How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Santos+1.9-0.7-1.6
+4.4-1.5-3.8
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-1.5-0.6+2.0
-3.6-1.3+4.8
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Vitoria vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-114YesYes100No169,090*
8727-5-699.9%Yes1000No7,803*
8627-6-5100.0Yes1000No13,250*
8526-5-799.9Yes1000No22,248*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No36,475*
8326-7-599.8Yes1000No58,672*
8225-6-799.8Yes1000No92,563*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No144,220*
8024-6-899.6Yes1000No219,831*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No329,950*
7824-8-699.0Yes9910No487,000*
7723-7-898.4Yes9820No709,341*
7623-8-797.5Yes9820No1,017,253*
7523-9-696.3100.0%96400No1,429,973*
7422-8-894.5100.094500No1,980,176*
7322-9-792.0100.092800No2,708,494*
7221-8-988.6100.0891100No3,646,656*
7121-9-884.1100.08415100No4,825,318*
7021-10-778.299.97820200No6,289,463*
6920-9-970.999.871263000No8,095,578*
6820-10-862.199.662326000No10,248,330*
6720-11-752.198.9523791000No12,793,486*
6619-10-941.497.44141152000No15,731,566*
6519-11-830.694.531432151000No19,071,092*
6419-12-720.788.9214028920000No22,788,808*
6318-11-912.579.71334331641000No26,821,746*
6218-12-86.666.17253523820000No31,130,372*
6117-11-102.949.1315313016510000No35,615,293*
6017-12-91.031.31822312410300000No40,146,070*
5917-13-80.316.20313263019720000No44,625,928*
5816-12-100.06.4015172827155100000No48,882,256*
5716-13-90.01.8002820292513410000No52,773,344*
5616-14-80.00.30002921292311310000No56,171,572*
5515-13-100.00.0000031123282210300000No58,924,591*
5415-14-9No0.0000131123282193000000.0%60,911,381*
5315-15-8No0.00000141223282092000000.062,051,958*
5214-14-10No0.0000014122428209200000.062,297,281*
5114-15-9NoNo000014132428208200000.061,654,197*
5014-16-8NoNo000014132528198200000.360,097,420*
4913-15-10NoNo00001514252818710001.657,716,431*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151627281761006.854,603,436*
4713-17-8NoNo00000171828271441018.750,879,481*
4612-16-10NoNo000029213024112037.546,707,794*
4512-17-9NoNo000013122631206158.542,210,658*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.437,574,384*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253523688.532,899,178*
4211-18-9NoNo0000141734331295.128,380,060*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.224,062,037*
4010-18-10NoNo0001521433099.420,090,464*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.816,492,587*
3810-20-8NoNo000193753100.013,315,379*
379-19-10NoNo00053163100.010,563,708*
369-20-9NoNo00032572100.08,245,151*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.06,314,592*
348-20-10NoNo0011486100.04,748,428*
338-21-9NoNo00990Yes3,510,945*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes2,543,102*
317-21-10NoNo00496Yes1,810,471*
307-22-9NoNo00397Yes1,259,958*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes860,880*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes576,433*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes377,167*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes242,570*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes151,071*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes92,765*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes55,302*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes32,261*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes18,154*
204-26-8NoNo0100Yes9,850*
193-25-10NoNo0100Yes5,292*
0-18NoNo100Yes164,686*
Total:5.0%15.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,281,534,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship