How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-114YesYes100No299,958*
8827-7-4100.0%Yes1000No8,145*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No14,402*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No24,367*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No40,162*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No65,818*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No106,419*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No168,133*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No260,894*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No399,280*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No599,251*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No885,971*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,290,937*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No1,846,945*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No2,598,695*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No3,603,652*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No4,920,919*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No6,623,085*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No8,774,166*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No11,443,501*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No14,714,687*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No18,633,873*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%523791000No23,255,717*
6619-9-1041.4100.04141152000No28,607,886*
6519-8-1130.7100.031432151000No34,664,930*
6419-7-1220.8100.0214028920000No41,400,231*
6318-9-1112.5100.01334331641000No48,747,658*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No56,583,241*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No64,750,893*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No73,000,391*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No81,110,548*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No88,867,063*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No95,947,414*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000000.0%102,112,795*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0107,102,405*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0110,733,760*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0112,807,949*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0113,268,403*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0112,061,993*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3109,238,818*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.6104,912,822*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.899,277,293*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.792,514,626*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.584,925,566*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.576,735,417*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.468,301,631*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253523688.559,821,903*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.151,570,732*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.243,772,007*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.436,519,577*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.829,990,778*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.024,207,390*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.019,203,798*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.014,975,775*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.011,473,423*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.08,635,406*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.06,375,622*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes4,624,293*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,286,738*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes2,294,632*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,567,373*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,047,765*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes686,883*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes439,539*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes275,177*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes168,619*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes100,205*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes58,158*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes32,955*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes18,219*
0-19NoNo100Yes309,123*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,329,708,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship