How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Fluminense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Santos vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs Gremio-1.5-0.6+2.1
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Athletico-PR vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-114YesYes100No38,350*
8627-5-6100.0%Yes1000No2,930*
8526-7-5YesYes100No4,813*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No7,852*
8326-5-799.8Yes1000No12,784*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No20,224*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No30,983*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No47,548*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No70,734*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No105,773*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No153,209*
7623-7-897.6Yes9820No218,997*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No309,549*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No429,760*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No585,321*
7221-9-888.7Yes891100No786,160*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No1,043,409*
7021-7-1078.3Yes7820200No1,361,681*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No1,748,455*
6820-8-1062.2Yes62326000No2,217,386*
6720-7-1152.1Yes52379100No2,766,893*
6619-9-1041.4100.0%4141152000No3,402,750*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No4,123,563*
6419-7-1220.8100.021402892000No4,926,644*
6318-9-1112.6100.01334331641000No5,799,833*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No6,731,563*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No7,698,703*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No8,677,510*
5917-8-130.391.00313263019720000No9,648,955*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No10,563,201*
5716-9-130.057.8002820292513410000No11,411,770*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No12,147,441*
5515-10-130.014.2000031123282210300000No12,732,402*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%13,166,361*
5315-8-15No0.700014122328209200000.013,424,624*
5214-10-14No0.1000141224282092000000.013,471,973*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.013,327,403*
5014-8-16No0.000001413252819820000.312,990,430*
4913-10-15No0.000001514252818710001.712,482,789*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.811,811,747*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.710,999,352*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.410,097,988*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.59,130,693*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.48,123,454*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523688.57,121,249*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.16,135,535*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.25,208,071*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.44,345,098*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.83,569,452*
389-11-18NoNo00193753100.02,878,686*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.02,283,771*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.01,780,883*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.01,363,593*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.01,027,329*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.0758,423*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes549,436*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes391,200*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes273,365*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes185,772*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes124,089*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes81,432*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes52,133*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes32,691*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes20,216*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes11,977*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,093*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes3,952*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes2,137*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes1,097*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes610*
0-17NoNo100Yes34,990*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%277,098,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship