How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 0 Corinthians 1 -0.1
-4.0
+1.4
-0.5
Avai 1 Cruzeiro 0 +0.6
+0.4
Flamengo 2 Coritiba 1 -0.4
-0.1
Atletico-GO 1 Botafogo 1 +0.4
+0.0
Santos 3 Bahia 0 -0.3
-0.1
Vitoria 1 Chapecoense 2 -0.3
Sport Recife 0 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.1
Atletico-PR 0 Ponte Preta 2 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sao Paulo vs Gremio+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.7-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-4.3-1.3+6.4
+2.9+0.3-3.8
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Ponte Preta vs Fluminense-4.3-1.6+5.8
+3.2+0.4-3.8
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.3*+0.0+0.1
+0.4+0.0-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs Flamengo+0.3*+0.0-0.7
Atletico-GO vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Santos+0.2+0.1-0.2
Santos vs Flamengo+0.1+0.2-0.3
Palmeiras vs Avai-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-PR-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.2+0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.3-0.0
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.3-0.1
Chapecoense vs Bahia-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8722-0-092.3%Yes9280No42,582
8521-0-1NoYes100No1
8421-1-0YesYes100No3
8320-0-284.6Yes8515No13
8220-1-165.4Yes6535No26
8119-0-355.2Yes5545No58*
8019-1-250.9Yes51472No228
7919-2-147.1Yes47503No459*
7818-1-335.3Yes355950No1,023*
7718-2-229.3Yes296470No2,438*
7617-1-421.8Yes2267110No4,872*
7517-2-316.7Yes1767160No10,217*
7417-3-211.1Yes1166221No19,831*
7316-2-47.8Yes8622820No36,644*
7216-3-34.9Yes5563540No66,715*
7116-4-22.9Yes34842700No116,004*
7015-3-41.6Yes240471110No194,878*
6915-4-30.8100.0%1315017100No321,664*
6814-3-50.4100.00225024300No509,695*
6714-4-40.1100.00154731600No785,371*
6614-5-30.1100.009413811100No1,183,074*
6513-4-50.099.805324218300No1,722,235*
6413-5-40.099.4032342266100No2,445,218*
6313-6-30.098.30115383311200No3,381,090*
6212-5-50.095.50083038194000No4,545,647*
6112-6-4No89.70421372791000No5,961,727*
6011-5-6No79.502123234164000No7,617,151*
5911-6-5No64.300623352591000No9,482,181*
5811-7-4No45.90021330321741000No11,520,839*
5710-6-6No27.90016213326102000No13,637,966*
5610-7-5No13.800021127322061000No15,726,682*
5510-8-4No5.400151731281440000No17,721,087*
549-7-6No1.600018233224920000No19,454,168*
539-8-5No0.300031327311961000No20,802,883*
529-9-4No0.0001517302814410000.0%21,722,994*
518-8-6No0.0000182231251020000.022,094,969*
508-9-5No0.00000311263120710000.021,907,807*
498-10-4No0.0000141629291641000.021,168,899*
487-9-6NoNo000172132261120000.219,930,831*
477-10-5NoNo000211263221710001.018,255,077*
467-11-4NoNo00014163130153003.516,297,666*
456-10-6NoNo0001823342581009.514,140,431*
446-11-5NoNo00031330331730020.311,919,841*
436-12-4NoNo0001622362781035.59,783,460*
425-11-6NoNo0002133235162053.07,786,839*
415-12-5NoNo00162439254069.46,008,290*
405-13-4NoNo00031537359082.34,499,066*
394-12-6NoNo0018314316190.93,255,054*
384-13-5NoNo004224625395.92,281,899*
374-14-4NoNo002144435598.41,541,876*
363-13-6NoNo00183943999.41,003,683*
353-14-5NoNo00431491599.8627,899*
343-15-4NoNo02235223100.0378,355*
332-14-6NoNo01165232100.0216,346*
322-15-5NoNo00104841100.0118,900*
312-16-4NoNo064252Yes61,774*
301-15-6NoNo0033562100.030,357*
291-16-5NoNo022871Yes14,079*
281-17-4NoNo12178Yes5,987*
271-18-3NoNo01485Yes2,400*
260-17-5NoNo1090Yes876*
250-18-4NoNo496Yes292*
22-24NoNo100Yes81*
210-22-0NoNo0100Yes42,582
Total:0.0%13.2%001245788999987643108.5%342,413,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship