"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/19100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 1 Bahia 0 +0.9
Atletico-PR 3 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.2
Atletico-MG 3 Coritiba 0 -0.2
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.0
Vitoria 1 Cruzeiro 1 -0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Ponte PretaNo-2.2+6.2
+0.9-0.2-1.0
Avai vs Palmeiras+0.5-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Sport RecifeNo-2.4+6.7
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Ponte Preta vs Vitoria-0.5+0.0+0.5
Coritiba vs Sao Paulo+0.3+0.2-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Atletico-PR+0.3-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Chapecoense+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
523-0-0NoNo2133335152No67,121,030
502-1-0NoNo937459No113,725,307
492-0-1NoNo0741492No155,071,130
481-2-0NoNo25705No64,322,632
471-1-1NoNo670231No175,398,237
461-0-2NoNo295318No119,529,291
0-3-0NoNo325414No12,122,996
450-2-1NoNo205027202.3%49,609,664
440-1-2NoNo42953141014.567,613,242
430-0-3NoNo324819168.030,821,511
Total:NoNo01347173619103103.7%855,335,040
Points
Chance Will Win Championship