How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 0 Gremio 1 +0.1
+3.3
-8.3
+1.0
Palmeiras 2 Avai 0 -0.0
-0.3
Santos 1 Corinthians 0 -0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Sao Paulo 1 +0.2
Goias 2 Athletico-PR 1 -0.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Ceara 0 +0.1
+0.3
CSA 0 Flamengo 2 -0.3
-0.4
CSA 1 Botafogo 2 -0.2
-0.5
Goias 3 Chapecoense 1 -0.1
-0.3
Fluminense 0 Flamengo 0 +0.1
*-0.1
Santos 3 Atletico-MG 1 -0.1
Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 1 +0.1
-0.3
Fortaleza 2 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians vs Goias-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9829-0-0100.0%Yes1000No992,260
89-94YesYes100No63*
8825-2-298.9Yes991No92*
8724-4-197.1Yes973No276*
8624-3-297.7Yes982No559*
8524-2-396.0Yes964No1,337*
8423-4-295.0Yes955No2,912*
8323-3-392.5Yes9370No6,194*
8222-5-289.9Yes90100No12,500*
8122-4-386.8Yes87130No24,525*
8022-3-482.6Yes83170No47,183*
7921-5-377.8Yes78221No87,827*
7821-4-472.3Yes722710No158,631*
7721-3-566.0Yes663220No280,318*
7620-5-458.8Yes593830No484,178*
7520-4-551.5Yes5144500No816,449*
7419-6-443.8Yes44497000No1,342,119*
7319-5-536.0Yes365211100No2,156,546*
7219-4-628.5100.0%2854161000No3,394,551*
7118-6-521.5Yes225422200No5,225,347*
7018-5-615.4100.01551285000No7,874,024*
6918-4-710.3100.01046358100No11,600,464*
6817-6-66.5100.063940132000No16,772,382*
6717-5-73.7100.043042194000No23,739,117*
6616-7-61.999.922242277100No32,940,869*
6516-6-70.999.811437331320000No44,779,809*
6416-5-80.399.30830362051000No59,705,253*
6315-7-70.198.0042136271020000No78,077,473*
6215-6-80.094.7021331321751000No100,095,423*
6115-5-90.088.30172333251020000No125,939,727*
6014-7-80.077.30031429311751000No155,411,358*
5914-6-90.061.600172132251120000No188,147,088*
5814-5-100.043.300031327311961000No223,518,620*
5713-7-90.025.9000161931271330000No260,524,518*
5613-6-10No12.7000210243122820000No297,882,231*
5512-8-9No4.90001415282916510000No334,332,547*
5412-7-10No1.5000172031261230000No368,107,138*
5312-6-11No0.300003112531218100000.0%397,646,567*
5211-8-10No0.10001516292916510000.0421,463,957*
5111-7-11No0.000001721312511300000.0438,127,438*
5011-6-12No0.000003112531218100000.0446,826,376*
4910-8-11No0.00001516292916510000.1446,925,247*
4810-7-12No0.000001821312511300000.3438,289,541*
4710-6-13NoNo0000312263120710001.4421,402,765*
469-8-12NoNo000151730291540004.4397,191,010*
459-7-13NoNo000029233224920011.3366,839,808*
449-6-14NoNo000041428311851023.1331,925,839*
438-8-13NoNo00017203227112039.1294,196,491*
428-7-14NoNo00003122833195056.7255,257,879*
418-6-15NoNo0001620342810172.7216,797,424*
407-8-14NoNo0000312303517384.8180,077,195*
397-7-15NoNo00017233826592.5146,308,568*
387-6-16NoNo000031636351096.7116,153,054*
376-8-15NoNo0001931421798.790,116,376*
366-7-16NoNo000524462599.668,220,182*
356-6-17NoNo000217463499.950,399,324*
345-8-16NoNo0001114344100.036,281,763*
335-7-17NoNo00073854100.025,451,265*
325-6-18NoNo00043264100.017,362,668*
314-8-17NoNo0022672100.011,524,062*
304-7-18NoNo0012079100.07,423,122*
294-6-19NoNo0001584100.04,631,157*
283-8-18NoNo001189Yes2,802,555*
273-7-19NoNo00892Yes1,635,320*
263-6-20NoNo00595Yes920,671*
253-5-21NoNo0496Yes501,058*
242-7-20NoNo0298Yes260,119*
232-6-21NoNo0298Yes129,679*
222-5-22NoNo199Yes61,238*
211-7-21NoNo199Yes27,654*
201-6-22NoNo0100Yes11,750*
191-5-23NoNo0100Yes4,581*
12-18NoNo100Yes2,529*
110-0-29NoNo0100Yes992,260
Total:0.1%12.0%0112345677888877653216.0%7,978,670,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship