Fluminense Football Club Title ChancesDid not play, title odds down 0.02 to 0.07% 46 points 13-7-10 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 1/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | +9.0 | | No | | +0.5 | | Internacional 4 Fortaleza 2 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 1 | +0.0 | | | | | | | | Atletico-MG 3 Atletico-GO 1 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | Santos 2 Botafogo 1 | | | -1.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Ceara 1 Bragantino 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Coritiba vs Fluminense | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | -13.2-7.3+9.9 | | | | -0.6-0.3+0.5 | | Sao Paulo vs Internacional | | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Gremio vs Atletico-MG | | | -2.2+0.4+1.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Goias vs Flamengo | | | +2.8+1.2-1.7 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | | | -1.4+1.3+0.9 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | | | *-0.0+0.7-0.5 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Santos | | | +2.2+1.1-2.0 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Corinthians vs Sport Recife | | | -1.1+0.8+1.3 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Goias vs Ceara | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Bahia vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 1/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Botafogo | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | +8.9-8.1-13.8 | | | | +0.4-0.4-0.7 | | Sao Paulo vs Coritiba | | | -0.1+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Internacional vs Gremio | | | +1.8+0.2-2.4 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Santos | | | +1.1+0.7-2.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.7+0.3-0.5 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Flamengo | | | +2.3+0.8-1.9 | | | | | | Ceara vs Palmeiras | | | +2.6+0.9-2.3 | | | | | | Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama | | | -2.1+1.2+3.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Gremio vs Flamengo | | | -0.7+0.7+0.3 | | | | | | Santos vs Goias | | | -1.7+1.4+2.4 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Bragantino | | | -1.3+0.7+1.2 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Bahia vs Corinthians | | | +1.3+0.7-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 19.1 | % | 100.0 | % | 19 | 47 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,259,857 | | 68 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3.1 | | 100.0 | | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,334,352 | | 67 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | 99.9 | | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,570,777 | | 66 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 99.4 | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,002,793 | | 65 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 97.7 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,373,710 | | 64 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 92.8 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,701,481 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 92.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,753,786 | | 63 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 81.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,838,506 | | 62 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 66.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,523,726 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 63.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,103,285 | | 61 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 45.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,108,360 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 46.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,823,963 | | 60 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 28.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 233,735,411 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 25.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,354,540 | | 59 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 14.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 195,445,739 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 13.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 65,721,366 | | 58 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 5.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 165,403,402 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 6.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,736,794 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 4.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 47 | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,770,286 | | 57 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 2.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 206,261,644 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 1.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 50 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 20,976,864 | | 56 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 127,470,568 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.5 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 65,583,559 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 422,446 | | 55 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 108,435,486 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 31,244,108 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,704,766 | | 54 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 100,005,085 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 53 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 13,818,170 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 27,872 | | 53 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 51 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 48,771,218 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 28,410,373 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 278,962 | | 52 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 34,749,333 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,831,163 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 34 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,208,760 | | 51 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 25,290,040 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,968,735 | | 50 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,153,351 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,514,972 | | 49 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,361,997 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,730,777 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,611,265 | | 47 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 888,016 | | 46 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 426,976 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 29.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 2,375,708,640 | |
Chance Will Win Championship |