"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 1 Ceara 1 -0.5
+1.9
-0.2
Chapecoense 1 Atletico-MG 2 -0.1
-0.7
Corinthians 1 CSA 0 -0.1
-0.5
Cruzeiro 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1
-0.2
Athletico-PR 1 Internacional 0 +0.1
+0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense-0.8-0.4+1.2
+7.8+1.6-9.6
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Ceara vs Palmeiras+1.0*-0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos-0.1+0.0+0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Corinthians vs Flamengo+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.2+1.1
CSA vs Athletico-PR+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.4-0.3
Bahia vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.3+0.9
Internacional vs Gremio-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.3-0.0+0.5
Corinthians vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9328-0-0100.0%Yes1000No23,508
82-85YesYes100No3*
8123-3-288.9Yes8911No9*
8023-2-378.9Yes7921No19*
7922-4-261.9Yes6238No21*
7822-3-368.8Yes69292No48*
7721-5-278.3Yes78193No106*
7621-4-362.7Yes63344No220*
7521-3-452.4Yes52425No456*
7420-5-345.3Yes4545100No878*
7320-4-439.0Yes39471310No1,635*
7220-3-529.5Yes30501920No2,951*
7119-5-420.7Yes21502640No5,233*
7019-4-515.2Yes15463270No9,129*
6918-6-49.9Yes1041381110No15,879*
6818-5-55.9Yes633421720No25,992*
6718-4-63.4100.0%3254324500No42,392*
6617-6-51.799.921741309100No67,699*
6517-5-60.899.8110353615300No105,204*
6417-4-70.399.2062638236100No160,073*
6316-6-60.197.60317363012200No239,681*
6216-5-70.093.901102935195100No351,238*
6116-4-80.086.5005203427112000No502,727*
6015-6-70.074.3002122833196100No706,916*
5915-5-8No57.7015193227123000No972,853*
5814-7-7No39.00021126322171000No1,312,850*
5714-6-8No22.100151730281541000No1,736,997*
5614-5-9No10.30029223124102000No2,251,124*
5513-7-8No3.800031326301971000No2,861,145*
5413-6-9No1.100016182927144100No3,560,338*
5313-5-10No0.200029223024102000No4,356,208*
5212-7-9No0.00003132630197100No5,220,525*
5112-6-10No0.0000161729281541000.0%6,139,813*
5012-5-11No0.0000292231241020000.07,072,316*
4911-7-10No0.00000313273119610000.17,991,622*
4811-6-11NoNo000161831281330000.38,851,912*
4710-8-10NoNo0002924332381001.39,610,321*
4610-7-11NoNo00141530311640004.110,230,862*
4510-6-12NoNo00018223425910010.110,673,180*
449-8-11NoNo000031430321640020.410,911,471*
439-7-12NoNo0001722352681034.710,919,374*
429-6-13NoNo0003143233153051.110,710,734*
418-8-12NoNo000172537246066.910,276,062*
408-7-13NoNo000316353211179.99,656,546*
398-6-14NoNo000110303819288.98,873,534*
387-8-13NoNo00005224027594.67,984,076*
377-7-14NoNo0002153836997.67,021,604*
367-6-15NoNo001933431599.16,027,035*
356-8-14NoNo000526472299.75,062,245*
346-7-15NoNo00219483199.94,145,439*
336-6-16NoNo001134640100.03,310,588*
325-8-15NoNo0084150100.02,578,934*
315-7-16NoNo0053660100.01,954,273*
305-6-17NoNo032968Yes1,443,857*
294-8-16NoNo012376Yes1,033,534*
284-7-17NoNo011782Yes720,495*
274-6-18NoNo001387Yes485,761*
264-5-19NoNo0991Yes318,517*
253-7-18NoNo00694Yes200,797*
243-6-19NoNo0496Yes122,790*
233-5-20NoNo0397Yes71,837*
222-7-19NoNo0298Yes40,405*
212-6-20NoNo0199Yes21,709*
202-5-21NoNo0100Yes11,420*
191-7-20NoNo0100Yes5,461*
181-6-21NoNo0100Yes2,494*
171-5-22NoNo0100Yes1,060*
9-16NoNo100Yes24,185*
Total:0.0%2.0%000011123346791011121210641.0%189,040,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship