"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 2 Avai 1 +1.2
+11.7
+0.8
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +0.2
+0.6
+0.0
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.1
+1.8
Cruzeiro 1 Confianca 2 -0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba-2.3-0.5+4.0
-7.9-1.2+13.6
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Guarani vs Chapecoense+1.3+0.5-0.9
-0.2+0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.9+0.5+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+1.1-0.9
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+2.2+1.2-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.6+1.2+2.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
CSA vs Ponte Preta+0.1+1.0-0.7
CRB vs CSA+0.5+0.6-0.9
Avai vs Oeste-0.7+0.7+1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.6+0.5+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+0.3+0.2-0.4
Nautico vs Guarani+0.2+0.2-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Vitoria+1.5-1.1-1.9
+9.3-5.7-12.2
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP+1.3-1.3-2.0
+8.0-7.0-13.4
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Avai vs Chapecoense+1.2+0.5-1.0
-1.2+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Chapecoense+1.1+0.5-1.0
-2.3+0.5+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
CSA vs America-MG+0.4+0.2-0.5
-0.3+0.6-0.1
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.4+0.3+0.3
+0.7+0.6-1.3
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.6+1.0+1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Oeste-0.0+0.1+0.1
-1.3+1.5+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Parana-1.4+0.8+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+1.6+0.9-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.7+0.5-1.0
Confianca vs CSA+0.1+0.8-0.6
Vitoria vs Confianca+0.7+0.4-0.8
CRB vs Cruzeiro-0.4+0.2+0.3
Guarani vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2-0.0
Oeste vs Guarani+0.3+0.2-0.2
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8214-0-098.8%Yes9910No1,995,270
8013-1-095.8Yes9640No1,383,072
7913-0-192.0Yes9280No1,847,044
7812-2-088.9Yes89110No4,893,936
7712-1-182.5Yes831700No13,033,251
7611-3-076.5Yes762310No10,635,870
7511-2-167.2Yes673110No42,307,898
7411-1-257.3100.0%5740300No71,685,631*
7310-3-147.1100.04747500No108,205,354*
7210-2-236.9100.037549000No182,450,426*
7110-1-327.1100.0275715100No257,195,148*
709-3-218.7100.0195723100No356,866,560*
699-2-311.899.91253324000No495,560,759*
688-4-26.899.6746407000No616,566,640*
678-3-33.598.733546131000No762,500,797*
668-2-41.696.522548223000No602,027,731
7-5-21.596.522449223000No309,340,345*
657-4-30.691.6115443181000No660,414,727
8-1-50.692.1116453171000No352,538,624*
647-3-40.282.9083639152000No1,111,426,211*
637-2-50.069.90425412461000No658,727,740
6-5-30.068.80425412561000No508,706,307*
626-4-40.051.201143634132000No792,265,214
7-1-60.053.401153733122000No368,390,816*
616-3-50.033.300726372361000No812,881,751
5-6-30.033.100726382361000No317,408,199*
606-2-60.018.50031634311320000No519,015,987
5-5-40.016.80021433321430000No532,206,331*
595-4-50.07.4001724352481000No932,045,202*
585-3-60.02.300021330331741000No804,487,083*
574-5-5No0.400041833291330000No339,025,257
5-2-7No0.60015203327112000No323,044,510*
564-4-6No0.10001824332381000No520,128,698*
554-3-7No0.000031328321851000No395,495,792*
543-5-6No0.000015173129143000No285,852,593*
533-4-7No0.000017213226102000No196,535,378*
523-3-8NoNo0002102533227100No130,008,256*
512-5-7NoNo00031429311740000.0%81,211,635*
502-4-8NoNo00015193328122000.047,842,252*
492-3-9NoNo0001925352361000.026,861,708*
481-5-8NoNo0003143234152000.014,063,582*
471-4-9NoNo001622382760000.36,810,030*
461-3-10NoNo002123338141001.13,091,388*
451-2-11NoNo00052343263003.31,274,057*
440-4-10NoNo0011340388008.4460,903*
430-3-11NoNo0063146161016.9149,124*
420-2-12NoNo022049253028.641,199
410-1-13NoNo11144368144.37,710
400-0-14NoNo0053444162061.01,815,309
-36212-0-274.2Yes742510No8,627,975
Total:3.5%52.9%31319171411854211000000000.0%14,591,357,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship