Cuiaba Esporte Clube Title ChancesPlays Corinthians, title odds unchanged at 0.00008% 37 points 10-7-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | | | -1.2 | | +0.1 | | -0.3 | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | | | +0.3 | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | | | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | | | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | +0.1 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Cruzeiro 3 Bahia 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | -0.0 | | Corinthians 1 America-MG 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Internacional 7 Santos 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | +0.0No-0.0 | | +1.2-0.7-1.0 | | -1.8+0.1+2.2 | | +0.8-0.3-0.8 | | Gremio vs Flamengo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Santos vs Coritiba | | | | | +0.4-0.2-0.4 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | No-0.0+0.0 | | -0.8-0.3+2.3 | | +0.9-0.4-1.9 | | -0.4+0.0+1.0 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | +0.0-0.0No | | +1.1-0.7-1.0 | | -1.9+0.1+2.6 | | +0.7-0.3-0.8 | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Goias vs Bragantino | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | +0.6-0.0-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Flamengo vs Santos | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2-0.0+0.6 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3*-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | America-MG vs Gremio | | | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Coritiba vs Gremio | | | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | | | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Internacional vs America-MG | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Goias vs Vasco | | | | | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.5 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 31 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,144 | | 65 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,672 | | 64 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 99.0 | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 129,753 | | 63 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 95.0 | | | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 237,756 | | 62 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 86.7 | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 805,846 | | 61 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 68.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,116,733 | * | 60 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 45.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,212,012 | | 59 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 25.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,223,169 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 9.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,516,017 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 11.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,054,253 | | 57 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 3.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 9,212,038 | * | 56 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 9,699,480 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.5 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,579,676 | | 55 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 11,864,193 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,246,732 | * | 54 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 19,585,128 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,416,493 | | 53 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 16,107,203 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,063,680 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 21,862,669 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,276,000 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,084,157 | | 51 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 26,853,977 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 5,363,082 | * | 50 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 17,524,739 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 14,881,811 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 23,780,936 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 4,748,727 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 1,785,473 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 23,202,796 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 5,861,164 | * | 47 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 12,539,866 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 12,145,434 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.5 | | 15,312,672 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.4 | | 2,896,132 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.6 | | 1,287,366 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.4 | | 12,365,660 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | 3.0 | | 3,141,858 | * | 44 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | | | 8.5 | | 5,812,177 | * | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 10.1 | | 5,030,981 | | 43 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | 23.5 | | 5,404,049 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | 22.6 | | 1,484,816 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 0 | | 42.3 | | 3,715,844 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 0 | | 46.2 | | 658,758 | | 41 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 0 | | 63.8 | | 1,489,746 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 45 | 23 | 0 | | 67.3 | | 883,754 | | 40 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 37 | 0 | | 82.5 | | 1,070,270 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 92.6 | | 482,824 | | 38 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 97.7 | | 171,251 | | 37 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 99.6 | | 68,873 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 1.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | % | 339,387,840 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |