"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Corinthians+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Atletico-MG vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-114YesYes100No1,343,090*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No6,251*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No11,954*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No21,465*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No37,657*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No65,321*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No111,900*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No186,167*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No304,956*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No489,141*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No774,786*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No1,204,856*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,841,501*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,765,555*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No4,086,563*
7723-8-798.4Yes98200No5,943,804*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No8,510,058*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No11,987,815*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No16,624,115*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No22,701,519*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No30,527,984*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No40,435,527*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No52,771,528*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No67,819,110*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No85,931,534*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%5237910000No107,240,239*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No131,912,774*
6519-8-1130.7100.031432151000No159,884,111*
6419-7-1220.7100.02140289200000No190,992,636*
6318-9-1112.5100.013343316410000No224,901,191*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No260,975,988*
6117-10-112.999.13153130165100000No298,542,284*
6017-9-121.096.918223124103000000No336,578,056*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No374,092,750*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No409,765,426*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No442,432,748*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No470,864,184*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%493,944,874*
5415-9-140.04.00000131123282193000000.0510,601,392*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0520,233,744*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0522,326,191*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0516,791,271*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3503,754,811*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514252818710001.6483,828,065*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.8457,770,696*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7426,616,802*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.4391,531,623*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5353,859,564*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.4314,880,868*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253523688.5275,867,350*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.1237,842,378*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.2201,778,313*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.4168,420,055*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.8138,235,827*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.0111,602,391*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.088,566,186*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.069,067,857*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.052,931,824*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.039,825,780*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.029,415,033*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes21,324,284*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes15,168,409*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes10,571,204*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes7,222,332*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes4,834,946*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes3,164,335*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes2,026,741*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes1,269,157*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes776,888*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes462,450*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes267,848*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes152,407*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes83,771*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes44,783*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes23,073*
0-17NoNo100Yes1,358,013*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%10,743,130,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship