How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 -3.9
-6.8
+1.6
-0.8
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.3
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Vitoria+2.6-1.3-2.6
+6.2-2.8-6.4
-2.7+0.9+3.1
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR+2.6-1.3-2.6
+6.3-2.8-6.4
-2.7+0.8+3.1
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.1+0.2-0.3
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santos vs Botafogo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Avai vs Sport Recife*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai*-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-111YesYes100No2,583*
8524-4-799.9%Yes1000No707*
8424-5-699.9Yes1000No1,213*
8324-6-599.7Yes1000No1,857*
8223-5-799.8Yes1000No2,811*
8123-6-699.6Yes1000No4,319*
8023-7-599.3Yes991No6,381*
7922-6-799.1Yes991No9,467*
7822-7-698.2Yes9820No13,764*
7722-8-597.1Yes9730No18,950*
7621-7-796.0Yes9640No26,802*
7521-8-694.2Yes9460No36,281*
7420-7-891.6Yes9280No48,955*
7320-8-788.4Yes881100No64,428*
7220-9-683.6Yes841610No84,267*
7119-8-877.8Yes782020No107,444*
7019-9-770.6100.0%7126300No134,619*
6919-10-662.4100.06232500No167,221*
6818-9-852.999.953379100No204,069*
6718-10-742.699.84341142000No244,682*
6617-9-932.099.53243204000No287,797*
6517-10-822.498.622412781000No335,269*
6417-11-714.396.4143633143000No383,044*
6316-10-98.091.8828352171000No429,627*
6216-11-83.883.34183328133000No478,436*
6116-12-71.569.821026322182000No519,701*
6015-11-90.551.8051730281551000No557,947*
5915-12-80.132.40292230241130000No588,519*
5815-13-70.016.100312252920820000No611,701*
5714-12-90.06.100151627271661000No627,887*
5614-13-8No1.500171828261451000No632,999*
5514-14-7No0.3000282028241241000No627,143*
5413-13-9No0.000002102129231130000No612,638*
5313-14-8No0.0000311222922103000No588,064*
5212-13-10No0.00001312232921920000.0%556,399*
5112-14-9NoNo000141325282082000.0516,988*
5012-15-8NoNo00151426281871000.2473,548*
4911-14-10NoNo00161627271661001.1426,223*
4811-15-9NoNo0000271828261441004.7378,000*
4711-16-8NoNo000292130241130013.8327,724*
4610-15-10NoNo00131225302071029.1280,934*
4510-16-9NoNo0015162929154049.0235,831*
4410-17-8NoNo00282232259167.8195,209*
439-16-10NoNo00414293317382.4158,110*
429-17-9NoNo0017223527791.4127,084*
419-18-8NoNo0031533351396.3100,035*
408-17-10NoNo001927412298.675,998*
398-18-9NoNo00420433299.557,423*
388-19-8NoNo00214414399.842,548*
377-18-10NoNo0193853100.030,740*
367-19-9NoNo0053263100.022,037*
357-20-8NoNo032671Yes15,348*
346-19-10NoNo012079Yes10,352*
336-20-9NoNo011585Yes6,803*
326-21-8NoNo01090Yes4,496*
315-20-10NoNo0793Yes2,878*
305-21-9NoNo0595Yes1,811*
295-22-8NoNo397Yes1,093*
284-21-10NoNo298Yes612*
274-22-9NoNo298Yes379*
264-23-8NoNo199Yes190*
254-24-7NoNo100Yes102*
243-23-9NoNo298Yes63*
233-24-8NoNo100Yes24*
223-25-7NoNo793Yes14*
6-21NoNo100Yes1,572*
Total:8.6%31.6%988777666555444332218.1%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship