How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 +3.8
+6.3
-0.2
+0.5
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.7
+0.9
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.5
+0.5
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.4
+0.6
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.3
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-1.3+0.9+1.7
-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba-6.1-2.3+6.5
-7.0-1.9+7.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Cuiaba vs Nautico+5.7-2.9-6.3
+6.2-2.7-7.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+1.4+0.8-1.5
+0.4+0.4-0.5
Chapecoense vs America-MG-1.1+0.9+0.7
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.4+1.3-0.4
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.7+0.3-0.8
+0.6+0.3-0.7
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.7+0.4+0.7
-0.6+0.4+0.7
CRB vs America-MG+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.2+0.4-0.4
CSA vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.5-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.4
Vitoria vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
Avai vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
98-105YesYes100No233,594*
9725-1-299.9%Yes1000No1,358*
95-96YesYes100No9,837*
9423-4-1100.0Yes1000No13,698*
9323-3-2100.0Yes1000No28,010*
9223-2-3100.0Yes1000No53,107*
9122-4-2100.0Yes1000No97,360*
9022-3-399.9Yes1000No175,447*
8921-5-299.9Yes1000No301,958*
8821-4-399.9Yes1000No507,106*
8721-3-499.9Yes1000No829,526*
8620-5-399.8Yes1000No1,313,651*
8520-4-499.8Yes1000No2,035,133*
8419-6-399.6Yes10000No3,067,181*
8319-5-499.4Yes9910No4,504,841*
8219-4-599.1Yes9910No6,467,505*
8118-6-498.6Yes9910No9,040,836*
8018-5-597.8Yes9820No12,368,577*
7918-4-696.8Yes97300No16,544,950*
7817-6-595.2Yes95500No21,619,450*
7717-5-693.1Yes93700No27,649,782*
7616-7-590.2Yes901000No34,638,181*
7516-6-686.5100.0%8613000No42,441,411*
7416-5-781.6100.08217100No50,946,826*
7315-7-675.6100.076232000No59,896,245*
7215-6-768.4100.068283000No68,964,846*
7115-5-860.1100.060346000No77,835,050*
7014-7-750.8100.051399100No86,071,600*
6914-6-841.299.94143142000No93,293,267*
6814-5-931.699.73245204000No99,119,427*
6713-7-822.799.223432771000No103,236,852*
6613-6-915.198.0153933122000No105,438,931*
6512-8-89.195.3932361840000No105,560,741*
6412-7-94.990.2523372581000No103,602,932*
6312-6-102.381.521533311530000No99,711,948*
6211-8-90.968.61825342281000No94,047,249*
6111-7-100.352.4041732291440000No86,969,816*
6011-6-110.135.1019243222820000No78,818,264*
5910-8-100.019.90041530301651000No70,035,277*
5810-7-110.09.200182231251020000No60,961,462*
5710-6-120.03.3000312273119710000No51,987,781*
569-8-110.00.9000151730281441000No43,435,183*
559-7-12No0.200028223124102000No35,547,261*
549-6-13No0.0000031226302071000No28,476,852*
538-8-12No0.0000151628281651000No22,333,556*
528-7-13No0.00001720302612300000.0%17,129,357*
518-6-14NoNo0002102330239200000.012,855,405*
507-8-13NoNo000313263019710000.09,437,198*
497-7-14NoNo00001516282815510000.16,761,155*
487-6-15NoNo000282030251230000.44,736,482*
476-8-14NoNo000311243022920001.93,239,831*
466-7-15NoNo000141427291751006.42,162,001*
456-6-16NoNo000171930271330015.91,407,625*
445-8-15NoNo00021024322281031.0888,762*
435-7-16NoNo0014163030154049.4550,273*
425-6-17NoNo00282333258167.3328,364*
414-8-16NoNo00415313315381.4191,915*
404-7-17NoNo0018243625690.7108,005*
394-6-18NoNo00041735341196.059,352*
383-8-17NoNo0011030411898.531,442*
373-7-18NoNo00523442799.516,149*
363-6-19NoNo00216443799.97,989*
352-8-18NoNo01103949100.03,630*
342-7-19NoNo016355899.91,694*
332-6-20NoNo043066Yes759*
322-5-21NoNo12177Yes284*
311-7-20NoNo11485Yes100*
301-6-21NoNo1288Yes52*
291-5-22NoNo1189Yes18*
26-28NoNo100Yes5*
210-0-28NoNo0100Yes232,608
Total:27.9%72.7%2820141186432111000000000.1%1,870,384,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship