How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.4
-0.3
-0.1
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.1
-0.7
-0.1
Paysandu 0 CSA 0 +0.1
+0.4
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.3
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 +0.1
-0.1
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.4-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Avai vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.5+0.4
Goias vs Juventude+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-1.2-0.2+2.1
-5.0-1.0+8.9
+0.7-0.0-1.1
-0.6-0.1+1.0
Coritiba vs Figueirense+1.4-0.5-1.1
+8.1-2.1-6.8
-1.1+0.1+1.0
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.5+0.2
Juventude vs Goias-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
CRB vs Paysandu+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.3+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.2+0.1
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.2-0.2
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Oeste+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-99YesYes100No83,170*
8822-4-199.9%Yes1000No1,037*
8722-3-299.7Yes1000No2,099*
8622-2-399.3Yes991No4,394*
8521-4-298.9Yes991No8,414*
8421-3-398.5Yes982No16,177*
8320-5-297.6Yes9820No29,498*
8220-4-396.6Yes9730No52,388*
8120-3-494.9Yes9550No90,283*
8019-5-392.5Yes9370No151,060*
7919-4-489.7Yes90100No248,240*
7819-3-586.0Yes861400No395,620*
7718-5-481.3Yes811800No611,241*
7618-4-575.7100.0%7623100No927,380*
7517-6-469.0100.06929200No1,371,720*
7417-5-561.6100.06235300No1,982,924*
7317-4-653.4100.05341600No2,796,397*
7216-6-544.6100.045469100No3,861,894*
7116-5-635.9100.0364914100No5,209,871*
7016-4-727.599.92750202000No6,877,719*
6915-6-619.999.72049265000No8,893,450*
6815-5-713.599.21345338100No11,255,061*
6714-7-68.598.18383814200No13,939,565*
6614-6-74.895.753041204000No16,899,850*
6514-5-82.591.322140288100No20,081,604*
6413-7-71.184.01143534142000No23,370,100*
6313-6-80.473.1082837215100No26,639,623*
6213-5-90.158.904193629102000No29,762,482*
6112-7-80.042.80211303418510000No32,576,566*
6012-6-90.027.40162135261020000No34,933,995*
5912-5-100.014.90021329321851000No36,713,527*
5811-7-90.06.700162033261120000No37,797,581*
5711-6-100.02.400021127322071000No38,128,197*
5611-5-11No0.600151730281441000No37,686,687*
5510-7-10No0.1000292331241020000No36,482,429*
5410-6-11No0.0000313263019710000No34,588,460*
539-8-10No0.0000151729281551000No32,114,613*
529-7-11No0.00002821302512300000.0%29,206,004*
519-6-12No0.000003112430219200000.025,978,189*
508-8-11NoNo0001414272918610000.022,627,624*
498-7-12NoNo0001617292715410000.119,271,346*
488-6-13NoNo0000282130251130000.316,061,580*
477-8-12NoNo0000311253021820001.613,080,800*
467-7-13NoNo000151528291751005.610,415,853*
457-6-14NoNo000172031261220014.38,089,864*
446-8-13NoNo000031126322171028.66,142,308*
436-7-14NoNo00015173130143046.84,547,751*
426-6-15NoNo000292434237165.03,282,942*
415-8-14NoNo000416333213279.92,310,550*
405-7-15NoNo00019263722489.91,581,787*
395-6-16NoNo0004183832895.51,052,856*
384-8-15NoNo0021133401498.3681,473*
374-7-16NoNo001626452299.4426,549*
364-6-17NoNo00319473199.8260,226*
354-5-18NoNo0113454199.9153,545*
343-7-17NoNo0184151100.086,922*
333-6-18NoNo0043461100.047,929*
323-5-19NoNo022869Yes25,309*
312-7-18NoNo012277Yes12,951*
302-6-19NoNo11782Yes6,254*
292-5-20NoNo01387Yes2,886*
281-7-19NoNo0990Yes1,232*
271-6-20NoNo694Yes532*
261-5-21NoNo397Yes200*
251-4-22NoNo298Yes61*
240-6-21NoNo496Yes23*
230-5-22NoNo1388Yes8*
180-0-27NoNo0100Yes82,330
Total:2.6%27.5%369101010987654332211002.1%662,023,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship