How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia 1 Gremio 0 -2.2
-3.2
-0.4
Sao Paulo 1 Corinthians 1 +0.8
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Santos 1 Atletico-PR 0 -0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Flamengo 1 Avai 1 +0.2
Coritiba 2 Botafogo 3 -0.3
Atletico-GO 1 Cruzeiro 2 -0.3
Atletico-MG 1 Vitoria 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gremio vs Fluminense+1.0-0.6-1.1
+4.0-1.7-5.5
No-0.0+0.0
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians+1.1+0.3-0.8
-1.0+0.1+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Palmeiras vs Santos*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Flamengo+0.9+0.4-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG-0.4+0.3+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.2+0.1
Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.2-0.3
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.1+0.0+0.1
Avai vs Atletico-GO-0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Cruzeiro+1.2-0.5-1.1
+4.9-0.7-5.5
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Corinthians vs Coritiba-0.7+0.5+1.4
Ponte Preta vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.8+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-GO-0.4+0.3+0.4
Avai vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.2-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8213-0-093.0%Yes937No3,415
8012-1-083.8Yes8416No3,853
7912-0-173.3Yes7327No5,145
7811-2-069.4Yes69310No12,818
7711-1-157.6Yes58420No34,438
7610-3-049.1Yes49510No49,551*
7510-2-139.6Yes40601No105,529
7410-1-230.0Yes306820No176,146*
739-3-122.4Yes227430No254,821*
729-2-215.5Yes167860No420,331*
719-1-310.1Yes10791100No577,957*
708-3-26.2Yes6761710No769,559*
698-2-33.4Yes37025200No1,039,908*
687-4-21.8Yes26133400No693,427
8-1-41.5Yes15935500No553,915*
677-3-30.7Yes14842910No1,481,939*
667-2-40.3100.0%0354716200No1,176,113
6-5-20.3100.00364616200No536,441*
656-4-30.1100.00244725400No1,149,227
7-1-50.1100.00234726400No671,585*
646-3-40.0100.00144234910No1,489,935
5-6-20.0100.00144135910No420,929*
636-2-50.099.907334117200No1,150,531
5-5-30.099.907334117200No771,605*
625-4-40.099.603224226600No1,210,069
6-1-60.099.503224227600No605,980*
615-3-5No98.5113373513100No1,243,129
4-6-30.098.3011236361320No433,584*
605-2-6No95.506274022400No796,398
4-5-4No95.206264023500No684,634*
594-4-5No88.90216383310100No840,607
5-1-7No88.5021637331110No397,056*
584-3-6No77.8018303919300No714,724
3-6-4No76.1018284020300No286,841*
574-2-7No61.3003194031710No389,758
3-5-5No59.2031839319100No382,527*
563-4-6No40.50193140173000No563,193*
553-3-7No22.60031940288100No395,329*
543-2-8No9.70193137184000No262,501*
532-4-7No3.100318362911200No163,843*
522-3-8No0.701826342271000No97,605*
512-2-9No0.102132931186100No54,663*
501-4-8No0.0004163029165100No27,949*
491-3-9NoNo01618302713410No13,303*
481-2-10NoNo017203026123000.1%5,902*
470-4-9NoNo028192827124100.72,282*
460-3-10NoNo01622312411404.1809*
450-2-11NoNo21119342310211.8228
440-1-12NoNo24113838845.353
430-0-13NoNo01102636215061.82,875
Total:2.0%91.3%2242319149521000000000000.0%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship