How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana 0 Cuiaba 0 -0.3
-2.0
-0.2
Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +0.1
+1.0
+0.1
Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.8
-0.1
Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cuiaba vs Oeste+0.5-0.3-0.5
+6.1-3.2-6.3
-0.7+0.1+0.9
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Bragantino vs Londrina-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+1.0+0.4-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs America-MG-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6+0.4+0.7
Guarani vs Parana+0.7+0.4-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs CRB-0.3+0.6-0.1
Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sao Bento vs Vitoria*-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Coritiba+0.6-0.3-0.5
+8.0-2.3-6.5
-0.7+0.0+0.6
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Figueirense vs Bragantino+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.9+0.4-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Londrina vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.4-0.7
Vila Nova vs CRB+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.5-0.5
Parana vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.4+0.4
America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8016-0-099.5%Yes1000No3,041
7815-1-098.1Yes982No106
7715-0-199.4Yes991No163
7614-2-091.5Yes928No459
7514-1-188.8Yes89110No1,404
7413-3-083.9Yes84160No2,369*
7313-2-176.9Yes77221No6,140
7213-1-267.7Yes683020No11,830*
7112-3-158.8Yes593740No20,456*
7012-2-248.2100.0%4844700No39,492*
6912-1-337.2100.037501210No63,910*
6811-3-227.299.9275119200No103,630*
6711-2-318.199.8184928500No165,816*
6610-4-211.099.21143369100No240,120*
6510-3-35.897.46344117200No347,987*
6410-2-42.693.53234226610No484,912*
639-4-31.085.61133734122000No637,465*
629-3-40.372.4072738225100No824,736*
619-2-50.154.903173631122000No1,027,906*
608-4-40.035.80182736226100No1,218,952*
598-3-50.019.200316333114300No1,419,915*
587-5-40.07.900172334259200No797,558
8-2-6No8.70182434248100No795,531*
577-4-5No2.7003132932185100No1,710,926*
567-3-6No0.60015183228133000No1,801,161*
556-5-5No0.100182333249200No984,078
7-2-7No0.100292433238100No839,334*
546-4-6No0.0003132832195100No1,774,105*
536-3-7No0.0001517312914300No1,682,815*
525-5-6NoNo0017223325102000No1,533,903*
515-4-7NoNo0002112633216100No1,345,529*
505-3-8NoNo000415303116400No1,146,774*
494-5-7NoNo00162033271120000.0%938,821*
484-4-8NoNo001925342271000.1734,258*
474-3-9NoNo0031330321740000.5558,796*
463-5-8NoNo015193328112002.5405,066*
453-4-9NoNo001925342271008.5281,127*
443-3-10NoNo0031430321640020.9187,113*
432-5-9NoNo016203427112039.8118,231*
422-4-10NoNo002102734215060.970,931*
412-3-11NoNo00417333113278.841,086*
401-5-10NoNo018263623590.321,533*
391-4-11NoNo0031636341196.610,726*
381-3-12NoNo01929412099.04,811*
371-2-13NoNo0320443399.72,189*
360-4-12NoNo1114048Yes766*
350-3-13NoNo153460Yes255*
340-2-14NoNo2674Yes76
330-1-15NoNo61282Yes17
320-0-16NoNo0991Yes3,035
Total:0.8%16.6%1358910101010976432110001.0%24,411,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship