How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 -1.2
+0.1
-0.3
Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 -0.4
-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 +0.3
+0.5
-0.1
Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 +0.3
+0.1
-0.1
Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 +0.3
+0.3
Fluminense 5 Goias 3 -0.3
-0.3
Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 -0.2
Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 -0.2
Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 -0.2
+0.1
Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 +0.2
Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 -0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Cruzeiro 3 Bahia 0 +0.1
-0.0
Corinthians 1 America-MG 1 -0.1
+0.0
Internacional 7 Santos 1 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cuiaba vs Corinthians+0.0No-0.0
+1.2-0.7-1.0
-1.8+0.1+2.2
+0.8-0.3-0.8
Gremio vs Flamengo-0.2+0.1+0.1
Vasco vs Internacional+0.3-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Santos vs Coritiba+0.4-0.2-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs CuiabaNo-0.0+0.0
-0.8-0.3+2.3
+0.9-0.4-1.9
-0.4+0.0+1.0
Cuiaba vs Vasco+0.0-0.0No
+1.1-0.7-1.0
-1.9+0.1+2.6
+0.7-0.3-0.8
Botafogo vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.0-0.1
Goias vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.6-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Flamengo vs Santos-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Corinthians vs Athletico-PR+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.2
Coritiba vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.2
Bahia vs Fluminense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.1+0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-0.1+0.2-0.0
Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Internacional vs America-MG+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Internacional vs Coritiba+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1-0.1+0.2
Goias vs Vasco+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
6710-0-00.5%100.0%0314719200No53,144
659-1-00.099.808333917300No76,672
649-0-10.099.003203929810No129,753
638-2-0No95.019293720500No237,756
628-1-1No86.70317363111200No805,846
618-0-2No68.7017253724710No1,116,733*
607-2-1No45.600212313517300No2,212,012
597-1-2No25.80005213728810No4,223,169*
586-3-1No9.2001828392130No3,516,017
7-0-3No11.800110313817200No2,054,253
576-2-2No3.30003173932800No9,212,038*
566-1-3No0.90019324116100No9,699,480
5-4-1No0.50016284420100No3,579,676
555-3-2No0.10021744324000No11,864,193
6-0-4No0.20003204429300No4,246,732*
545-2-3No0.00019374310100No19,585,128
4-5-1No0.00007344612100No2,416,493
535-1-4No0.00042548203000No16,107,203
4-4-2No0.00022250233000No10,063,680*
524-3-3No0.00011244349100No21,862,669
5-0-5No0.00011345328100No5,276,000
3-6-1NoNo0010423610100No1,084,157
514-2-4NoNo0053241183000No26,853,977
3-5-2NoNo0042942214000No5,363,082*
504-1-5NoNo0021840309100No17,524,739
3-4-3NoNo00116393211100No14,881,811*
493-3-4NoNo00728382151000.0%23,780,936
4-0-6NoNo00829382050000.04,748,727
2-6-2NoNo00626382361000.01,785,473*
483-2-5NoNo0021534321320000.023,202,796
2-5-3NoNo0021333341530000.05,861,164*
473-1-6NoNo00622362681000.112,539,866
2-4-4NoNo00521362891000.112,145,434*
462-3-5NoNo00192836215100.515,312,672
3-0-7NoNo001102936195000.42,896,132
1-6-3NoNo0182636226100.61,287,366*
452-2-6NoNo003153332142002.412,365,660
1-5-4NoNo00213323416303.03,141,858*
442-1-7NoNo0015223727818.55,812,177*
1-4-5NoNo000520362991010.15,030,981
431-3-6NoNo00192938203023.55,404,049
2-0-8NoNo00192938193022.61,484,816*
421-2-7NoNo0031738339042.33,715,844
0-5-5NoNo00215373611046.2658,758
411-1-8NoNo0017294420063.81,489,746
0-4-6NoNo006274523067.3883,754
400-3-7NoNo002164537082.51,070,270*
390-2-8NoNo00738531092.6482,824
380-1-9NoNo0227692097.7171,251
370-0-10NoNo0014814099.668,873
Total:0.0%1.5%00000125111817141186321002.4%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship