386,064*
5012-16-8NoNo001413252819720000.2338,855*
4911-15-10NoNo00151527281761001.3292,898*
4811-16-9NoNo000161728271551005.3249,579*
4711-17-8NoNo000282029251230015.0207,302*
4610-16-10NoNo00031124302281031.2170,290*
4510-17-9NoNo0015152830174051.0137,363*
4410-18-8NoNo002821322610169.7109,130*
439-17-10NoNo000313293318483.684,910*
429-18-9NoNo0017223528892.364,979*
419-19-8NoNo0031433361496.848,724*
408-18-10NoNo001827412398.736,039*
398-19-9NoNo00420433399.626,302*
388-20-8NoNo0214424399.918,409*
377-19-10NoNo0183753100.012,965*
367-20-9NoNo0053064100.08,813*
357-21-8NoNo032473Yes6,024*
346-20-10NoNo011980Yes3,850*
336-21-9NoNo11386Yes2,542*
326-22-8NoNo11090Yes1,554*
315-21-10NoNo793Yes943*
305-22-9NoNo595Yes597*
295-23-8NoNo298Yes305*
284-22-10NoNo397Yes178*
274-23-9NoNo199Yes123*
6-26NoNo100Yes1,664*
Total:15.5%44.8%151110876655443332221114.4%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship