How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Santos vs Cruzeiro-1.9-0.8+2.5
-5.3-1.7+6.7
+3.2+0.6-3.7
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Bahia*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense+2.4-0.9-2.1
+6.4-2.1-5.6
-3.6+0.9+3.3
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Bahia vs Cruzeiro-1.9-0.7+2.5
-5.3-1.8+6.7
+3.2+0.6-3.7
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.1+0.2-0.2
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*+0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.1+0.2*-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-112YesYes100No2,746*
8425-6-599.9%Yes1000No754*
8324-5-799.7Yes1000No1,211*
8224-6-699.7Yes1000No1,909*
8124-7-599.7Yes1000No2,945*
8023-6-799.3Yes991No4,435*
7923-7-699.1Yes9910No6,442*
7823-8-598.0Yes9820No9,678*
7722-7-797.2Yes9730No13,705*
7622-8-695.7Yes9640No19,196*
7521-7-893.7Yes94600No26,522*
7421-8-791.0Yes91900No36,285*
7321-9-687.7Yes881200No48,176*
7220-8-882.7Yes831610No63,629*
7120-9-776.8100.0%7721200No82,163*
7020-10-669.7100.07027300No104,883*
6919-9-860.9100.06133600No131,452*
6819-10-751.2100.0513810100No162,296*
6718-9-940.999.8414215200No196,826*
6618-10-830.699.43143215100No237,020*
6518-11-721.198.42140289100No278,420*
6417-10-913.095.9133533154000No323,429*
6317-11-87.190.972635238100No371,316*
6217-12-73.481.731732291441000No417,368*
6116-11-91.367.31925322292000No461,944*
6016-12-80.448.9041629291651000No504,182*
5916-13-70.129.7018213025123100No542,849*
5815-12-90.014.30031124292192000No574,852*
5715-13-80.05.100141426281872000No599,668*
5614-12-10No1.300161727271651000No616,617*
5514-13-9No0.2000271828251441000No624,275*
5414-14-8No0.0000282028241241000No622,634*
5313-13-10No0.000029212923113100No609,690*
5213-14-9No0.000003102229221030000.0%588,963*
5113-15-8NoNo001311232921920000.0560,172*
5012-14-10NoNo001413252919820000.2524,534*
4912-15-9NoNo0000151526281861001.3482,150*
4812-16-8NoNo000161728271551005.4437,166*
4711-15-10NoNo000282030251230015.2390,081*
4611-16-9NoNo00031124302281031.4341,456*
4511-17-8NoNo00015152930164050.7294,956*
4410-16-10NoNo0002821322610169.4250,524*
4310-17-9NoNo00313293318483.5209,100*
4210-18-8NoNo0017223528892.1171,305*
419-17-10NoNo00031433361496.6137,763*
409-18-9NoNo001827412298.7109,658*
399-19-8NoNo00420433299.685,064*
388-18-10NoNo00214414399.964,575*
378-19-9NoNo0183753100.048,454*
368-20-8NoNo0053163100.035,666*
357-19-10NoNo0032573100.025,572*
347-20-9NoNo012079Yes17,983*
337-21-8NoNo011485Yes12,373*
326-20-10NoNo01089Yes8,396*
316-21-9NoNo0793Yes5,662*
306-22-8NoNo0496Yes3,754*
295-21-10NoNo397Yes2,327*
285-22-9NoNo298Yes1,404*
275-23-8NoNo199Yes869*
265-24-7NoNo199Yes540*
254-23-9NoNo0100Yes278*
4-24NoNo100Yes1,898*
Total:6.5%26.0%7766666665555544433211.3%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship