How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca 1 Guarani 0 +0.1
+0.6
-8.6
+0.8
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.1
-0.5
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.1
+0.9
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.1
-0.1
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.3
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.4-0.2-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2-0.2+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.1-0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.1-0.3+2.0
+4.7+0.5-7.7
-0.6-0.1+1.1
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.5-0.5-1.2
-7.1+1.5+6.3
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.0-0.3
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.5
CRB vs America-MG+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.6
Vitoria vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.6
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.0-0.4+0.3
Avai vs Figueirense+0.1-0.3+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.2-0.4+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.3+0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.1-0.4+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Confianca finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-95YesYes100No212,390*
8223-2-399.2%Yes991No399*
8122-4-298.2Yes982No866*
8022-3-396.9Yes973No1,627*
7922-2-496.0Yes9640No3,462*
7821-4-394.3Yes9460No6,791*
7721-3-491.7Yes9280No13,276*
7620-5-388.5Yes881100No23,707*
7520-4-484.1Yes841510No43,009*
7420-3-578.3Yes782010No76,399*
7319-5-471.7Yes722630No130,267*
7219-4-563.9100.0%6431400No219,626*
7118-6-454.9100.05537810No360,148*
7018-5-545.399.9454212100No574,938*
6918-4-635.699.8364417300No900,365*
6817-6-526.399.52644245000No1,377,001*
6717-5-618.198.61841309100No2,062,297*
6617-4-711.496.7113535153000No3,023,236*
6516-6-66.592.962737226100No4,345,846*
6416-5-73.386.03183529122000No6,105,244*
6315-7-61.475.311129341951000No8,419,716*
6215-6-70.560.616213426112000No11,366,521*
6115-5-80.243.7021329321851000No15,054,953*
6014-7-70.027.3016203226113000No19,545,592*
5914-6-80.014.30021227312071000No24,869,691*
5814-5-90.06.100151830281440000No31,017,463*
5713-7-80.02.000029233123920000No37,957,701*
5613-6-90.00.5000041428301861000No45,536,110*
5513-5-10No0.1000161930271330000No53,605,867*
5412-7-9No0.0000210233123920000No61,849,826*
5312-6-10No0.0000041427301861000No70,000,924*
5212-5-11No0.00001618302714410000.0%77,710,796*
5111-7-10No0.000002922312410200000.084,581,810*
5011-6-11NoNo0000312263020710000.090,256,979*
4910-8-10NoNo0001516292815410000.094,418,983*
4810-7-11NoNo00002821312511300000.396,873,022*
4710-6-12NoNo0000311253121710001.597,399,046*
469-8-11NoNo0000151629291641005.095,952,167*
459-7-12NoNo0000282131251020012.992,628,267*
449-6-13NoNo000031227311961026.087,574,013*
438-8-12NoNo00016193228122043.281,060,883*
428-7-13NoNo00002102633216161.273,495,595*
418-6-14NoNo0001518333012276.565,192,260*
407-8-13NoNo0000210283620487.556,562,262*
397-7-14NoNo00015203730894.147,963,670*
387-6-15NoNo000021333381497.639,775,294*
376-8-14NoNo0001727432299.132,215,754*
366-7-15NoNo000420443299.725,456,484*
356-6-16NoNo000213424399.919,639,568*
345-8-15NoNo00183854100.014,757,985*
335-7-16NoNo00053164100.010,811,102*
325-6-17NoNo0022573100.07,702,496*
314-8-16NoNo0011980100.05,336,900*
304-7-17NoNo0011486100.03,587,520*
294-6-18NoNo00990Yes2,342,720*
284-5-19NoNo00694Yes1,477,665*
273-7-18NoNo0496Yes903,256*
263-6-19NoNo0397Yes531,465*
253-5-20NoNo0298Yes302,099*
242-7-19NoNo0199Yes164,737*
232-6-20NoNo0100Yes85,552*
222-5-21NoNo0100Yes42,846*
211-7-20NoNo0100Yes20,026*
201-6-21NoNo0100Yes8,860*
191-5-22NoNo0100Yes3,737*
11-18NoNo100Yes214,283*
Total:0.2%2.9%0011234456788888876425.2%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship