How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Avai+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.8-1.5-2.9
-5.9+2.2+6.9
+0.8-0.4-0.9
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras-0.3+0.0+0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bahia vs Santos-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Goias-0.0+0.2-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Internacional+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Corinthians vs Goias+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Corinthians vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.2+0.6
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Fluminense vs Ceara+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9729-0-0100.0%Yes1000No544,746
87-91YesYes100No51*
8624-4-196.6Yes973No87*
8524-3-295.3Yes955No211*
8424-2-393.6Yes946No488*
8323-4-291.6Yes928No1,006*
8223-3-386.9Yes87130No2,113*
8122-5-284.5Yes84150No4,433*
8022-4-380.6Yes81190No8,881*
7922-3-474.7Yes752510No16,933*
7821-5-369.5Yes693010No32,331*
7721-4-463.5Yes643510No59,046*
7621-3-556.8Yes574120No105,257*
7520-5-449.4Yes4946400No184,335*
7420-4-542.1Yes4251600No314,979*
7319-6-434.9Yes35551000No523,593*
7219-5-527.7Yes285715100No854,032*
7119-4-621.0Yes215720200No1,363,571*
7018-6-515.3100.0%1554274000No2,124,852*
6918-5-610.4100.01049337100No3,237,756*
6818-4-76.6100.074239121000No4,843,361*
6717-6-63.8100.043342183000No7,084,510*
6617-5-72.0100.0224422561000No10,167,096*
6516-7-60.999.91163831112000No14,299,281*
6416-6-70.499.501032361840000No19,694,466*
6316-5-80.198.40523362591000No26,620,201*
6215-7-70.095.6021432321540000No35,279,326*
6115-6-80.089.901824342382000No45,868,660*
6015-5-90.079.700416303015410000No58,486,054*
5914-7-80.064.60018233224920000No73,183,939*
5814-6-90.046.200031428301751000No89,839,856*
5714-5-10No28.200172031261230000No108,212,847*
5613-7-9No14.1000311253121810000No127,883,306*
5513-6-10No5.6000151629291551000No148,356,429*
5412-8-9No1.7000282131251130000No168,860,892*
5312-7-10No0.400003122631207100000.0%188,587,245*
5212-6-11No0.10001516292915410000.0206,650,432*
5111-8-10No0.000002821312511300000.0222,181,665*
5011-7-11No0.00000312263120710000.0234,395,702*
4911-6-12No0.00001516292915410000.0242,521,139*
4810-8-11No0.00000182131251120000.3246,145,126*
4710-7-12No0.000000312263120710001.2244,945,222*
4610-6-13NoNo000151730281440004.1239,011,112*
459-8-12NoNo00029233223920010.5228,645,419*
449-7-13NoNo000041429311740021.8214,325,456*
439-6-14NoNo00017213326102037.5196,864,796*
428-8-13NoNo00003132933184055.0177,109,695*
418-7-14NoNo000172134279171.1156,024,235*
408-6-15NoNo0000313313416283.6134,529,056*
397-8-14NoNo00017243825591.8113,486,800*
387-7-15NoNo000031637341096.393,621,135*
377-6-16NoNo00011032411698.675,477,501*
366-8-15NoNo000525452499.559,471,522*
356-7-16NoNo000318463499.845,747,025*
346-6-17NoNo0001124344100.034,316,766*
335-8-16NoNo000073854100.025,102,843*
325-7-17NoNo00043264100.017,883,633*
315-6-18NoNo0022672100.012,400,216*
304-8-17NoNo0012079100.08,356,692*
294-7-18NoNo0001585100.05,469,490*
284-6-19NoNo001089Yes3,471,630*
273-8-18NoNo00793Yes2,131,194*
263-7-19NoNo0595Yes1,266,211*
253-6-20NoNo0397Yes725,958*
243-5-21NoNo0298Yes400,709*
232-7-20NoNo0199Yes211,865*
222-6-21NoNo0199Yes106,697*
212-5-22NoNo0100Yes51,506*
201-7-21NoNo0100Yes23,740*
191-6-22NoNo0100Yes10,264*
10-18NoNo100Yes551,218*
Total:0.1%8.3%0012234567788988775322.0%4,380,279,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship